Playoff Leans for Saturday 04/18/2009

[pho3nix32]

Since Peep's Champ has his hands full with baseball and a challenge, I will start this thread. CK's Mafia start capping...

line: dp@cc 175
pick: 175 under

The "you can't ignore" under trends:

- The under is 7-1 in Cleveland's last 8 home games.
- The under is 8-2 in last 10 head to head meetings.
- The under is 15-2 in last 17 head to head meetings played in Cleveland.

Cleveland is #1 in defense. Detroit is #3 worst in offense. You guys do the math here. Ugly will be an understatement in Game 1 my friends.

[gyftosgreek]

i am with you on this one pho3nix32.bol

[texhooper]

i don't think they can set a line too low for this one...you may have struck oil here. the only play i think is worth mentioning is pistons +12. i feel like they're getting way too many points for a presumably low-scoring game. i just don't think they'll let the cavs go quietly. they don't have the kind of playoff experience to be blowing out the pistons in game one. i just don't see it.

[The_Kid]

Celtics/Bulls OVER 196.5

Without KG, the Celtics defense is noticeably different. I know the playoffs are all about defense but the Bulls know the only chance they have of knocking the Celtics out is if they get out in transition and get easy buckets. It's not like the Bulls defense is that great either. In the last 6 meetings, the OVER is 4-2 and the OVER is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Boston. I'm going to take my chances and go with the OVER here.

i don't think they can set a line too low for this one...you may have struck oil here. the only play i think is worth mentioning is pistons +12. i feel like they're getting way too many points for a presumably low-scoring game. i just don't think they'll let the cavs go quietly. they don't have the kind of playoff experience to be blowing out the pistons in game one. i just don't see it.

If it's low scoring, I'd definitely take the points.

[cocknocker]

I say it goes over too, the Kid. No shot blocker means more shots go down. I actually like the Bulls moneyline in this game, but since we can't play moneylines then i would lay off of it. I'm 85% sure the Bulls get blown out, but the 15% left of me says the +370 would be nice if it hit with only a couple of dollars on it. And if not so what? The Bulls will get it back in game two especially if they lose by double digits, which could very well happen

[King_Bookie]

CLE -12

I'm sensing a scenario here.

1. Cleveland invites Detroit to the Q with open arms and then manhandle them by 20 points just to make a statement.
2. Cleveland is now up in the series 2 - 0, they let detroit win in their home just to appease the fans.
3. Cleveland wins the series 4 - 1. going for 4 - 1 ATS at that period.
4. We cash in, everyone's happy...

...That's how my fantasy is turning out.

[The_Kid]

I say it goes over too, the Kid. No shot blocker means more shots go down. I actually like the Bulls moneyline in this game, but since we can't play moneylines then i would lay off of it. I'm 85% sure the Bulls get blown out, but the 15% left of me says the +370 would be nice if it hit with only a couple of dollars on it. And if not so what? The Bulls will get it back in game two especially if they lose by double digits, which could very well happen

CK, glad to hear your input. I could easily see the Bulls getting blown out of the water in the first game too. But in the second game, it could be totally different. For this first game, I think the Celtics want to send a message to the Bulls and to the league that they are for real with or without Garnett. There is no doubt in my mind that a lot of people are underestimating them and not believing they'll be able to advance out of the East.

[tommyminh]

game for chicago vs boston -8.5 u/o 196.5
i go for boston i know that boston will blow bulls by at least 10 points and plus over cause both team and above 6.0 and up for 3 point shoot...

game for detroit/cleveland -12 u/o 174.5
i ma go detroit cause it had +12, i know that cleveland will win the game but they wont cover the spread point, and plus under cause they play at cleveland, and ur know that cleveland aint let monkey jump around at thier home. CK's how u think about those 2 team i pick, all i learn it from you.....

[SoonerGreg]

Celtics -8 vs Bulls (1.2U to win 1U)
C's come out and dominate at home. Pierce is the best player on the Celtics with or without KG. He is pissed off from hearing that with KG out they can not get out of the East. They C's will come out focused and blow the Bulls out from the get go.

[SmackdownV]

Big Baby called himself the "Ticket Stub" since the "Big Ticket" is out.....

Ha.....that's funny.

I have no idea what to bet in this one?

[peterpan19]

bos -7.5 2H

GL

[Vreston]

Since Peep's Champ has his hands full with baseball and a challenge, I will start this thread. CK's Mafia start capping...

line: dp@cc 175
pick: 175 under

The "you can't ignore" under trends:

- The under is 7-1 in Cleveland's last 8 home games.
- The under is 8-2 in last 10 head to head meetings.
- The under is 15-2 in last 17 head to head meetings played in Cleveland.

Cleveland is #1 in defense. Detroit is #3 worst in offense. You guys do the math here. Ugly will be an understatement in Game 1 my friends.

The numbers speak for themselves.
I must admit I have a funny feeling about Detroit in this one.

[The Silver Fox]

Also on the Pistons/Cavs under at 175.5.... All 4 regular season meetings between the two have gone under.

[cocknocker]

Non Challenge picks for 4/18/09

Chicago+400 2nd half moneyline
Houston Rockets+170 moneyline

[mehow]

Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

the stats favour cleveland, but i really don't know, 12 points are a lot... i think i'll play cleve small

[genero]

gooo pistons they will handle this easy

[delijaworld]

Hi Bettors

Hope you're in good betting mood Today...so let's beat sportsbook....on NBA matches...

You watch all the games and pre-game shows, you play in a Fantasy league, you know your stuff - you would think that your knowledge of the teams, the stats, and the injury reports would put you in a sweet position to clean up. Not true...

Here is my 3rd Quarter selection:
San Antonio Spurs -1 -140
Houston Rockets +1 +110
Dallas Mavericks +1 +110

P.s. Good luck if you betting...

[The_Kid]

Tony Parker OVER 30.5 Points + Assists

With no Ginobili, Parker and Duncan will be relied upon even more during these playoffs. In the four games against Dallas this year, Parker has averaged a little more than 31 points and 7 assists. In the last two regular season games vs the Mavericks, Parker dropped 37 points by himself! There is no way Kidd will be able to stay in front of Parker and that will translate to a lot of easy buckets. I like this prop bet a lot because I can easily see Parker getting at least 25-30 points and around 5-6 assists.

[d2bets]

Good luck.

[The_Kid]

You've got to be kidding me! Parker needs one more assist or one bucket with like 9 minutes left and he's making me sweat out this prop bet. He's been stuck at 22 points and 8 assists forever!

[The_Kid]

Unf*ckingbelievable! These refs aren't giving Parker any calls on his drives to the basket and Parker has missed a lot of easy shots that he normally makes. I can't believe it. Unreal.



That was way too close. It shouldn't have even come down to the last 30 seconds in the game.

I'll take it though.

[cocknocker]

Portland-3.5 4th quarter