REF Assignments NBA Finals game 4

[trobin31]

As expected the NBA has called in the "A" or "away" team for this pivotal game.

Name, home team win %

Official 1: Joey Crawford , 50%

Official 2: Mike Callahan, 33%

Official 3: Ken Mauer, %50

Alternate: Jason Phillips %40

Just my opinion but refs are letting ALOT of physical play happen without calling fouls thus far.

Tonight we will know within the first 5 minutes whether this game will be called differently.

If it's called tightly, which I think it will be, then I like golden state to have an even better chance to even up the series and maybe even more the over.

If it's gonna be another battle, sides a coin flip and but under for sho.

[louielouie]

Sorry but your numbers are false -- in the playoffs these refs are 22-13 for the home team -- head ref Crawford is 8-3 for the home side -- Callahan and Crawford last worked these teams in game 4 Rockets/Warriors are the Rockets shot 30 more FT that game -- Jason Phillips the alternate was on a 10 game winning streak for the Cavs until overtime of game 1

[louielouie]

This guy broke it down well too

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nba-basketball-betting/3106957-ref-analysis.html

Cavs gonna get all the calls tonight just wait and watch -- ALL IN Go Cavs!!

[Menses]

I understand why people are backing GS...but my rule of thumb over the last few years has been to never bet against Cleveland when Joey C is reffing...especially at home....ever....

[pinchegringo]

This guy broke it down well too

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nba-basketball-betting/3106957-ref-analysis.html

Cavs gonna get all the calls tonight just wait and watch -- ALL IN Go Cavs!!

Thanks was going to post this in here because I just wanted to get other peoples reads on the ref situation but no takers and a new thread?


I ignored Home win percentages to a point because with out a baseline the numbers really dont matter and I couldnt find a baseline.

The stats I used are at "NBA rhymes with fluffer" and are stats for THIS POSTSEASON only:

JC as head ref Home win % is 78% which I assume 60-64% playoff baseline (but unsure) which is very high. JC as crew though has a 33% home winrate. 9 and 3 game sample size respectively so take that under consideration.

Callahan as crew 75% over 4 games
Mauer as crew 100% over 5 games
Philips as crew 40% over 5 games

Hindsight I should have looked at that because wow. Combined crew home team win/loss is 10-4

Now, another site that has more in depth ref ATS stats but less in depth every where else shows that ATS as 0-4.5 home dogs

Does not differentiate between head or not and does not show home team actual won loss and I also do not know over which time frame these numbers are...

Callahan 5-6
Mauer 4-16
Philips 8-3
JC 4-9

[pinchegringo]

These refs, all the public money in the world coming in on GSW for a 4th consecutive game how you couldn't smash CLE makes me wonder. But then again I doubt I bet this game.

Preseries wasn't CLE -1.5 or -2 for it's home games? Obviously a couple players are down but that is a 6 point swing as right now they are +4.

Of course all of this analysis is all for not if the NBA head office just says ok extend the series tonight.

[louielouie]

They over extended line in Game 2 also and what happened -- Cavs ML is amazing value today

[pinchegringo]

Of course all of this analysis is all for not if the NBA head office just says ok extend the series tonight.

Looks like this was spot on, I need a bug in what ever room Ref in game assignments are handed out. #monaaaaayyyyyy

[trobin31]

I love it when the Refs are on my side.

[JMUplayer]

Mozgov was the one who got screwed with his jump up at the basket when green goes crashing into him