Best way to hedge a Golden State future

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  • Bengals28
    SBR MVP
    • 04-20-11
    • 2164

    #1
    Best way to hedge a Golden State future
    I've got $100 on the Warriors at +120 to win the west.

    Seems like it has a very good chance to cash, but should I hedge a little on rockets?

    I was thinking maybe putting 50$ at +600 for the Rockets or something like that? Thoughts?
  • BayArea888
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-03-11
    • 870

    #2
    If it's at +600, you should put like $20 or less on it. That way, you just sit back and enjoy a $100 profit with a safety net of $20 profit.
    Comment
    • McDabs
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 09-19-12
      • 888

      #3
      I would not hedge at all with the odds and amount your original play is for
      Comment
      • mlb
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-04-09
        • 10509

        #4
        It depends what your average bet/unit is. (what you feel comfortable losing)

        If you bet $100 a game I would not hedge.

        If you are a small $10, $20 betting, I would put about $20 on them and go for the $100 profit with that safety net of $20 like the above guy said.
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          I would not hedge at all with Rockets, this is a dream matchup for Warriors vs. a team that plays no defense. Maybe hedge by sprinkling something on both Cavs and Hawks to win championship.
          Comment
          • Seto
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-16-11
            • 12906

            #6
            Why would you give up almost 50% of your profit on a play that won't lose?

            At worst put like 10 bucks on it if you're feeling uncomfortable but there's zero reason to hedge here.
            Comment
            • Seto
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-16-11
              • 12906

              #7
              Originally posted by LT Profits
              I would not hedge at all with Rockets, this is a dream matchup for Warriors vs. a team that plays no defense. Maybe hedge by sprinkling something on both Cavs and Hawks to win championship.
              He has them to win the West.

              Also putting any amount of money on the Hawks to win the NBA championship is literally equivalent to lighting that money on fire. Literally.
              Comment
              • Bengals28
                SBR MVP
                • 04-20-11
                • 2164

                #8
                I mean anything can happen and I don't want to seem cocky but I really think GS wins this series.
                Comment
                • mlb
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-04-09
                  • 10509

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Bengals28
                  I mean anything can happen and I don't want to seem cocky but I really think GS wins this series.
                  and so does Vegas, hence the line. If $100 isn't a TON of money, let it ride.
                  Comment
                  • 7secondsOrLess
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-26-10
                    • 1576

                    #10
                    lol only a $100 bet and you're thinking about hedging
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Seto
                      He has them to win the West.

                      Also putting any amount of money on the Hawks to win the NBA championship is literally equivalent to lighting that money on fire. Literally.
                      Crap I missed that! Then definitely NO hedge.
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Seto
                        He has them to win the West.

                        Also putting any amount of money on the Hawks to win the NBA championship is literally equivalent to lighting that money on fire. Literally.
                        I thinks Cavs will win, but I do think Hawks will put up more of a fight than Rockets will
                        Comment
                        • tsimmns
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-23-13
                          • 677

                          #13
                          Warriors will have no answer for Howard. Could be interesting to see how this series goes.
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            Originally posted by tsimmns
                            Warriors will have no answer for Howard. Could be interesting to see how this series goes.
                            But Rockets won;t be able to slow Warriors fast break. Can't beat a team like Golden State without playing at least SOME defense.
                            Comment
                            • Seto
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-16-11
                              • 12906

                              #15
                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                              I thinks Cavs will win, but I do think Hawks will put up more of a fight than Rockets will
                              I'd say both win in 5. Maybe Hawks get game 5 at home and push it to 6. Maybe.
                              Comment
                              • Seto
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-16-11
                                • 12906

                                #16
                                Originally posted by tsimmns
                                Warriors will have no answer for Howard. Could be interesting to see how this series goes.
                                Bogut can do a job against Howard and Klay can at least try to limit Harden a bit...

                                Rockets will put Ariza on Curry a lot most likely. That means Terry or Prigioni has to guard Harrison Barnes. He can actually exploit that type of a matchup unlike Matt Barnes and take the smaller guy into the post.
                                Comment
                                • mlb
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-04-09
                                  • 10509

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by 7secondsOrLess
                                  lol only a $100 bet and you're thinking about hedging
                                  if he's a youngster and $100 is like $1,000 to you - then it's reasonable to think about hedging.
                                  Comment
                                  • mlb
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-04-09
                                    • 10509

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Seto
                                    Bogut can do a job against Howard and Klay can at least try to limit Harden a bit...

                                    Rockets will put Ariza on Curry a lot most likely. That means Terry or Prigioni has to guard Harrison Barnes. He can actually exploit that type of a matchup unlike Matt Barnes and take the smaller guy into the post.
                                    agree with you - but Klay on Harden .... hmm, give me Harden getting to the line all game if that's the case.
                                    Comment
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