Leans for Sunday 4/5/09

[cocknocker]

In today's action I like the following plays without a write up as of yet.

Houston-4 HEAVY

Sacramento-anything

I will make the write ups at some point tomorrow, but those are the two that I will be playing. Cheers. Baseball is officially upon us!

[RoagBettor]

I'm all over Houston also. Rockets will be pumped for this game.

By the way, UNC -7 early line. Hmmm.....

[Tennispro]

Houston -4 Heavy

[cocknocker]

Tennispro,

we need a boost for morale around here....let's get a picture of Katherine Hiegl for the thread. Man she is awesome. A smile that will brighten up a room

[darkenergy]

Tennispro,

we need a boost for morale around here....let's get a picture of Katherine Hiegl for the thread. Man she is awesome. A smile that will brighten up a room

Here you go...

[B's Picks]

I hate to interupt CK but im about to wager on SAS +6.5 in CLE. Im taking this line i guese no matter what but would love some input.... anything guys?

[B's Picks]

Booked: sas +6.5

[NBA Hero]

how abt raptors?

a repeat performance. dont expect them to lose at home

[danrman]

b's i hope you win but cleve is due for a good game.. they may get well at home.. the money is split 60/40 currently w/ cleve getting the most action so i like that for your cause.. i just think there are better games out there like houston,phoenix,sac

[danrman]

the refs and new orleans jobbed everyone and the spurs last sunday evening on espn... most of us were fortunate to be on the hornets that day but the reason i bring this up is they are taking on utah who has been burning money and hasnt beaten the school for the blind on the road.. if i see the public loading up on new orleans im taking utah to finally beat somebody worth a damn on the road in a contrarian play

[danrman]

here's a note:for those of you who like n. carolina for monday night but dont like the big chalk.. pick you fav game on sunday and tease n. carolina down to 2... might make there be a little less sweat for the national championship.. that is if you think the tar heels are the pick

[007Fatty]

hey ck i hope you dont mind me asking
but why do you like houston so much?
thanks man

[pho3nix32]

line: nyk@tr 219
pick: 219 over

Home and home here. The under in the first meeting. I'm gonna go over in this second meeting. BOL!

[Capperhang]

line: nyk@tr 219
pick: 219 over

Home and home here. The under in the first meeting. I'm gonna go over in this second meeting. BOL!

with you all the way on this one.

[peterpan19]

ok guys... not a bad day at all yesterday...

so now lets start with the early action today... we have a nice game ahead of us... what can you say... Cleveland should be the play here if you look at the whole season as they only had 2 losses in a row once and well normally Cle is a monster after one loss and even a bigger monster after two losses... but I dont know about today... ok both teams still have something to play for here.... Cavs the best record in the league and Spurs the no. 2 in the west... I know one thing for sure we will see here today the no.1 home D against the no. 2 road D... so it should be a low scoring affair... I just cant imagine that the Cavs can or want to destroy the Spurs here today, considering that they play Was, 2x Phi and Ind in the next few weeks to end the season... of course James will be pissed about the two losses here today...but he knows as well as everybody else that the regular season is almost over and why waste your energy now ?

I am rolling with the Spurs and the points in the early game here today...add in that SA has revenge on their minds as they were beat at home by the Cavs earlier this year...add in that SA won the last three games played in Cleveland... give me the points in this one... the wager could go south if James decides to show up and play he can, but I just dont think he will...

SA +6.5

11 games today... so a lot to choose from... man this is tough as I dont want to wager on more than 4 games here... ok lets see...

We all know that this games is an important game for both teams here...with a win the Mavs can probably lock up that 8th seed right here today, as they would be 4 games ahead of Phoenix with 5 games remaining for the Suns... on the other hand if Dallas doesnt win it today the Suns would be back in it as they were only 2 GB behind them in that case... both team should be highly motivated here and ready to win...the Mavs loss to memphis the other night, not good...but the mavs are 10-1 SU at home right now... they are a real force at home and playing the last 5 of their 6 games at home will help them...I think the Mavs will win here today as they know they just need two more home wins to get in and against Utah or a NO team after a long road trip, its more than possible... that being said the Suns know if they loose today, its almost over....so puhh... tough one here... I think it will be a very close spread here today, probably the only thing Dallas needs here to cover is to win the game (dont forget they are 5-1 SU in Texas vs the Suns)... well I think I will wait for the spread on this one... but anything close to 2 Mavs should be the play... if it is more than 6 (unlikely) the Suns would be the play...

a similar situation with the bobcats pistons here today...everybody need the win here today... but char just needs it more and I think they are also the better team right now... the Pistons just suck ass right now, they are only 5-5 SU and ATS as of late at home...Char on the other hand is 6-4 SU and 7-3 ATS on the road right now...all the head to head trends might point to Det here and they also lead the series 2-1 so far this year... but the two wins came early in the year for Det when Char was a mess... I just have to go with the better team right now here, a team that still has faith and just wants this game more than Detroit, bc it would be the greatest success in team history to finally make the playoffs...and they are so close too it...
Char + points here...

Hous -4
both teams playing for the 4th seed here right now... Hou is 9-1 SU vs Por at home... give me the home team in this one right here ... I see Houston putting a little show on here and winning this game by 8 points or more

ok thats it so far... slight leans on NO, Min and Phi ... will look into it later today...

GL

[Gnutti]

peterpan I'm on Houston & San Antonio also

[twodiiefor]

nice jugs Katherine Hiegl

[RoagBettor]

I think the Cavs get it done today. They have been completely embarrassed in their last 2 games and are due for a blowout win. San Antonio will be the perfect fodder for a Lebron/NBA/Referee Sunday Lovefest at the Q.

[suicidekings]

Some nice games on Sunday...

SAN @ CLE (-6.5), UNDER 181
- CLE hasn't lost 3 games in a row all season, and I always like the home team in the early Sunday games. Additionally, CLE is 8-1 ATS following games in which they score <90 points, and the over is also 8-1 in these conditions.

NYK @ TOR (-5.5)
- I like TOR to continue the hot play with a win over the Knicks. However, seeing as the Knicks always screw me over, I can't quite convince myself to go for it...

POR @ HOU (-4.5), UNDER 186
- Despite the total rising in the last three H2H games and going over in all of them, the total this time was set 5 points lower than last time. Looks like an under to me.

UTA @ NOH (-2.5)
- Again, I expect the home team to take this one, overcoming the lack of Posey/Chandler in the lineup and taking advantage of Utah's awful presence on the road.

Of these plays, the CLE (-6.5) and the UNDER 181 are my favourites.

[King_Bookie]

TOR -5.5 (make it -10 even)
CLE -6.5 (You don't wanna meet Lebron after an almost 40 point drubbing)

[BrandonLaz]

I hate to interupt CK but im about to wager on SAS +6.5 in CLE. Im taking this line i guese no matter what but would love some input.... anything guys?

I love the play as the public will be all over the Cavaliers. In all reality this is the time of year you can make the most money off the Cavaliers as they struggle down the stretch it seems every year. Don't forget Lebron and Co. haven't proven a thing yet never winning in the post season this is still pretty much the same San Antonio team that whipped them around like a red headed step child in their only trip to the Finals. Plus the fact that 75% of the bets are on Cleveland and I love fading the public when 70% or more on a play.

[King_Bookie]

I love the play as the public will be all over the Cavaliers. In all reality this is the time of year you can make the most money off the Cavaliers as they struggle down the stretch it seems every year. Don't forget Lebron and Co. haven't proven a thing yet never winning in the post season this is still pretty much the same San Antonio team that whipped them around like a red headed step child in their only trip to the Finals. Plus the fact that 75% of the bets are on Cleveland and I love fading the public when 70% or more on a play.

HUH?

On the site where I check, 60% of the public is on San Antonio. And even so, public consensus aren't worth shit. After that humiliation by Howard and the Magic, I don't expect a -30 points performance from Lebron later. I see San Antonio winning the first quarter and losing the final 3. I definitely see Cavs winning by 10 or more.

BoL to us

[Tennispro]

Go Houston Go !!!
Damn you ck now i am horny, going to my happy place....

[BigMoneyMan]

I hate to interupt CK but im about to wager on SAS +6.5 in CLE. Im taking this line i guese no matter what but would love some input.... anything guys?

Yeah don't do it. Neither team is playing well but after Orlando watch out this will be ugly. Over by halftime.

[RoagBettor]

Rockets just dropped to -3.5

[BigMoneyMan]

Rockets just dropped to -3.5

What are you talking about there plus money and i see them at 6. Are you looking at first half?

[RoagBettor]

The line on the Rockets just dropped from -4 to -3.5 on Bookmaker.

[jellobiafra]

line: nyk@tr 219
pick: 219 over

Home and home here. The under in the first meeting. I'm gonna go over in this second meeting. BOL!

I don't know about this one. I was all over the under yesterday at about 219. The numbers didn't add up for me and the game played to 197. Now you're telling me it's going to go over 219 the next day? I'll probably stay away b/c I see a few people picking it, but damn if my b/s detector isn't going off on this one like it did yesterday.

[darkenergy]

What are you talking about there plus money and i see them at 6. Are you looking at first half?

Roagbetor was right, the line of Houston dropped to -3.5 of most books if you look at sportsinsight.com with premium account. Basis account will show with 20 minutes delay.

[BigMoneyMan]

Anyone know whats going on with the game. I just checked 3 books and no one as it at -3.5 Tat is a mistake and I would jump on it.


MY BAD I THOUGHT YOU WERE TAKING ABOUT CLEVELAND> I NEED MORE COFFEE!!

[RoagBettor]

Still -3.5 at Bookmaker. Cleveland went to -6 also.

[italiano22]

I like Houston as well..... How do you feel about okc -3? any thoughts

[RoagBettor]

Cleveland line now -5.5 - interesting.

[peterpan19]

mhh... with 65% of the money on Cleveland the line droppped to 5.5 ?

anyway I think I will play Dallas at -3 today...char +2.5 looks good too

also still like hou -3.5 and SA +5.5

slight leans on min 7.5, phi -2.5 and lac 1H right now...

GL

[mehow]

phi -2,5
den -7,5
tor -5,5
cha +2,5 (small)
dal -3 (small)
sa +6

the rest are a medium plays

BOL