The Bucks are gonna send you to the poor house. Man, you also got a sh!tty line on the Bucks. It started out at +5.5 for the Bucks and you bit at the lower line.. Good luck...
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SportsTerminator
SBR Hall of Famer
02-18-09
5179
#4
Both teams are playing like crap. Your best bet is to go with the home team.
Bet To Win
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cocknocker
Restricted User
11-06-08
8001
#5
It's called reverse movement, johnnymapalo. Tha means that LT has made the correct call. The Nets are weak as hell. i am surprised that LT didn't take a stab at the moneyline also
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Wilforth
Restricted User
05-10-08
16309
#6
Originally posted by cocknocker
...The Nets are weak as hell...
And the Bucks are as strong as what?
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johnnymapalo
SBR MVP
06-14-08
2999
#7
Originally posted by Wilforth
And the Bucks are as strong as what?
These people just look at line movement to determine their play.. As if a big better can shoot the ball for any player on any team. I don't care nothing about any line movements. I base my plays strictly on how a team plays, matchups and history together. Line movement is over-rated in my opinion and you can get burned alot by playing off followed line movements...
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suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#8
Johnnymapolo: RLM is historically a very good indicator to pay attention to. It doesn't imply directly who is going to win, but shows that the linemakers might have made a significant error when they originally set the lines, or reflect new information that has come up since it was set.
Following it rigidly isn't a good strategy, but if it indicates that someone knows something you don't, I'm hesitant to dismiss it out of hand. At the very least it should be a reason for you to look deeper.
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coldhardfacts
SBR Wise Guy
10-19-07
717
#9
New Jersey got eliminated yesterday.
Milwaukee is definitely the most underachieving team in the NBA this season. The Nets are a close second.
I won't bet the Bucks in many situations, but I will tonight.
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SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#10
I don't like that game, but how can you bet on the Bucks.
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
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HoulihansTX
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-12-09
30566
#11
Originally posted by johnnymapalo
These people just look at line movement to determine their play.. As if a big better can shoot the ball for any player on any team. I don't care nothing about any line movements. I base my plays strictly on how a team plays, matchups and history together. Line movement is over-rated in my opinion and you can get burned alot by playing off followed line movements...
Dude check the spread.com. They have a system that tracks sharp reverse line movement on a number of online betting sites. And its hitting at %70 for betting the reverse line movement. Its something to always keep a close eye on, because there is money to be had. As proven by their system.
Check these two links out:
So who here actually subscribes to sportsinsights? Just wondering.
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HoulihansTX
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-12-09
30566
#13
I dont. But Im sure the point they are trying to sell, would have to be proven once a membership is purchased. I dont think flat out lying would be good advertisement.
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#14
Originally posted by therber2
So who here actually subscribes to sportsinsights? Just wondering.
I've been using them for a couple of years.
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#15
Originally posted by johnnymapalo
These people just look at line movement to determine their play.. As if a big better can shoot the ball for any player on any team. I don't care nothing about any line movements. I base my plays strictly on how a team plays, matchups and history together. Line movement is over-rated in my opinion and you can get burned alot by playing off followed line movements...
Like I said in another thread, the Nets have quit on this season and although the Bucks are slumping, they continue to hustle every night. I think they finally get rewarded tonight vs. a demoralized team that couldn't care less.
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BatemanPatrickl
SBR Posting Legend
06-21-07
18772
#16
Originally posted by LT Profits
Like I said in another thread, the Nets have quit on this season and although the Bucks are slumping, they continue to hustle every night. I think they finally get rewarded tonight vs. a demoralized team that couldn't care less.
Hope not; I took the Nets tonight -3. BOL.
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SportsTerminator
SBR Hall of Famer
02-18-09
5179
#17
Originally posted by LT Profits
Like I said in another thread, the Nets have quit on this season and although the Bucks are slumping, they continue to hustle every night. I think they finally get rewarded tonight vs. a demoralized team that couldn't care less.
I played on the Nets yesterday and boy was I mad. I don't think the Nets will have back to back disgraceful performances like the Knicks. The Nets SHOULD come out ready to play and on fire today. The Nets have been playing REALLY well at home. Even though they most likely be without Jarvis Hayes and Bobby Simmons, Ryan Anderson and CDR should be able to hold it together. And if Yi could make a basket that would be great l0l. Also the Nets do still have a chance mathetically to make the playoffs. If the Nets win they would swap places with the Bucks and Indiana would move up and the Nets would be in the 10th spot. But they would still be 5 games behind the 8th spot but still mathematically possible to make the playoffs. I think the Nets are the play here. I might Parlay Utah and the Nets. I'm not too confident in the other games. Really Utah is the only solid pick but the Nets SHOULD win just like they should have yesterday. No defense...disgraceful...Suns too... pathetic...anywho I'm liking the Nets.
Bet To Win
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ryanXL977
SBR Posting Legend
02-24-08
20615
#18
Originally posted by LT Profits
Like I said in another thread, the Nets have quit on this season and although the Bucks are slumping, they continue to hustle every night. I think they finally get rewarded tonight vs. a demoralized team that couldn't care less.
im not ripping your bet or playing either side, but how can you say they still try. they lose almost every game they play by 15+pts. they have two wins this month (at home), and every single loss has been by 4 pts or more ( and the only loss of 4 was at home, vs the nets)
what evidence that they play hard do you have?
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Shortstop
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
01-02-09
27281
#19
Good Luck LT!
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crisp
SBR MVP
06-02-08
1377
#20
vince carter can beat the bucks by himself.
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#21
Pros play hard for the most part, I am playing the Nets.