2014/15 NBA Thread

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  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #806
    Thoughts on GSW @ Memphis tomorrow?
    Comment
    • Seto
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-16-11
      • 12906

      #807
      Knew there was trouble coming when Parker went down. Shit never fails.

      You can't let a team hang around like that.

      They probably lose now. I knew this was a risk which is why I didn't go large on the normal spread. Figured blowout Suns win or outright loss.

      Maybe they can still grind it out we'll see.
      Comment
      • Seto
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-16-11
        • 12906

        #808
        Originally posted by t-wizzle
        Thoughts on GSW @ Memphis tomorrow?
        I really don't know. It's just a tough game. Warriors are due to lose somewhat but that's a dangerous angle when it's the only one I can really come up with. Grizzlies are 19-4 too after all, they're somewhat due a bad stretch too.

        From a basketball standpoint if we're expecting the best from both teams I can't come up with much. Can Memphis score on the Warriors' defense? If the Warriors go small it's gonna get real interesting. I'm not sure Memphis can really pound them inside and on the boards even if they go small. My random feel would be a close low-scoring game. But I likely won't bet it. Definitely won't bet the total anyway I'm hopeless with them. I'd actually recommend everyone take the over lol.

        Game to fade the Warriors is Thursday vs OKC I think. Passing of the torch between the best team early in this season and the team that will be hottest for the next couple months or so.
        Comment
        • Seto
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-16-11
          • 12906

          #809
          Gotta feel sorry for the Suns wow. That's just so fukking lucky. Second time too after the Griffin one.

          But I'm still happy they lost if they weren't gonna cover lol.
          Comment
          • Seto
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-16-11
            • 12906

            #810
            Today: 0-7, -3.79x
            Total: 70-122-1, +19.27x

            Honestly don't regret anything from tonight. Both games just didn't go my way. Suns had chances to blow the game open (key moment of the game Gerald Green misses his 30th 3 of the game to go up 16, Bucks come right back with a 7-0 run to cut it to 6) and when they didn't it was always gonna be tough to get a late cover. When a team has no confidence off a lot of losses they typically don't close games well.

            I kept expecting the Bulls to make a late run and they nearly did but couldn't get over the hump. Credit the Hawks - they played well.

            Not saying I made the right calls or anything but just don't really feel like I'd do anything differently if I had to do it again and it's somewhat satisfying to be able to say that.

            Now it's just about not letting this turn into a bad run. This season has been so up and down, full of huge winning runs and huge losing runs. Almost every time as soon as I have a winning day after a losing streak I suddenly get really hot, and when I have a losing day after a winning streak (like today) I suddenly can't win for a few days. Hopefully I can come right back with a winning day and change the trend.
            Comment
            • NBA Maniac
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-11-12
              • 5290

              #811
              Seto too bad i had to go sleep, otherwise i would wait to know if Dragic was going to play, and wouldn't bet on it, because he didn't play.
              That guy is very important on Suns, much more then Bledsoe, because he can carry the entire team, he plays, and makes the team play.

              In the Bulls game, i think there is no way we could pass that, at least I, even with Atlanta playing at home.
              Comment
              • Seto
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-16-11
                • 12906

                #812
                Originally posted by NBA Maniac
                Seto too bad i had to go sleep, otherwise i would wait to know if Dragic was going to play, and wouldn't bet on it, because he didn't play.
                That guy is very important on Suns, much more then Bledsoe, because he can carry the entire team, he plays, and makes the team play.

                In the Bulls game, i think there is no way we could pass that, at least I, even with Atlanta playing at home.
                It does seem like they miss him. Still they should have blown this game open. In a way the Parker injury fukked me because teams always rally and play hard after stuff like that happens.

                Yup no regrets on Chicago. Just can't win em all.

                Atlanta in Cleveland is gonna be at least a decent play if not a very good one on Wednesday. They got destroyed the last time they went there and since have played much better, they'll probably be very motivated to showcase themselves. Cleveland has also been pretty mediocre in their last few games. We're probably getting like 7 points and I'd actually honestly be surprised if Atlanta didn't win the game outright or at the very least come very close to it.
                Comment
                • NBA Maniac
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-11-12
                  • 5290

                  #813
                  I'm just mad because of this:

                  Originally posted by NBA Maniac
                  Lakers (+5) is a trap....
                  They are going to get owned my Indiana Pacers
                  Comment
                  • NBA Maniac
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 12-11-12
                    • 5290

                    #814
                    Today it opened -2.5


                    Originally posted by NBA Maniac
                    PK at Betonline
                    Originally posted by KRIT
                    I think Memphis is worth at least a medium size play tomorrow against GS. I might be stubborn on fading Warriors, but earlier I said I'd be shocked if they went 3-0 on this roadie, have to stick by my word there.

                    I kind of like Spurs tonight even though they are on the b2b with Blazers coming off the eastcoast roadtrip.
                    Comment
                    • KRIT
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-11-14
                      • 12878

                      #815
                      Originally posted by NBA Maniac
                      Today it opened -2.5
                      Looks like a Grizz line
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #816
                        Do the Kings come out fired up to prove something without Malone?
                        Comment
                        • nelsonrc24
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-02-13
                          • 1578

                          #817
                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                          Do the Kings come out fired up to prove something without Malone?
                          Dont think so!

                          KD and Westbrook just came back and i dont think they wanna slow down. I smell blow out tonight
                          Comment
                          • leetreaper
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 10-23-10
                            • 34841

                            #818
                            No fades tonight???
                            Comment
                            • Seto
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-16-11
                              • 12906

                              #819
                              Been on the road all day. I saw the miami line earlier at 7.5/8, now it's at 6, apparently bosh and a bunch of others are still out for miami so someone must be out for the nets. Don't have time to check anymore gonna be too late to bet this game - anyway I can't touch it at 6.

                              Coin the kings angle is hard not to play. But I don't particularly feel they have a chance to be competitive much outside of that angle at all really. Maybe just a small play on the spread.
                              Comment
                              • t-wizzle
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 12-18-09
                                • 38099

                                #820
                                Originally posted by leetreaper
                                No fades tonight???
                                Yea they're right here. Look:

                                Originally posted by leetreaper
                                Tuesday Card:

                                1. Knickerbockers +8.0 3*Units

                                2. Queens +8.0 3*Units
                                NBA betting and handicapping forum: discuss basketball picks, NBA odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results.
                                Comment
                                • Seto
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-16-11
                                  • 12906

                                  #821
                                  Lol. Wonder if he will update the record after that. Updated it for the first time in weeks yesteday cause it was the first time in weeks he was in the black

                                  Happy I laid off sactown. Not happy I laid off miami. Balances out I guess.

                                  Only getting 5.5 with atlanta tomorrow. Probably playing it anyway but I'll think about it a bit first.
                                  Comment
                                  • oldscho0led
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-18-11
                                    • 1407

                                    #822
                                    How the f*ck that Kings-Thunder game didn't went OVER!? I even have the opening line at 203.5! Already have 115 points at halftime! Kings, Corbin, Sessions sucks! Running the clock down when they're down instead of pushing the ball.
                                    Comment
                                    • Seto
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 12-16-11
                                      • 12906

                                      #823
                                      Heat-4 -110 (paddy power) (risking 1.1x to win 1x)

                                      Might be a trap line but I just think books have been disrespecting Miami a bit from time to time. Anyway I'm not taking a big risk here.
                                      Comment
                                      • Seto
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-16-11
                                        • 12906

                                        #824
                                        Nets+12.5 -101 (5dimes) (risking 1.01x to win 1x)
                                        Nets ml +800 (5dimes) (risking 0.25x to win 2x)

                                        Nets might lose by 50 since they're pathetic and Toronto probably wants revenge from the playoffs but I feel this game should be closer than the line suggests.
                                        Comment
                                        • Seto
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-16-11
                                          • 12906

                                          #825
                                          Grizzlies+3.5 -109 (5dimes) (risking 1.64x to win 1.5x)
                                          Comment
                                          • Seto
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-16-11
                                            • 12906

                                            #826
                                            Today: 1-3, -0.86x
                                            Total: 71-125-1, +18.41x

                                            Honestly if Memphis hadn't cashed that might have been the beat of the century. For starters the 23 point lead, but that's not even anything compared to the shots that sent the game into the 1st and 3rd overtimes and prevented me from winning early

                                            Since it cashed it the end though I can say it was a fun game, I even forgot about my dumb decision to lay off Atlanta a bit thanks to it
                                            Comment
                                            • t-wizzle
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 12-18-09
                                              • 38099

                                              #827
                                              Looking forward to discussing that big game tomorrow.
                                              Comment
                                              • KRIT
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-11-14
                                                • 12878

                                                #828
                                                Apparently your Mavs are looking at making a move for Rondo. I don't know how well he will fit, but I think Mavs need to go for it now. I think Dirk's window closes in a year or two.
                                                Comment
                                                • KRIT
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-11-14
                                                  • 12878

                                                  #829
                                                  Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                  Looking forward to discussing that big game tomorrow.
                                                  Might be the one time that majority of people will watch NBA over NFL....thanks to Titans vs Jags lol.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • t-wizzle
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-18-09
                                                    • 38099

                                                    #830
                                                    Originally posted by KRIT
                                                    Might be the one time that majority of people will watch NBA over NFL....thanks to Titans vs Jags lol.
                                                    Haha yea. I actually love the Jags there.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Seto
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-16-11
                                                      • 12906

                                                      #831
                                                      Originally posted by KRIT
                                                      Apparently your Mavs are looking at making a move for Rondo. I don't know how well he will fit, but I think Mavs need to go for it now. I think Dirk's window closes in a year or two.
                                                      Mavs are always in the running for Rondo it seems. This pops up all the time.

                                                      I don't see how he fits. Ellis needs to play with a PG who can shoot the 3. I can't imagine any plan that involves dealing Ellis considering how unbelievably good he has been for Dallas.

                                                      It would still be adding a very good player to a very good team though, which I guess can't hurt.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Seto
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-16-11
                                                        • 12906

                                                        #832
                                                        Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                        Looking forward to discussing that big game tomorrow.
                                                        I like the Thunder a lot early. Golden State thrived in their first couple games without Bogut but it might be strating to catch up with them. The Thunder have been rolling and it's time for them to actually make some noise by beating another good team.

                                                        What scares me is Curry has been in an unreal shooting slump lately. This might be the game where he goes 9-12 from 3
                                                        Comment
                                                        • oldscho0led
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-18-11
                                                          • 1407

                                                          #833
                                                          lol...so true on that Curry comment Seto. Curry might blow-up against the Thunder so i'll pass on the spread. Leaning the Over whatever the line might be.
                                                          Last edited by oldscho0led; 12-18-14, 12:13 AM.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Seto
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-16-11
                                                            • 12906

                                                            #834
                                                            Originally posted by oldscho0led
                                                            lol...so true on that Curry comment Seto. Curry might blow-up against the Thunder. Leaning the Over whatever the line might be.
                                                            At the end of the day we can't predict when shooters will or won't get hot but this can't last. The guy has never shot under 42% from 3 in a season and he's 23 for 76 (30%) over his last 10 including two 1 for 10 games. Down to under 39% on the season. Something's gotta give.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Seto
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-16-11
                                                              • 12906

                                                              #835
                                                              Thunder+3 -110 (paddy power) (risking 4.4x to win 4x)
                                                              Thunder ml +125 (5dimes) (risking 1x to win 1.25x)

                                                              Bulls-20.5 +1000 (william hill) (first half) (risking 0.13x to win 1.25x)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • nelsonrc24
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-02-13
                                                                • 1578

                                                                #836
                                                                Originally posted by Seto
                                                                I like the Thunder a lot early. Golden State thrived in their first couple games without Bogut but it might be strating to catch up with them. The Thunder have been rolling and it's time for them to actually make some noise by beating another good team.

                                                                What scares me is Curry has been in an unreal shooting slump lately. This might be the game where he goes 9-12 from 3
                                                                Dont be scared! Ive watched the last 2, and everytime Curry sat, GSW struggled. OKC will win. At least i like to think they will
                                                                Comment
                                                                • NBA Maniac
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 12-11-12
                                                                  • 5290

                                                                  #837
                                                                  No D. Rose and the line doesn't moove ?? I am liking Bulls here
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Seto
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-16-11
                                                                    • 12906

                                                                    #838
                                                                    Originally posted by NBA Maniac
                                                                    No D. Rose and the line doesn't moove ?? I am liking Bulls here
                                                                    I was afraid he broke a fingernail again and would be sulking for a few weeks - looks like it's just an illness. Hopefully he can play tomorrow.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • NBA Maniac
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 12-11-12
                                                                      • 5290

                                                                      #839
                                                                      Originally posted by Seto
                                                                      I was afraid he broke a fingernail again and would be sulking for a few weeks - looks like it's just an illness. Hopefully he can play tomorrow.
                                                                      Melo also out, thats why line didn't moove.
                                                                      And yes Bulls also thinking in tomorrow game

                                                                      It is just me, or Houston line doesn't make sense ?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Seto
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 12-16-11
                                                                        • 12906

                                                                        #840
                                                                        Originally posted by NBA Maniac
                                                                        Melo also out, thats why line didn't moove.
                                                                        And yes Bulls also thinking in tomorrow game

                                                                        It is just me, or Houston line doesn't make sense ?
                                                                        They're on a back to back but yeah that line should've been at least -6 in my mind.
                                                                        Comment
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