L&L Legit Leans for 3/26

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  • milkshakeballa
    SBR High Roller
    • 03-24-09
    • 204

    #1
    L&L Legit Leans for 3/26
    LAL/DET O 193.5

    When I originally saw the line I immediately said under because:

    LAL U 5-1 last 6 games on 1 day rest
    LAL U 8-2 last 10 games as favorite
    LAL U 4-1 last 5 games overall
    DET U 10-1 last 11 home games vs. team with road win pct + 600
    LAL/DET U 4-1 in last 5 meetings

    Why the over?

    193.5 is a little low.

    No Sheed, Rip, AI.

    DET 4-0 O last 4 vs. team + 600 win pct
    DET 4-0-1 last 5 overall

    They are not playing defense.

    Lakers even thought in a nice U streak...3/5 of their last 5 have went over 200 and vs. OKC they were at 196.

    DET last 5 they have went over that 193 mark 4/5 games.

    O is 13-6-1 in last 20 road games for LA.





    POR/PHO U 221.5

    POR U 4-0 last 4 vs. teams with a wimming SU record
    POR U 5-0 last 5 after allowing 100 + their previous game
    POR U 40-16-1 last 57 after scoring 100+ in their previous game

    U is 4-1 in last 5 meetings

    Portland will really slow it down at home.

    POR -6.5

    Forgot where I saw it but their ATS vs. teams + 600 win pct at home is ridiculous.

    POR 4-1 ATS last 5 following SU loss
    4-1 ATS last 5 as fav.
    4-1 ATS last 5 overall
    5-2 last 7 ATS following a SU loss

    Suns 4-10 ATS in their last 14 vs. teams with a winning SU record
    Suns 1-4 ATS last 5 vs. teams with a win pct + 600
    Suns 2-8-1 ATS last 11 as road underdog between 5-10.5

    Love POR here pretty big too.


    CHI -5.5

    Heat 1-4 ATS last 5 as road dog 5-10.5
    Heat 1-6 ATS in their last 7 back end of B2B
    CHI 4-0 ATS last 4 at home vs. teams losing road record
    CHI 4-0 ATS last 4 home games a fav
    CHI 8-1 last 9 at home ATS
    CHI 8-3 ATS in last 11

    Rose probable to play. Battling for a playoff spot. Playing good ball. Love them here. I would stay away from the O/U imho.

    So far...

    LAL/DET O 193.5
    POR/PHO U 221.5
    CHI -5.5
    POR -6.5

    Thoughts and opinions welcome!
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