Leans for Tuesday 03/24/2009

[pho3nix32]

ck mafia get to work...

[Jimbo42]

Wow where is everybody?..Usually half a page when I get up in the AM.... All right early lean on:
Detroit + whatever...
Chicago not playing as well as they were before and D-town will begin to play better and back to form... Will write up more when I book it...

[RoagBettor]

I'm still pissed off about Portland choking that game at the end.

1-1 on 3 Team/8 Pt Teasers last night as Kentucky/Richmond/St. Mary's hits.

Tonight is a tough call. Leaning towards the following teaser (with the 8 pts):

Lakers PK
Rockets +13.5
Penn State +17.5

Not sure yet though, I'm still analyzing.

[peterpan19]

chi -3 (projected)
ok I am going with the Bulls again today... they failed me yesterday but they just wont today... as they are a hot home team going 7-1 ATS and SU as of late... plus they are 4-1 ATS and SU at home vs Det... I really hope for a low chalk today... as it is a b2b game for chi and they just barely won yesterday, but that was on the road and I should have known better to not play the Bulls on the road... I have the Bulls winning by 6 today...

Spurs -10
two tough losses for the spurs against Boston and Houston as of late... the spurs need a win badly and who comes to town today ? yes you are right its the lovely Warriors team that has a horrible 12-23 ATS on the road this year, with spreads of 10+ they are only 3-8 ATS... add in that the Spurs are 9-1 ATS and 5-0 SU at home against GS and you get the picture... 35, 24, 13, 40 and 11 thats by how much points the Spurs won the last 5 meetings against them at home... plus the Spurs record after 2 losses this year 3-1-1 ATS.. I never bet on the due factor but since I already have enough other stuff and some migh wonder why the spread is so low.. yes the SPurs are in an ATS drought right now as they are only 1-5 in their last games... hell that will change today...

slight lean on utah

thats it for today, maybe I have a few 1st qtr bets later on,

GL

[King_Bookie]

i am on a horrible 1-5 streak on bets this week and i cant seem to get my rhythm back. Im leaning uta, lal, chi, and sas. Will post analysis later.

[Dexter]

the spurs will look to get back on track after a home losses to the celts and rockets. golden state does not like texas. the warriors are 1-4 ats the last 5 games in san antonio, losing all 5 by an avg margin of 25ppg.

-spurs (big)

[repski]

Leaning Under LA/OKC 205

-OKC's last 7 games @ home have gone under the number
-of OKC's last 12 games overall 10 have gone under and they've failed to score over 100 in all 12...averaging 93.3
-Eight of LAL's last 11 have gone under the total with the LAL looking to sure up the D before the playoffs...

[RoagBettor]

There are just some teams I will not bet again this season: Detroit and Chicago are 2 of them.

The Spurs rarely blow teams out, but I like them to win so I will probably play them in my 3 Team/8 Pt Teaser assuming the line is -10 or less. I think they can win by at least 3.

[repski]

the spurs will look to get back on track after a home losses to the celts and rockets. golden state does not like texas. the warriors are 1-4 ats the last 5 games in san antonio, losing all 5 by an avg margin of 25ppg.

-spurs (big)

Dexter to add to that SA has won 18 in a row SU @ home vs GS, and is 14-4 ATS in that time

[RoagBettor]

rep, I like the call on the Lakers/OKC under. I can get it at 212 with my teaser. Of course they'll probably go to overtime and blow out the number!

[BmoreBucco]

Prop of the day:

Stephen Curry is a beast and he's everybody's darling. Only thing is, he doesn't have the team arouind him he had last year. If I know it, and you know it, you better be damn sure St. Mary's knows it. They won't stop him but they will contain him.

Stephen Curry under 34.5 points + assists (HUGE)

What a nice way to wake up this morning. I went HEAVY HEAVY. Now, onto today's work.

[Odraca]

leaning houston/utah under 193

like the under in okc too...

[Karayilan9]

La Lakers 1st QTR

Overall 1st QTR stats for Lakers and Thunder:

Lakers - 62% Win ratio
Thunder - 38% Win ratio

Lakers have clear overall edge.

LA Laker Last 10 Away 1st QTR - W5 / L5 50%

Including Win against Thunder 1st QTR by 10 points last month

Thunder Home Last 10 1st QTR - W 3 / L 7 (Push 1) 30%

Thunder are a bad 1st QTR team, Lakers have been a little unpredictable on the road, however, they have a prooven track record against the Thunder.

If the 1st QTR line is -1.5 / -2 that is the play or 1st QTR on the ML just for safety.


SA Spurs 1st QTR

[FORMULA FORTE]

BIG play on GSW

[Dexter]

3/25 - wed

the spurs will be on a btb traveling to atlanta where the hawks have played very well this year. revenge spot for the hawks as well. projected line of -2.

-hawks (big)
_______________
clash of the titans in orlando, and boston is finally getting healthy and ready to start flexing their muscle again in the east. projected line of +2.5.

-celtics (big)
_______________
the warriors will be on btb vs the rested mavs who have been dominant in recent home games vs the warriors (3-1 ats winning all 4 games by an avg margin of 19ppg) projected line of -11.

-mavs (big)
______________

[cocknocker]

Rams to win the Super Bowl + 4,000,000.00

[cocknocker]

Just kiddin' I am taking the Utah Jazz-5.5

[kevsworld]

LAkers + over

[Karayilan9]

Does anyone know why the Lakers line is dropping? it was -8.5 now its -7.5

[alittlemoresound]

OK CITY will WIN tonight.... im pretty sure.. its about time the lakers dropped a game on the road. OK city played them pretty well at Staples center.... i was there and watched the whole game in very very good seats. Even met sascha V after... hes friggen tall dude Tv makes him look small. But he said this was the most under rated team the lakers play. They are fast and excellent shooters.... SO i wouldn't bet the lakers tonight.. maybe tease em... but don't bet the ML its not safe

[Karayilan9]

Alittlemoresound
OK CITY will WIN tonight.... im pretty sure.. its about time the lakers dropped a game on the road. OK city played them pretty well at Staples center.... i was there and watched the whole game in very very good seats. Even met sascha V after... hes friggen tall dude Tv makes him look small. But he said this was the most under rated team the lakers play. They are fast and excellent shooters.... SO i wouldn't bet the lakers tonight.. maybe tease em... but don't bet the ML its not safe

You goto make a more convincing case to take OK City.
Have you got anything solid as to why Lakers isn't a play? having a chat with an OK City player doesn't count

[csimmalavong]

very small chance of lakers losing..
okc doesnt look as impressive as before (before durants and greens injuries),
they simply dont have enough firepower

[shoebox]

I would take lakers 3q, OKC 4q------ride the typical laker trends till the wheels fall off!

[melincrea]

OKC +9.5 (B1)
Utah -5 (hook)
GSW +8.5 (hook) [changed from SA]

Going to tease them as well.

I would take lakers 3q, OKC 4q------ride the typical laker trends till the wheels fall off!

I like this trend. I've witnessed this happen several times, as the Lakers begin stroking their cocks in the 4th qtr because they're up double-digits.

[shoebox]

Rams to win the Super Bowl + 4,000,000.00

Might as well go with the chiefs to

Alright cocknocker,

who are you backing for the upcoming games in the ncaa tourney, I dont wanna miss out on your plays............

[Karayilan9]

Spurs is at -8 now does this usually happen, I'm not usually around during the day so was just wondering.

[whatisit]

Duncan might be sitting out today's game. I don't know when they will decide but either today or tomm he won't play...

[cocknocker]

Tim Duncan may not play today. I am not tuching that one, because i think that the worst thing to ever do is to get off of a team simply because a person isn't playing. If Duncan doesn't play, I will more than likley pound the over, as the Warriors are like gnats. If you don't have a big fly swatter back there they will be at the basket all night. And the Spurs would have to start scoring in order to keep up

[Dexter]

Duncan might be sitting out today's game. I don't know when they will decide but either today or tomm he won't play...

i dont care - i am sticking with the spurs no matter what. in fact i just booked it at the reduced price. no more of that cancelling crap for me

booked-

spurs -8.5 (big)

[Dexter]

Tim Duncan may not play today. I am not tuching that one, because i think that the worst thing to ever do is to get off of a team simply because a person isn't playing. If Duncan doesn't play, I will more than likley pound the over, as the Warriors are like gnats. If you don't have a big fly swatter back there they will be at the basket all night. And the Spurs would have to start scoring in order to keep up

i hear that, and have learned the hard way.

cant wait to get my plays at reduced prices next year with the star players not in.

[Dexter]

Just kiddin' I am taking the Utah Jazz-5.5

normal, big , heavy, PC?

where is grumpy?!

[cocknocker]

With 77% of bettors on the under, I like my chances of getting that over being of the minority

[cocknocker]

He's getting ready for his annual trip to Mexico. We have had some potential PC Plays but then there's always that one that disagrees and takes the wheels off.

[cocknocker]

Oh, I forgot... I played Uah HEAVY, Dex. No sense in not rewarding myself for all of the homework that I am doing.

[repski]

CK,

any leans on the FLA/PSU tonight?? Young FLA team peaking....smells like a PSU blowout??