Leans for Thursday 3/19/09

**SoonerGreg** · 03-19-09, 10:17 AM

Originally posted by BrandonLaz

Purdue -8 (Medium Wager)

UCLA -7.5 (LARGEST PLAY)

Michigan Wolverines (Medium Wager)

Illinois -4.5 (Medium Wager)

The Golden Gophers are on a strange streak that fits into play for us right here. Currently they are on a run where they win one game and lose one game. This fits in well right here as there last game was a loss. Memphis plays great in all neutral court games going 2-1 ATS. Like the rest of the Big Ten in non-conference games they are 5-2 ATS. They are playing a Texas team today that couldn't even beat the Razorback. When the total is 120 to 129.5 they are 1-5 ATS, and over the last 3 seasons they are 1-6 when playing with 5 or 6 days rest. Minnesota has the coach to take a team deep into the postseason and today they will get the job done against an overrated Texas squad.

Minnesota +4 (Small Wager)

I am with you on Purdue, UCLA, and Michigan.

I think the Illinois/W.Kentucky game could go either way so I'm not playing it.

The Texas/Minnesota game I think you are on the wrong side. Experience does play a factor in March Madness, and Texas has been to the Tourny 11 straight years and know what to expect. You are taking a team that 1s 4-7 in their last 11 with their 7 losses coming by an average of 10.5. I think playing against Texas b/c they lost to Arkansas is ridiculous. Arkansas beat my Sooners as well. That doesn't hold water to me.

**darkenergy** · 03-19-09, 10:54 AM

Originally posted by darkenergy

I think market rally is out of gas, tomorrow profit taken is add more fuel to the fire.
Time to short financial again for the next few days. I got in FAZ 24.75 this morning, expect it could get up around 35+ tomorrow. SKF also good.
Always put a tight stop as this market is extremely violent. Win or loss DO NOT hold it over the weekend.

For those of you who want to gamble, get in FAZ there's still room to profit. You might see 40+ by the end of today. Make sure stay put by your computer to get out if the market go again you, this stock moving really FAST.
BOL

**BrandonLaz** · 03-19-09, 11:00 AM

Originally posted by repski

Brandon,

nice cappin.....one thing on VCU....the line opened @ -10...the sharps hit it quickly on Sun down to -7.

I have been charting this on my own...just an observation.

Yea I noticed that as well I remember when the "Sharps" hit up the Texas Tech game against Oklahoma as soon as that opened up this year and that didn't work out to well for them. Don't get me wrong the sharps are right more often than they are wrong, but the public is wrong a higher percentage of the time.

**coolmil** · 03-19-09, 11:36 AM

Memphis decided not to show up 1st HF.

**nonsense48** · 03-19-09, 11:58 AM

well gang, 3-1 in nba for me yesterday. we should know by early next week if A.I. is finished in detroit. happy days are soon to be i hope.

**shoebox** · 03-19-09, 11:59 AM

nonsense you back now?

welcome

**repski** · 03-19-09, 12:11 PM

Memphis has 4 players with 2 fouls....they are a better 2nd half team though

**SoonerGreg** · 03-19-09, 12:20 PM

Anyone on Memphis -10 2H?

**peterpan19** · 03-19-09, 12:26 PM

I am

**Dexter** · 03-19-09, 12:39 PM

Originally posted by nonsense48

well gang, 3-1 in nba for me yesterday. we should know by early next week if A.I. is finished in detroit. happy days are soon to be i hope.

non - are you playing all the ncaa dogs? not sure if you saw my thread in the ncaa forum. all systems go for me. $100 per game - NO VIG

**Dexter** · 03-19-09, 12:39 PM

Originally posted by nonsense48

well gang, 3-1 in nba for me yesterday. we should know by early next week if A.I. is finished in detroit. happy days are soon to be i hope.

ur pistons roll tomorrow. sheed or no sheed.

**wangichu** · 03-19-09, 12:46 PM

i'm MLing any dogs i'm calling to win SU in my bracket just to see how it works...

TEX A&M ML
UTAH ST ML
Maryland ML
WKU ML
MINN ML
SIENA ML
WISC ML
TEMPLE ML

why not, if i win half of them i'm up

**Dexter** · 03-19-09, 12:49 PM

wang - i have an ncaa thread....come by

**ManBearPig** · 03-19-09, 01:08 PM

memphis decided to not show up at all today...down by 6. There goes the neighborhood.

**jasonjep** · 03-19-09, 02:19 PM

Ok boys, where is the free money tonight?

**The_Kid** · 03-19-09, 04:08 PM

Lebron James OVER 15 Assists + Rebounds

In the last meeting, James put up 14 assists and 7 rebounds. In his last 6 games, he has had 3 triple doubles and recorded more than this total 5 out of 6 times. That was when he put up 51 points against the Magic. I think this prop is too low. I really like this one. I don't think I have to explain it any further.

**dennisback** · 03-19-09, 04:23 PM

what bookie allows you to bet that`?

**repski** · 03-19-09, 04:47 PM

Originally posted by repski

ATL -6

-ATL is 6-0 ATS on this home stand
-ATL is 9-0 ATS @ home in the last 9 overall
-ATS is 7-0 ATS their last 7 vs. teams with a SU winning record
-ATL is 6 of their last 6 vs teams with a losing road record,
-ATL is 5-0 ATS their last 5 as a favorite,
-ATL is 5-0 ATS their last 5 games played on 1 days rest
-ATL is 5-0 ATS their last 5 vs. the Western conference

RLM going the other way now on this...no play for me

**mkchung** · 03-19-09, 04:55 PM

repski what's rlm? r line movement?

**TheLemonDropKid** · 03-19-09, 05:02 PM

THURSDAY'S

PLAYS

DAL MAVS + 5
CLE CAVS -10.5

OVERALL YTD IS 15-15

**natelli1** · 03-19-09, 05:03 PM

goinggg harddd on the lakers and the points tonightttt ...

$100 reverse(risking $220 to win $400)
lakers -7 1st half
lakers/warriors over 118 1st half
$100 reverse(risking $220 to win $400)
lakers -13 game
lakers/warriors over 231 game
$50 parlay(risking $50 to win $300)
lakers -7 1st half
lakers/warriors over 231 game
cavs -10.5 game
$100 10pt teaser(risking $120 to win $100)
lakers - 3 game
lakers/warriors over 221 game
cavs -.5 game

main reasons
-lakers are coming off of blowing a double digit 4th quarter lead to lose by a buzzer beating 3pt shot in L.A vs the 76ers
-kobe bryant had 11pts last game and now marco bellinelli, i repeat marco bellinelli, will try to cover this guy? are you joking kobe will drop 32+ easily
-golden state plays absolutley no defense whatsoever, not to mention biedrins(their best defenseive minded player) is still out

**King_Bookie** · 03-19-09, 05:17 PM

I bet on:

ATL -6

1. Hot streak is due for a burn out, but they'll probably go out in a blaze of glory from a "good" road team rather than this horrible road team you call the mavs.
2. ATL Home Court = Not a good place to be on the road.
3. ATL Home Record = Blows out teams much efficiently than Lakers does.

POR +10

1. Injuries don't mean nothing in the NBA (YAO, BOGUT, REDD, IVERSON*COUGH, ETC.)
2. -10 is a bit too much for Lebron and the boys.
3. I expect this to go UNDER tonight so the lead could reach 8 at most.

GSW +13

1. Huge ass spread. I'll bet the other team if this was the Clippers.
2. I expect this to go over, so expect another shoot out from both sides.
3. Phil Jackson is furious about his team's performance and may order his team to clamp down on defense. However, Steph Jackson is returning with fresh legs and he might shoot the hell out of Staples Center which might force Kobe to trade shots with him.
4. GSW, despite being a bad team both on road and at home, have shown signs of improving. I sure damn hope it doesnt disappear tonight.

Good Luck everyone, we'll gonna need it

**darkenergy** · 03-19-09, 05:37 PM

Originally posted by TheLemonDropKid

THURSDAY'S

PLAYS

DAL MAVS + 5
CLE CAVS -10.5

OVERALL YTD IS 15-15

I like your card lemond. Let's cash

**tommyminh** · 03-19-09, 05:40 PM

I dont know how ur think but here my pick

Dallas+5 over 196
Portland+10.5 Under 187
GSW+12.5 Under 231 on this why i should pick under, because GSW at home they good on score 3pt but away they suck at it....

**danrman** · 03-19-09, 05:44 PM

minnesota gophers are my big play... also tailing dexter w/ cleve. cavs.. public on portland

**peterpan19** · 03-19-09, 05:52 PM

ATL -5 booked
GL

**Dexter** · 03-19-09, 06:01 PM

i love how the cavs line got up and over the dreaded 9.5.

about 66 min till tipoff

**peterpan19** · 03-19-09, 06:10 PM

hey dexter I wish you the best for tonight... I mean its not often that you play a game 10x... GL

**Dexter** · 03-19-09, 06:24 PM

thx peter

**King_Bookie** · 03-19-09, 06:32 PM

Dallas darted of to a good start. Will our home court heroes come back amidst the ferocious disadvantage? Coming soon.

**peterpan19** · 03-19-09, 06:36 PM

cle -10 (dropped again)
cle -3 1st qtr

**King_Bookie** · 03-19-09, 06:52 PM

Somehow, I get a strong feeling that Maryland will meet Conneticut at the end of the regionals and Memphis will experience a huge upset. I think I'm going back to college basketball if this happens.

**Dexter** · 03-19-09, 06:56 PM

Originally posted by peterpan19

cle -10 (dropped again)
cle -3 1st qtr

whats "dropped again"?

**peterpan19** · 03-19-09, 07:00 PM

line dropped to 10 from 10.5
sorry

and right up to 10.5 after 5min

**isiah121** · 03-19-09, 07:11 PM

If Cleveland wins the game, I don't think it'll be by more than 10 points. So Portland +10.5 should be the play, especially when Portland has revenge on their mind. They would like to even up the season series with Cleveland, so I think Portland should play hard tonight. You never know what Brandon Roy will bring to the game, but this guy is clutch and amazing, so it wouldn't be as easy for Cleveland.