Leans for Thursday 3/12/09

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • cocknocker
    Restricted User
    • 11-06-08
    • 8001

    #1
    Leans for Thursday 3/12/09
    Oh yeah, with a limited schedule of games, I will be taking a plunge into college basketball today and i have a few that i think will be profitable. But as far as NBA is concerned:

    Cleveland moneyline...

    Cleveland team total to go over 111.5 (Projected)

    Cleveland -1 first quarter (projected)

    Lakers/Spurs under 194



    CBB

    Iowa+6 (bought a hook) L
    Indiana+9 (They're at home so why not?) L
    Indiana+4.5 1st half L
    Virginia Tech+4 (bought a hook) W
    NC State +2.5 (w/hook buy)
    Virginia+3.5 (No Play-bad line movement)
    Xavier-7 1st half W
    Xavier-12 (St. Louis played overtime yesterday) W
    Kansas/Baylor under 67 1st half L
    Memphis -12.5 1st half L
    Xavier-4 2nd half W



    All plays subject to change by morning. I am looking for favorable line movements before i ultimately pull the trigger. Do not play these games heavily as I am not playing anything heavy. I'm just having fun today and these areall fun wagers. And also as an added note, the Secret Plays are over for the year and there is no such thing as an SP in tournament games. So play the Memphis game small, and don't put over $100.00 on their first half. This is not a heavy play day by any means.
  • csimmalavong
    SBR MVP
    • 08-22-08
    • 1039

    #2
    itll be the public play
    Comment
    • cnleaf
      Restricted User
      • 11-08-08
      • 346

      #3
      Originally posted by csimmalavong
      itll be the public play
      That doesnt mean public is always wrong.
      Comment
      • sprasad03
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-06-09
        • 412

        #4
        cle is the play, i think spurs are the play tho kobe is a beast
        Comment
        • cocknocker
          Restricted User
          • 11-06-08
          • 8001

          #5
          What a shot by Devin Harris to bring home the bacon on a heavy wager! WOW. It even rolled around the rim a bit before going in. Teaser is in effect for sure now!
          Comment
          • sallysnax8
            SBR MVP
            • 01-22-09
            • 1686

            #6
            cleveland and lakers in a teaser..
            Comment
            • csimmalavong
              SBR MVP
              • 08-22-08
              • 1039

              #7
              Originally posted by cnleaf
              That doesnt mean public is always wrong.
              of course not, but just saying be aware and alert

              as a matter of fact i dont think ive seen one suns backer here so far lol
              Comment
              • Odraca
                SBR Sharp
                • 01-09-09
                • 265

                #8
                .
                Comment
                • texhooper
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-05-09
                  • 10001

                  #9
                  cleveland first quarter and over for the game. not taking sides for the entire game on that one because phoenix isn't playing too well and cleveland seems to blow chunks on thursday nights here since christmas.

                  lean spurs on the other game, but i hate betting against the lakers especially when they're getting points. game should be super tight, line is super tight, probably just watch that one.
                  Comment
                  • cocknocker
                    Restricted User
                    • 11-06-08
                    • 8001

                    #10
                    Clear case of Cleveland is a contender for the NBA title and Phoenix is not.

                    Cleveland team total to go over 111.5
                    Comment
                    • cocknocker
                      Restricted User
                      • 11-06-08
                      • 8001

                      #11
                      Originally posted by csimmalavong
                      itll be the public play
                      Which one?
                      Comment
                      • Chi_archie
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-22-08
                        • 63172

                        #12
                        nice all dogs in the NCAA.... looks good no ml's though? even for a half unit or somthing?
                        Comment
                        • Casi
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 02-16-09
                          • 506

                          #13
                          I took Cleveland -3.5.
                          The reason is quiet simple here, Phoniex will prolly be gutted after the home loss to Dallas.I expect this line to close at ~6.
                          Comment
                          • SlowRoll
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 02-04-09
                            • 203

                            #14
                            Jumping on the BandWagon...

                            Cleveland Cavaliers: Play 1st QTR
                            Cemented Line (-1.0)


                            Im definitely Jacking 'Sire C.K. on this 1. This play is basically automatic. The Cavs bent me over and stuck a hard one in my a$$ when they played at the Clips House on Tuesday. I was on them heavy x 3 for the 1st QTR. I expect them to repay me today. With the Suns lack of defense I expect Lebron and Momo to have a fun time running and gunning which also brings me into my next Lean.

                            [B]Cavs v.s. Suns: OVER [/b]

                            I really said it b4 but the Suns don't play D + they Run and Gun which ='s a High Scoring Game. I expect the Cavs to get off 2 a quick start and finish up strong with the Suns tagging along!


                            Record In C.K.'s Thread Published Plays 1-0
                            Comment
                            • repski
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-01-09
                              • 1929

                              #15
                              Big Day in the BIG EAST.....like the Elite Eight
                              Comment
                              • peterpan19
                                Restricted User
                                • 11-02-08
                                • 3377

                                #16
                                SA -2.5
                                b2b for Lakers, SA has revenge on their minds, plus SA is hot at home as of late going 6-1 ATS

                                Cle -4.5
                                Pho is toast, their season is over and CLE wants to show today what they can do against team that the public still thinks has something left, even the bad ATS and SU record in Pho for Cle doesnt bother me at all
                                Comment
                                • Dexter
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 12-24-08
                                  • 25829

                                  #17
                                  the cavs come rolling into phx, and lebron, moe etc should have 30 point qtrs with regularity vs that defense. hopefully it cashes, and i will just continue to ride these overs during a favorable stretch of games for the 7 second offense.

                                  -over suns (big)
                                  _________________
                                  while i hate to side with the public, i think the cavs have the horses to roll up and down the court with phx tonight - this is one of those games where you dont dig too deep - just play the better team on national tv.

                                  -cavs
                                  _________________
                                  the lakers are coming off a big road win last night making a nice comeback in hou. btb now facing the spurs in san antonio. each team has defended their home court this year, and i expect the hot spurs to continue rolling at home.

                                  -spurs
                                  Comment
                                  • Dexter
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 12-24-08
                                    • 25829

                                    #18
                                    nice peter - i just decided to add both sides.
                                    Comment
                                    • Dexter
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 12-24-08
                                      • 25829

                                      #19
                                      PROP PLAYERS - i would think any overs regarding moe williams and lebron should be layups tonight. would like to hear whats out there. these 2 should put on a show vs the suns defense.
                                      Comment
                                      • Dexter
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 12-24-08
                                        • 25829

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by cocknocker
                                        Iowa+5.5 probably will go to 6 on it's own
                                        Indiana+9 (They're at home so why not?)
                                        Virginia Tech+3
                                        NC State +1.5
                                        Virginia+3.5
                                        like the all dogs here - i will be starting my "underdog" thread once the ncaa tourney gets under way. me and non - all dogs, all day!
                                        Comment
                                        • peterpan19
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 11-02-08
                                          • 3377

                                          #21
                                          thx dexter good to see you on the same side

                                          I might do a 7pt teaser with Cle, SA and the over cle/pho later on

                                          count me in on the 1st qtr bet on CLE too,

                                          just booked:
                                          cle -4 (-114) (half pt buy, even though I dont think I need it)
                                          SA -2 (-125) (point buy, could be close one ...)

                                          early CBB game I like:
                                          VT +4

                                          edit: interesting thing again, JM play today ML is better than buying the 3 points ... nice
                                          Comment
                                          • JGILL50
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 10-31-08
                                            • 836

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Dexter
                                            like the all dogs here - i will be starting my "underdog" thread once the ncaa tourney gets under way. me and non - all dogs, all day!
                                            Hells ya Dex i agree the ncaa tourney is a dog players dream. with so much more public action than normal vegas can inflate lines that the public will smash anyway. that combined with teams with a large lead will sit players to rest them for the next round equals a lot of back door dog covers and a lot of smart money winners cant freakin wait. By the way i like SPURS tonight and i hope my man artest isnt walking to bow legged today after that pounding he took last night
                                            Comment
                                            • pho3nix32
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-09-09
                                              • 1465

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Dexter
                                              the lakers are coming off a big road win last night making a nice comeback in hou. btb now facing the spurs in san antonio. each team has defended their home court this year, and i expect the hot spurs to continue rolling at home.

                                              -spurs
                                              just a thought...

                                              lakers are 6-0 ATS as underdogs...kobe doesnt seem to like the idea of his team given points...
                                              Comment
                                              • JGILL50
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 10-31-08
                                                • 836

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by pho3nix32
                                                just a thought...

                                                lakers are 6-0 ATS as underdogs...kobe doesnt seem to like the idea of his team given points...
                                                I know i hate that SOB he always takes my money. i did name may son after him though go figure
                                                Comment
                                                • pho3nix32
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-09-09
                                                  • 1465

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by JGILL50
                                                  I know i hate that SOB he always takes my money. i did name may son after him though go figure
                                                  good name dude...the guy is a competitor and a winner...your son will grow up to be a winner as well
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BmoreBucco
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 12-10-08
                                                    • 278

                                                    #26
                                                    Jack McClinton's knee still isn't 100%, and as he goes so do the Hurricanes. With two middle of the road clubs, I'll take the points, especially when the team getting the points won the only match-up between the two clubs, on the road to boot.

                                                    Virginia Tech +4 (bought hook)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • repski
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-01-09
                                                      • 1929

                                                      #27
                                                      Texas Tech/Missouri over 159.5

                                                      TT has gone over the total in 22-7-2 overall.
                                                      TT has gone over in 19-7-1 in Big 12 games
                                                      TT has gone over in 4-1-1 on a neutral court
                                                      TT has gone over in 18-6-2 as underdogs
                                                      Mizzou went over the total in three of their last four.
                                                      The over is 6-2 in the last eight years in this rivalry.
                                                      These two went over the 159½-point total in their only meeting this season, finishing at 193.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Casi
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 02-16-09
                                                        • 506

                                                        #28
                                                        I might play the Lakers...hard to not think about them as an underdog.
                                                        How do you cap Kobe? He is always after some kind of record
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Dexter
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 12-24-08
                                                          • 25829

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Casi
                                                          I might play the Lakers...hard to not think about them as an underdog.
                                                          How do you cap Kobe? He is always after some kind of record
                                                          cmon now casi - you call this a sharp analysis?!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Casi
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 02-16-09
                                                            • 506

                                                            #30
                                                            haha pal, nope
                                                            Comment
                                                            • solobass
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-15-09
                                                              • 1277

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Dexter
                                                              the cavs come rolling into phx, and lebron, moe etc should have 30 point qtrs with regularity vs that defense. hopefully it cashes, and i will just continue to ride these overs during a favorable stretch of games for the 7 second offense.

                                                              -over suns (big)
                                                              _________________
                                                              while i hate to side with the public, i think the cavs have the horses to roll up and down the court with phx tonight - this is one of those games where you dont dig too deep - just play the better team on national tv.

                                                              -cavs
                                                              _________________
                                                              the lakers are coming off a big road win last night making a nice comeback in hou. btb now facing the spurs in san antonio. each team has defended their home court this year, and i expect the hot spurs to continue rolling at home.

                                                              -spurs

                                                              You like Suns over almost as much as Paul Milsap! Small NBA card which is actually a blessing. I have been backtesting some new formulas and the best one of course takes the longest to do, about 20 mins of math per game.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • cocknocker
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 11-06-08
                                                                • 8001

                                                                #32
                                                                Also adding

                                                                Xavier-7 1st half
                                                                Xavier-12 game

                                                                St. Louis played an overtime game last night and I am looking to get in on it. Small play on the first half to seeif tey are truly tired. If that one doesn't cash i will double up on Xavier for the 2nd half. They are coming in off a loss and will be in a foul mood. I have this team going to the final four, so they better no let me down come NCAA Tourney time

                                                                Now just a heads up, I am not playing these college games heavy by any means. The most that i will put up on one for the game is $250.00 and $100.00 (at the very most) for 1st halves is as high as I'll go. These are just fun bets and are being treated as such. I don't encourage anyone to go heavy if they are tailing me as I am not going heavy on them, and not putting much stock in these. I made a ton of money yesterday and I am not about to give back any of it on bone head college boys looking for a 5 dime handout from a local
                                                                Comment
                                                                • peterpan19
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 11-02-08
                                                                  • 3377

                                                                  #33
                                                                  booked:VT +4 (small)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • repski
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-01-09
                                                                    • 1929

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                                    Also adding

                                                                    Xavier-7 1st half
                                                                    Xavier-12 game

                                                                    St. Louis played an overtime game last night and I am looking to get in on it. Small play on the first half to seeif tey are truly tired. If that one doesn't cash i will double up on Xavier for the 2nd half. They are coming in off a loss and will be in a foul mood. I have this team going to the final four, so they better no let me down come NCAA Tourney time

                                                                    Now just a heads up, I am not playing these college games heavy by any means. The most that i will put up on one for the game is $250.00 and $100.00 (at the very most) for 1st halves is as high as I'll go. These are just fun bets and are being treated as such. I don't encourage anyone to go heavy if they are tailing me as I am not going heavy on them, and not putting much stock in these. I made a ton of money yesterday and I am not about to give back any of it on bone head college boys looking for a 5 dime handout from a local
                                                                    I'm leaning under 120...St. Louis can't shoot...horrible %wise...they will slow the game down as much as they can...IMHO
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BmoreBucco
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 12-10-08
                                                                      • 278

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Terrance Williams came back to college so he could lead his Cardinals to a title. Well, it's postseason time baby, and this guy will come to play. He averages 8.5 rebounds on the season, and I think he will take it up a notch and be around the ball all postseason. Starting today!

                                                                      Terrance Williams over 8 rebounds (-120)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      Search
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...