Just another NBA picking thread

[bihon]

I recently abandoned totals, but I still want to test it more deeply in live environment.
So...

Chi/Phi Under 195.5 @1.93
Char/Brook Under 193.5 @1.93
Ind/NY Under 192.5 @1.91
Uta/Mem Under 187 @1.97
Min/Dal Over 210 @1.97
SA/LAL Under 220 @1.98

[bihon]

Games 2014-Mar-20:


Houston @1.33
Washington +4.5 @1.95


O/U:
Min/Hou Over 214 @1.94
Mil/GSW Under 206 @1.97 3 units

[bihon]

Games 2014-Mar-21:


Philadelphia +11.5 @1.95
Indiana -5.5 @1.93 3 units
Atlanta -6 @1.95
Miami @1.45
Boston +9.5 @1.93
Dallas -7.5 @1.91
Washington -5 @1.95
Oklahoma @1.7


For real gamblers: Possible Overtime Oklahoma/Toronto @12.0

[bihon]

Games 2014-Mar-22:


Portland @1.95
Miami -5.5 @1.93
Houston -8 @1.88
Philadelphia +16.5 @1.91
Utah -5 @1.91
San Antonio @2.22


For real gamblers: Possible Overtime Portland/Charlotte @12.0

[bihon]

Early games 2014-Mar-23:


Toronto -6.5 @1.91
Washington @2.17


For real gamblers: Possible Overtime Washington/Denver @12.0

[bihon]

Later games 2014-Mar-23:


Dallas -4.5 @1.9
Lakers -4 @1.92
Cleveland +10 @1.95

[bihon]

Games 2014-Mar-24:


Minnesota +7.5 @1.97 2 units

Clippers -16 @1.91 3 units


For real gamblers: Possible Overtime Minnesota/Memphis @12.0

[bihon]

Games 2014-Mar-25:


Toronto -4 @1.93
Portland -6 @1.93
Oklahoma -3 @1.97
Lakers +7.5 @1.97

[bihon]

Games 2014-Mar-26:


Toronto -3.5 @1.98
Cleveland +6.5 @1.94
Indiana -2 @1.95 5 units
Minnesota -6 @2.0
Denver +13.5 @1.93




NY/Sacramento Possible Overtime @12.0

[bihon]

Games 2014-Mar-27:


Clippers @1.97
Atlanta +4.5 @1.97
Lakers +3 @1.93

[bihon]

Games 2014-Mar-28:


Indiana @1.83
Orlando +4.5 @1.97
Miami -6.5 @1.99
Pelicans -6.5 @1.95
Minnesota -11 @1.95
Portland +4.5 @2
Spurs -7.5 @1.94
Knicks +6 @1.95
Phoenix @1.42
GSW -2 @1.98

[bihon]

Games 2014-Mar-29:


Houston @1.88
Miami -9 @1.94

[bihon]

Games 2014-Mar-30:


Indiana @1.47
Oklahoma -15 @1.95
Minnesota +4 @1.95
Toronto -4.5 @1.91
Portland -1.5 @2.00

[bihon]

Games 2014-Mar-31:


Indiana +4 @1.95
Miami @1.43
Pelicans -3.5 @1.99
Memphis @1.51
Denver +5 @1.95

[bihon]

3-11 on Indiana games. For some reason that team doesn't fit the system.

[bihon]

Games 2014-Apr-01:


Portland -8.5 @1.91
GSW +4 @2.02

[bihon]

Games 2014-Apr-02:


Indiana -9.5 @1.81
Orlando +3 @1.73
Atlanta +3 @1.82
Miami -12.5 @1.86
Minnesota @2.66
GSW +10 @1.92
Denver -3 @1.85
Clippers +3.5 @1.85

[bihon]

Games 2014-Apr-03:


Clippers -11 @2.04
San Antonio @2.51

[bihon]

Games 2014-Apr-04:


Denver +10.5 @1.82
Atlanta @1.81 3 units
Portland -3.5 @1.84
Washington +5 @1.94 3 units

[bihon]

Games 2014-Apr-05:


Minnesota @1.54
Detroit @1.41
Charlotte +4.5 @1.85
Toronto -7 @1.92

[bihon]

That's it.


208 games played, 225 units invested.


ATS+ML: 122-83-4, 60% Win Rate, +12.50
O/U+OT: 5-19-1, 21% WR, -2
Total: 225 plays, +10.50, +4.65% Return


All bets were actually done.


Obviously 70% was too demanding and was based on pure feeling.
The technical part of the system is based on ML and ATS, single unit per play, while O/U, OT and progressive units
were played experimentaly (never tested) expecting higher return.
As usual, experimenting during the system play was heavily punished.
12 units lost on O/U, 5 units lost on wrong data input and additional unnecessary 4 units lost on progressive play or slight chasing.
No wonder that computer tracking with plays according to the rules produced 14,9% return.


Nevertheless 4.65% in less than 1,5 month, achieved with the human error involved, translates into roughly 40% yearly return WITHOUT compounding,
thus based on the same unit size all year long.


So, mission completed. I will stop posting picks unless someone being interested in more.
Thanks for following.

[Pattycakes0909]

bihon, I have been following your thread, and a few others over the course of about a month. I want to start by saying congratulations on your success.

There are soooooo many people on SBR with self-proclaimed status's as "professionals", systems paying unreal %'s, and threads promising to make you $$ simply by tailing them. it is impossible to follow it all, and frankly would be a huge waste of time to try and do so.....With that being said, in my opinion, you have proven to have consistent success (although a relatively small sample size), and if it isn't too much trouble for you to continue to post your plays based on your system, I will continue to follow.....

I believe if you have a system that proves to provide some sort of positive ROI, between that and your personal opinion based on the eye-test, that is the best way to have long term success at this.....BOL and I look forward to your future picks

[bihon]

Thanks Pattycakes0909.

OK, I will try to post a few hundreds more, this time strictly ML & ATS, single unit per play.


2014-Apr-06 early games:


Miami -6.5 @1.96
Clippers -16 @1.93

[Pattycakes0909]

Are these teaser bets or are these halftime bets? Sorry for the confusion.

[bihon]

Are these teaser bets or are these halftime bets? Sorry for the confusion.

Another input error, those were indeed halftimers which I don't play here, corrected above.
Thank you for being sharp on this.

Clippers max -19 for the game, Miami max -7.

[bihon]

2014-Apr-06 later games:


Indiana -7.5 @1.89
Dallas @1.3
Houston -11.5 @2.09
GSW -12 @2.0
Portland -9 @1.79
Phoenix +3.5 @1.83

[bihon]

Games 2014-Apr-08:


Still to come...

[bihon]

Games 2014-Apr-08:


Miami -6 @1.8
Dallas -7.5 @2.0
Oklahoma -8 @1.82
Houston -9 @1.95
Atlanta @1.36

[bihon]

Games 2014-Apr-09:


Detroit +7.5 @1.81
Washington @1.45
Atlanta -6.5 @1.81
Minnesota @2.28
Clippers -2.5 @1.85

Detroit +7.5 is a very strong play IMO, even possible overtime bet should be considered.

[bihon]

Games 2014-Apr-10:


San Antonio @2.15

[bihon]

Games 2014-Apr-11:


Miami -5 @1.83
New York +6.5 @1.77
Charlotte @1.52
Houston @2.04
Cleveland @1.52
San Antonio -4 @2.0
GSW -8.5 @1.79
Portland -8 @1.81

[bihon]

Games 2014-Apr-12:


Atlanta +5.5 @1.85
Houston -14.5 @1.95
Phoenix +5.5 @1.79
Denver -8.5 @1.81

[bihon]

Games 2014-Apr-13:


New York +4 @1.91
Portland @1.56
Minnesota @2.21
Lakers +11.5 @2.04

[bihon]

Games 2014-Apr-14:


Miami +4.5 @1.97
Tor -10 @1.8
Atlanta +4.5 @1.89
Okla -6.5 @1.79
San Antonio +5 @2.09
Phoenix @1.68

[bihon]

Games 2014-Apr-15:


Clippers -8.5 @1.78
Nets -6.5 @2.0