Suns -9 @ Milwaukee?????

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  • ChicagoCover
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-11-10
    • 661

    #1
    Suns -9 @ Milwaukee?????
    Thoughts anyone?



    Still breaking down this game. Here are some must read trends

    Suns are 11-3 ATS after allowing 105pts or more

    Suns are 18-7 ATS vs poor defensive teams allowing 99+ pts/game

    Bucks are 1-13 ATS when playing a team with a winning record

    Bucks are 3-10 ATS in January (1-12 Straight up)

    --
    LAST 5 GAMES
    Suns are averaging 111.8pts (4-1 ATS)

    Bucks are averaging 87.4pts (1-4 ATS) / Bucks are allowing opp to score 106pts avg L5
    --

    Fav is 7-1 ATS L8 Meetings
    Suns are 5-2 L7 meetings



    Line too big?
  • Spudymatt
    SBR High Roller
    • 01-19-14
    • 103

    #2
    I'm getting on Suns. They are red hot!!!
    Im even thinking 11+ for extra value
    Comment
    • face
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-31-11
      • 14740

      #3
      suns might be scared

      who will guard brandon knight???
      Brandon Knight, PG 28 3-12 0-5 3-4 0 2 2 7 0 0 2 2 -29 9
      Comment
      • Spudymatt
        SBR High Roller
        • 01-19-14
        • 103

        #4
        How are the bucks at defending 3pt shots?
        The Suns will pull away if they get a fair few clean shots from downtown..

        Hey Chicago cover, what are your thoughts on Wizards +8.5 vs clippers?
        I am also very keen on Philly +5.0 vs Boston...

        Help!!
        Comment
        • Spudymatt
          SBR High Roller
          • 01-19-14
          • 103

          #5
          Originally posted by face
          who will guard brandon knight???
          Brandon Knight, PG 28 3-12 0-5 3-4 0 2 2 7 0 0 2 2 -29 9
          Yeah I'd be hoping Knight has another shocker like that stat you have posted lol
          I'm assuming 0-5 is 3 pointers??
          Comment
          • face
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-31-11
            • 14740

            #6
            haha yea vs. clippers
            bucks 27th in opposing team 3 pt % defense
            Comment
            • ChicagoCover
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 07-11-10
              • 661

              #7
              Originally posted by Spudymatt
              How are the bucks at defending 3pt shots?
              The Suns will pull away if they get a fair few clean shots from downtown..

              Hey Chicago cover, what are your thoughts on Wizards +8.5 vs clippers?
              I am also very keen on Philly +5.0 vs Boston...

              Help!!
              I'm waiting too see some other posts later in the day about the Philly/Boston pick.

              Wiz/Clip, if you want the wizards jump on them now. If you want the clippers wait till they get at -8. It'll be a close cover either way
              Comment
              • ChicagoCover
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 07-11-10
                • 661

                #8
                Originally posted by face
                haha yea vs. clippers
                bucks 27th in opposing team 3 pt % defense

                Face,

                Suns or Bucks?
                Comment
                • face
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-31-11
                  • 14740

                  #9
                  i'm taking suns
                  i'm sure bucks will try and play better but the fact is they miss layups and jumpshots like crazy, they simply can't shoot very well
                  they do some other things ok
                  gl whatever you decide
                  Comment
                  • Gopi-1
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-27-10
                    • 952

                    #10
                    Phoenix Suns -8.5 +100 / Milwaukee Bucks +8.5 -110

                    My local line has this to offer, it kinda feel weird whenever I see 2 different vigs on the same game this early, and it's not even 5 am...
                    Comment
                    • brewcrew2k
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-26-10
                      • 1158

                      #11
                      Just bet against the bucks the rest if the year. You will make a profit!
                      Comment
                      • bigballr9989
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 10-11-11
                        • 212

                        #12
                        The suns will win this game by 30 if the 3 falls for them tonight. If it doesn't and Milwaukee is able to hit some shots it will be a close one. Suns are fun to watch, but let's face it they don't play D. Bucks missed an astronomical amount of wide open looks vs LAC on Monday. As bad as they are, these guys are still professionals and their shots will have to fall at some point. I've made thousands betting against Milwaukee this season and plan on doing so again tonight, but I don't expect this game to be as easy of a ride as the LAC game. It's going to come down to who hits shots. Suns have been hot, but we'll see.

                        edit: 5dimes has Suns -8 -105.
                        Comment
                        • blerpblerp
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 01-17-14
                          • 88

                          #13
                          This smells like a 1q or 1half bet for the suns for me depending on the lines.
                          Comment
                          • YungCiroq
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 01-21-13
                            • 299

                            #14
                            Suns -9
                            Seems like a good play to me
                            Comment
                            • 44 Mag
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 10-14-13
                              • 34490

                              #15
                              Originally posted by bigballr9989
                              The suns will win this game by 30 if the 3 falls for them tonight. If it doesn't and Milwaukee is able to hit some shots it will be a close one. Suns are fun to watch, but let's face it they don't play D. Bucks missed an astronomical amount of wide open looks vs LAC on Monday. As bad as they are, these guys are still professionals and their shots will have to fall at some point. I've made thousands betting against Milwaukee this season and plan on doing so again tonight, but I don't expect this game to be as easy of a ride as the LAC game. It's going to come down to who hits shots. Suns have been hot, but we'll see.

                              edit: 5dimes has Suns -8 -105.
                              Hope Phoenix doesn't get caught looking ahead to tomorrow match with Indy...
                              Comment
                              • iHateBetting12
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 12-22-13
                                • 429

                                #16
                                This line should be -15, Mil is garbage and Suns score at will. -8.5 is a big spread NBA wise but I feel like it should be bigger imo.
                                Comment
                                • Highsaac
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 01-21-14
                                  • 208

                                  #17
                                  took -8.5 immediately. the thought of Mil keeping up offensively with PHX is hilarious. it just isn't happening unless PHX can't hit 3s. but wait! Mil is the 4th worst team in the league for opponent 3-point %. and now I await Mil winning SU and making us all look stupid.
                                  Comment
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