NBA is my bitch

[Yerba Lurker]

So I do not usually jump on player props, as I feel it is hard to have a consistent winners, but I did find something in the Nuggets/Warriors game that I thought was interesting. If Lawson is out for Denver, which is likely, most likely Steph Curry will be more aggressive offensively and will be looking for his shot. With David Lee out too for the Warriors, one less big man to dish the ball to. Steph's over/under for assists tonight is set at 8 1/2, with EVEN offered on the under (-125 on the over). With the line set at -12 for the game favoring the Warriors, if the Warriors get up big early, Curry could sit late in the fourth, and I just do not see him piling up 9 assists tonight. Either way, I think he will be looking for his shot early, and 9 assists tonight is simply too much to ask.

Love this sort of explanation/analysis/reason. Need more of them on this forum.

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

So I do not usually jump on player props, as I feel it is hard to have a consistent winners, but I did find something in the Nuggets/Warriors game that I thought was interesting. If Lawson is out for Denver, which is likely, most likely Steph Curry will be more aggressive offensively and will be looking for his shot. With David Lee out too for the Warriors, one less big man to dish the ball to. Steph's over/under for assists tonight is set at 8 1/2, with EVEN offered on the under (-125 on the over). With the line set at -12 for the game favoring the Warriors, if the Warriors get up big early, Curry could sit late in the fourth, and I just do not see him piling up 9 assists tonight. Either way, I think he will be looking for his shot early, and 9 assists tonight is simply too much to ask.

Curry averages 8.5 assists on the year. And is averaging 10 assists in these first 4 games of April. Last season he averaged 9 assists a game. Nuggets dont really play D and will be giving up a lot of easy points in transition. And maybe possibly long passes off Curry steals...

[Pattycakes0909]

Now the Mavs/Spurs game is up to 202....Up 3 points in 4 hours....If this gets up to 203 or higher, I am going Under

[Pattycakes0909]

So all three match ups so far this year ended at 202 or higher, so people must be betting on solely their matchups this year or something.....From what I see, this game should be going under....The Spurs could only put up 91 against a bad Wolves team two nights ago, and are only averaging 99 over their last 3 games.....The Mavericks are only averaging 98.3 over their last 3, and only put up 95 against Utah, and 93 against Sacramento their last two games....

So again, what am I missing here...how is the smart $$$ not on the under?

[ithinkiamgood]

Agree Patty been looking at that under since last night

[Pattycakes0909]

I am considering pulling the trigger now at 202 on the under, unsure if this can possibly be pushed up any higher.....

[adrupert]

So all three match ups so far this year ended at 202 or higher, so people must be betting on solely their matchups this year or something.....From what I see, this game should be going under....The Spurs could only put up 91 against a bad Wolves team two nights ago, and are only averaging 99 over their last 3 games.....The Mavericks are only averaging 98.3 over their last 3, and only put up 95 against Utah, and 93 against Sacramento their last two games....

So again, what am I missing here...how is the smart $$$ not on the under?

I'm sure dallas will bring more of their "A game" when playing san antonio than against utah or sacramento. Teams tend to play up or down to competition in the NBA often. Thats got to be noted, I wouldnt take much out of their recent games tbh. I am still in agreement on the under for this game but for other reasons.

[ithinkiamgood]

Dal/SA under 102 2H

[Pattycakes0909]

Somehow got on the under 104 (-105)....not sure what this book was thinking there....

[akay47]

Anything on the late game KP?

[ithinkiamgood]

gs -7 1H

[AndrewMcCutchen]

gs -7 1H

[xtjan]

any 2h plays?

[ithinkiamgood]

Ty Cutch cheers bro! nah thats it xtjan, looks like a 18-8 run not bad.

[erocking]

nah

i feel the same way. GS line jump up from 3 1/2 to 4 1/2 , hmm makes me want to back denver

[ithinkiamgood]

Newcastle Jets +139

[TT52]

Got it.

[Pattycakes0909]

Getting back on the winning track with another 4 team - 10 point teaser

Bucks +14.5, Jazz +17.5, Grizz -5, Bulls -0.5....

ended up even yesterday after a couple of profitable days in a row, time to get back in the black today

[Pattycakes0909]

Also added one more teaser for the day Bucks +14.5, Thunder -5, Grizz -5, Bulls -0.5

[Pattycakes0909]

I know this is an NBA thread, so I am only posting this once, and then back to the real sport. I have found a bit of luck the last 3 PGA tourney's, picking 2 of the 3 winners.....I usually try to find some value picks, and end up picking between 5-7 golfers before the tourney starts....You can still get some great odds right now....I'm on

1. Henrick Stenson - 28/1
2. Louis Oosthuizen - 51/1
3. Steve Stricker - 52/1
4. Fred Couples - 70/1
5. Charles Schwartzel - 85/1

All of these guys have played well at Augusta, and I could see a couple of them playing late on Sunday for it all.....BOL to anyone who jumps on board....Back to the NBA....

Adding KJ Choi to this at 40/1 right now.....

[ithinkiamgood]

Newcastle Jets +139

$$$

[ustrcblue]

Do u got any plays for today I think I am good??

[ithinkiamgood]

200-151 Nba ats

Yeah ustrc will post them up later I have my eye on a few plays.

[ustrcblue]

200-151 Nba ats

Yeah ustrc will post them up later I have my eye on a few plays.

Ok thanks keep up the great work man!

[Jarman]

Looking forward to your picks tonight KP!

[ithinkiamgood]

Jar any ufc plays tonight?

[Jarman]

I like Roy Nelson in the main event but there's nothing I would really consider a "lock" for tonight KP. There are quite a few fights in the next couple of weeks that I feel confident about though. I'll be sure to shoot you a pm

[Pattycakes0909]

Or you could post them on the page.....?

[ithinkiamgood]

cool bro ill be looking for them.... lean wizards,Detroit,Suns,Warriors

Love Phx tonight

[AndrewMcCutchen]

Looks good bro. Quick question...I'm sure your aware Dragic is doubtful. Does that factor into why you love Phx?

[Pattycakes0909]

Ha, So I live in downtown Minneapolis, and last night there was a concert at a place called Epic, Hardwell was playing.....We got there and about 15 minutes late, and who is right next to us....Nikola Pekovich, with 5 sexy girls, and they go up to a suite right above where my buddies and I were having some drinks. Dude proceeded to get WASTED last night, straight up drunk as hell....Stumbled out of there and got into his limo....At first I thought he was back in the line up tonight, so I figured this could be some unique information to know as a bettor, but sad to find out he is still injured....too bad....

[ithinkiamgood]

Horny might be playing mindgames with Pop so he will bench Duncan and Ginobili lol, Duncan has to sit after the high usage last night and b2b. I hope Dragic plays but I still like them either way.

[JonEJet]

http://news.rotowire.com/Goran-Dragic-googid198070-spnba.htm

[ithinkiamgood]

Ha, So I live in downtown Minneapolis, and last night there was a concert at a place called Epic, Hardwell was playing.....We got there and about 15 minutes late, and who is right next to us....Nikola Pekovich, with 5 sexy girls, and they go up to a suite right above where my buddies and I were having some drinks. Dude proceeded to get WASTED last night, straight up drunk as hell....Stumbled out of there and got into his limo....At first I thought he was back in the line up tonight, so I figured this could be some unique information to know as a bettor, but sad to find out he is still injured....too bad....

lmfao at Nikola thinking he's KP .... awesome story

[ithinkiamgood]

Wizards -4 1H
Pistons +10