CK Mafia Leans for 3/1/09..

bumppinee · 03-01-09, 11:06 AM

All right people, ill started off great yesterday and ended terrible.
Im going with the detroit/boston under 180 , detroit rarely shoot threes and walks the ball up and down the court, boston is stingy at home, don't have to worry about a lot of points in the paint since rasheed wallace is always at the three point line. The under has hit in 7 of 9 games on the road against boston.

BrandonLaz · 03-01-09, 11:09 AM

bumppinee the trends back you on that play the only thing I am worried about is the Detroit defense this year has been horrible. I don't think I can trust a low line with how bad their d has played.

Jimbo42 · 03-01-09, 11:14 AM

Wow... NO Hornets just moved from -3.5 to -4.5 at the greek.. and Houston from -5.5 to -6.5...

AdaBarber · 03-01-09, 11:14 AM

I guess Boston is a play 3-0 or I don't count because I rarely post my thoughts?

Dexter · 03-01-09, 11:17 AM

Originally posted by AdaBarber

I guess Boston is a play 3-0 or I don't count because I rarely post my thoughts?

sorry adabarber...i didnt see post 24 at first. you are on the BB...ive seen good contributions from you in the past.

solobass · 03-01-09, 11:19 AM

Originally posted by billcat

Solo-

I liked your writeup so much that I played it blind.

thanks, let's cash this ticket brother! victory for MSU!

repski · 03-01-09, 11:20 AM

Wisconsin -7
Michigan has been in over their head against the better teams in this conference on the road. They have lost at Purdue by 18, Ohio State by 18, Penn State by 15 and Illinois by 15.
They own just two road wins all season and those games were against Northwestern in overtime and Indiana also in overtime.
They have yet to beat any opponent on their own home floor in regulation this year.
Despite playing with 73-61 home loss revenge I simply can't see this Michigan squad being competitive on the road.
A main reason is they really underperform offensively away from home. In Big 10 games they have produced 60 in overtime, 70 in overtime, 49, 54, 58, 51 and 72 points in overtime.

Wisconsin has a pretty good chance to end the regular season with 20 victories. They need home wins over Michigan and Indiana with a road victory at Minnesota. They have won five of their last six games with only a loss at Michigan State keeping them from bringing a solid winning streak into this affair.
I look for the Wisconsin defense which has held six straight opponents to 61 points or less to dominate this game.

TheLemonDropKid · 03-01-09, 11:25 AM

Originally posted by hockeytown11

solo what book do you use?

Yo HTown.......any ICPs today bro???

AdaBarber · 03-01-09, 11:26 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

sorry adabarber...i didnt see post 24 at first. you are on the BB...ive seen good contributions from you in the past.

Thanks Dex.

cocknocker · 03-01-09, 11:27 AM

Oh I'm through today. What a wonderful night! When I make it back home I'm gonna lay across the couch. But I have my pickerooos.

Boston-7.5 (buying a point)
Maryland+4
Phoenix+6.5 (buying a hook)
Minnesota+6.5 (The lil homie Jimbo42's Play)
Boston2.5 1st quarter
Warriors+4.5 (Forgot to list it here, but it's in the thread)
Warriors+8.5/Toronto+10 Teased (added play)
Warriors-.5 2nd half

CBB

West Virginia-10.5
West Virginia-6.5 1st half
West Virginia-7 2nd half
and of course the JM Play of the Day

therber2 · 03-01-09, 11:28 AM

Nice write up Dex. I like how you are including who supports the plays in the main thread. Good idea!

Here's my picks:

Utah ML and -5 (Big)
New Orleans (-4)

JM B
Toronto: +7 (Buy 2pts)

solobass · 03-01-09, 11:31 AM

Originally posted by repski

Wisconsin -7
Michigan has been in over their head against the better teams in this conference on the road. They have lost at Purdue by 18, Ohio State by 18, Penn State by 15 and Illinois by 15.
They own just two road wins all season and those games were against Northwestern in overtime and Indiana also in overtime.
They have yet to beat any opponent on their own home floor in regulation this year.
Despite playing with 73-61 home loss revenge I simply can't see this Michigan squad being competitive on the road.
A main reason is they really underperform offensively away from home. In Big 10 games they have produced 60 in overtime, 70 in overtime, 49, 54, 58, 51 and 72 points in overtime.

Wisconsin has a pretty good chance to end the regular season with 20 victories. They need home wins over Michigan and Indiana with a road victory at Minnesota. They have won five of their last six games with only a loss at Michigan State keeping them from bringing a solid winning streak into this affair.
I look for the Wisconsin defense which has held six straight opponents to 61 points or less to dominate this game.

very good writeup on this game. what scared me away from this is there is one equalizer in college hoops, the 3 pointer. michigan is very streaky but shot 50% at home to beat purdue in their last game. that being said best of luck i hope you cash it!

google99 · 03-01-09, 11:32 AM

BOS o/u dropped to 178.5

Dfjay9 · 03-01-09, 11:33 AM

I'm on Ohio Marquette and Boston i nthe early games

Jimbo42 · 03-01-09, 11:33 AM

Good morning fellas...I know a lot of y'all are on the Celts.. but when a team breaks a losing streak something happens. I don't know if its psychological or what... but they get that winning feeling/ confidence back! You saw it happen with Philly vs. the Knicks on Fri. (they had just broken their 4game losing str w/ win vs. Wiz). And you saw it last week with NJ vs. Chicago (had just broken 5 game slide).. With the RLM movement from Boston -9 to -8.5... makes this even stronger in my mind.
DETROIT +8.5 and a few pennies on the M/L

TheLemonDropKid · 03-01-09, 11:34 AM

Originally posted by cocknocker

Oh I'm through today. What a wonderful night! When I make it back home I'm gonna lay across the couch. But I have my pickerooos.

Boston-7.5 (buying a point)
Maryland-3.5
Phoenix+4
Minnesota+6.5 (The lil homie Jimbo42's Play)

CBB

West Virginia-10.5
West Virginia-6.5 1st half

and of course the JM Play of the Day

Man.....for some reason I can never find the JM thread on here.....anybody??

lonesomeloser · 03-01-09, 11:37 AM

I know youse mafia fools have all been waiting all day

for LONESOMES PICK OF THE DAY so here it is :

DENVER ML

Dexter · 03-01-09, 11:43 AM

Originally posted by TheLemonDropKid

Man.....for some reason I can never find the JM thread on here.....anybody??

i gave you the link last time

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-handicapping/139113-jm-chase-system-1000-bank-roll.html

anton soroka · 03-01-09, 11:50 AM

LA -4.5 , boston ML and over 178.5 no doubt

MoneyintheBank09 · 03-01-09, 11:55 AM

is AI playing tonight?

ASH0479 · 03-01-09, 11:56 AM

....

Pistons +9 (bought the hook); I see this game being a little closer than most expect with Boston eventually winning by 4-7pts

Lakers - 4 ; Not sure how much i like it, I am assuming that even with Nash back, he wont be healty, Suns have nobody to check Odom or Kobe...

Those are my two plays for today on the NBA side; good luck to everyone else

Dexter · 03-01-09, 12:03 PM

i see a lot of new faces posting picks (even you lonesomeloser) - this is great stuff, and im happy in the participation. this has been the worst nba week i have had all year (i went from winning every large play last week, to losing every large play this week), so a joint effort is welcome on my end.

i went from winning every large play last week, to losing every large play this week.

AdaBarber · 03-01-09, 12:03 PM

Hey Dex, my pop's selling his brownstone on Washington Ave between Tillary and Myrtle. U wanna buy it? LOL. What part are you from Dex?

shoebox · 03-01-09, 12:06 PM

Utah jazz -4.5 booked it last night, why is nobody talking about this?????

Also waiting to see how stiff the line is on Ind +2, bet with joe public and see what happens

hockeytown71 · 03-01-09, 12:08 PM

NHL Plays for today:
Pitt/Dallas Over 5.5
LA/Chi Over 5.5
Parlay: Calgary ml/ Caps ml = Even money

Good Luck Tonight!!!

RoagBettor · 03-01-09, 12:13 PM

I'm still smarting from that San Jose/Montreal game yesterday. All they needed was 1 goal in almost 2 full periods and nothing! HT11 that was a great pick, can't let it get to you, it just happens sometimes.

peterpan19 · 03-01-09, 12:13 PM

Bos 1st qtr, they will come out hot like always and win the first qtr, dont know about the game, but Det played better lately but hell it is still Det

LAL they are mad after that loss and kobe wants a win here and it will be in a blowout way, plus LAL are 7-1 ATS in Pho, projected line -6, now its -4

CLE -4, 7-2 ATS and SU in ATL, you just have to take the better team right here

look out for that SA game, dont know what the line will be, but they normally play Por pretty well, 5-1 SU in Por, SA +4 right now

plays for me:
Bos 1st qtr and game
Lak -4
CLE -4
SA +4

Dexter · 03-01-09, 12:14 PM

ha - no...i own here in dyker heights. gonna sell soon when things pick up.

repski · 03-01-09, 12:17 PM

some stats against the Pistons tonight
Detroit
• 0-11 ATS when playing on a Sunday this season
• 6-15 ATS coming off two or more UNDER the totals
• 4-12 ATS after covering the spread in two of the last 3 games

ram1502 · 03-01-09, 12:17 PM

The Jazz have been red hot as of late, going 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS their last 10 games, beating the likes of the Celtics and the Lakers. That said, only 3 of their last 10 have been played on the road...2 of them were wins(@ Sacramento, @ Minnesota). Their only blemish in their last 10 games came at the hands of, guess who, the GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS. Add to all of this the Jazz are on the back end of a back to back, a situation where they are a dreadful 2-11 SU and 4-9 ATS. The fact that they did play the Kings last night, a game in which their starters probably didn't play a huge amount of minutes, worries me a little bit but I won't sweat it. The Warriors are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 home games and in this matchup, the home team is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings. The Jazz will be looking to avenge their latest loss to the Warriors, a game the Warriors won 116-96, but the Warriors won't be having any of it and won't be feeling sorry for the Jazz. Give me the points and I will take the very dangerous live home dog.

-----> Warriors +6 (1 point buy) [HUGEMONGOUS]

repski · 03-01-09, 12:18 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

i see a lot of new faces posting picks (even you lonesomeloser) - this is great stuff, and im happy in the participation. this has been the worst nba week i have had all year (i went from winning every large play last week, to losing every large play this week), so a joint effort is welcome on my end.

i went from winning every large play last week, to losing every large play this week.

yeah..last night was a horror show for us all...lots of 4th Q comebacks

lonesomeloser · 03-01-09, 12:24 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

i see a lot of new faces posting picks (even you lonesomeloser) - this is great stuff, and im happy in the participation. this has been the worst nba week i have had all year (i went from winning every large play last week, to losing every large play this week), so a joint effort is welcome on my end.

i went from winning every large play last week, to losing every large play this week.

Dexter, LONESOME even posted his NBA play of the day of Orlando ML in the thread yesterday

, aswell as picks of the sooners, gunners, the sooky serb and bill clintons daughter has the blues , intertwined within the abuse I face from the mafia.

joanapoker · 03-01-09, 12:25 PM

No explanations need on both of this:

LAL/PHX UNDER 237
BOS -2.5 1st qrt

FreeMason · 03-01-09, 12:28 PM

Good afternoon all,

Let's hope for a better day today. Gotta go with the Lake show in this spot, without Amare the Suns just don't have the bodies to match up with the Lakers.

In soccer I like Valencia to beat Valladolid, and Barca and Atletico to go over 2.5

NCAAB Gotta take Kansas buying a point to get under the key number. -3.5 in a rivalry game over Mizzou.

repski · 03-01-09, 12:29 PM

PROVIDENCE/RUTGERS under 146
Providence hasn't played since thier huge win over #1 Pittsburgh. How can this game not be a let down after that? And letdowns usually affect offense more than defense. Their offense takes a huge hit on the road as it is, averaging about 10 points fewer than at home. Rutgers can play defense, especially at home where they allow just 64.2 ppg on the season. In conference games, the Scarlet Knights are getting just 63.3 points per game. I like this game to go UNDER the total.