2nd Half Strategy

**alamo** · 02-10-14, 06:21 AM

Great comeback dyk after tough start.

**JetDevil74** · 02-10-14, 11:34 AM

Thanks for the picks again Dykstra. If there's anyway to filter your picks even more, I'd be glad to back track them.

**KeepItCummin** · 02-10-14, 12:05 PM

i think teams are resting their players more now that we are close to the allstar weekend. dykstra, do u have any records of the second half of the season from other past years? i wonder if teams score less after halftime to preserve their players and practice clock management after allstar breaks. if this is true then i think it will skew the 2h to be under and would explain why there are a lot of under plays. this week buried me in cbb and nba.. anyways, best of luck friend!!

**donkbetter** · 02-10-14, 02:49 PM

I am thinking these players are just quitters when they get behind like Miami heat against utah a pro golfer is 4 back with two holes left but he can move up into more money these basketball dudes dont have the incentive to keep at it when they see the game is toast

**dykstra** · 02-10-14, 04:10 PM

TOTALS
2/9 - 2-3, -$650
Last Week - 11-16, -$2650
Overall - 93-64, +$11,375

SIDES
2/9 - 1-1, -$50
Last Week - 10-8, +$600 (Includes Mon & Tues which were not posted)
Overall - 45-32, +$4900

So we had a bad week...it happens...question is, what to make of it...

Was this an aberration, or the beginning of a downward spiral?...answering this question with an honest and open mind is what separates winners from losers...always has, always will...

At first glance, it's easy to say we were due...I mean, we just had 4 straight weeks where we pretty much dominated the books and got so used to winning that a 2-2 day was absolutely horrendous for us...so this week should be a bounce back...

On the other hand, we can say that we've been winning so much that this is just the law of averages coming into play...and that last week was a preview of things to come...which it seems like many of you believe...

It's impossible to know which one of these outlooks is right...they're both just opinions or guesses based on past life experience...

So, the only thing left to do is crunch the numbers and look for trends...and I found one that restored some of my confidence...

Even though I only use the plays that I've researched to be the best of the best...I still have continued to keep tabs on how the strategy is performing as a whole...in other words, if I hadn't tweaked it...

What I've found is that there has yet to be back to back losing weeks in any category...for example, if we played every single side every week since discovery on 1/7, here's what the weeks would've looked like:

12/30-1/5 - 22-14
1/6-1/12 - 21-27
1/13-1/19 - 30-19
1/20-1/26 - 23-26
1/27-2/2 - 24-16
2/3-2/9 - 23-25

Obviously, it's not 100% that this will translate to the totals, but I think it's worth a shot...

So, I've decided to move forward with the strategy for at least this week...in addition, i will be playing ALL of the sides since this should be the 'on' week for those...

6 games tonight...see ya round 8...

Later.

**dykstra** · 02-10-14, 04:18 PM

Originally posted by SlleepyR

Great day for me. I tailed the ORL, SAC/WAS and the LAC games. I went the other way on the CHI/LAL game though bcuz I was watching it and both teams were struggling on shooting. Anyways, hope you don't give it up bcuz of a week. It will come back to you. Checking in 2mrw...

Luckiest dude alive.

**Trep** · 02-10-14, 04:25 PM

TBH I'm in a pretty bad situation as I upped my unit size this week along with somehow missing a lot of winners and catching losers (not exclusive to your picks)

I still have faith in the system overall - just not sure if I can withstand the bankroll hit on doing more than 1-2 more losing days now.

**nistor22** · 02-10-14, 06:50 PM

Let's continue!!!

**alamo** · 02-10-14, 06:56 PM

Good luck dyk

**Nepenthe** · 02-10-14, 07:30 PM

The system will prevail. In Dykstra we trust!

**dykstra** · 02-10-14, 08:10 PM

NBA

702

2/10/2014 7:05 PM - (EST)
Indiana Pacers pk -110 for 2nd Half

<um style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">Risking</um> 550.00 USD <um style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">To Win</um> 500.00 USD

NBA

2/10/2014 7:05 PM - (EST)
Denver Nuggets/Indiana Pacers Un 97 -110 for 2nd Half

<um style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">Risking</um> 550.00 USD <um style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">To Win</um>500.00 USD

**spendingmoney** · 02-10-14, 08:13 PM

Does that say take the under in pacers game? Anyone else having trouble viewing that ticket?

**dykstra** · 02-10-14, 08:13 PM

NO/Tor no play.

**Ferndog68** · 02-10-14, 08:14 PM

yes under 97

**iHateBetting12** · 02-10-14, 08:14 PM

Originally posted by spendingmoney

Does that say take the under in pacers game? Anyone else having trouble viewing that ticket?

ya it says u97- so the under 97

**spendingmoney** · 02-10-14, 08:21 PM

And pacers at a pk? These arnt the same tickets you usually show are they? They look different and looks like the right half of the ticket is cut off, unless its my computer screwing up?

**Jatt24** · 02-10-14, 08:24 PM

Originally posted by spendingmoney

And pacers at a pk? These arnt the same tickets you usually show are they? They look different and looks like the right half of the ticket is cut off, unless its my computer screwing up?

It has to be your computer.. you could clearly see the whole ticket

**Ferndog68** · 02-10-14, 08:34 PM

Originally posted by spendingmoney

And pacers at a pk? These arnt the same tickets you usually show are they? They look different and looks like the right half of the ticket is cut off, unless its my computer screwing up?

whats the point of this question???

**spendingmoney** · 02-10-14, 08:38 PM

The point is i just want to make sure im copying the bets right because im having trouble viewing tonights tickets from dykstra and never had this problem before, im not questioning his bets

**dykstra** · 02-10-14, 08:38 PM

Spurs +5 and under 104...I'm on the road.

**Jarman** · 02-10-14, 08:39 PM

You mean Spurs -5?

**jmitch150** · 02-10-14, 08:39 PM

Originally posted by dykstra

Spurs +5 and under 104...I'm on the road.

do you mean -5?

**JonEJet** · 02-10-14, 08:40 PM

Spurs -5

**rc86** · 02-10-14, 08:41 PM

Spurs -5?

**Jarman** · 02-10-14, 08:42 PM

**spendingmoney** · 02-10-14, 08:44 PM

I didnt even notice the teams were wrong! I just bet the +5 without even noticing it was detroit and not spurs

**FistOfFreedom** · 02-10-14, 08:44 PM

Trollin?

**alamo** · 02-10-14, 08:49 PM

Originally posted by spendingmoney

I didnt even notice the teams were wrong! I just bet the +5 without even noticing it was detroit and not spurs

No idea how u can make that mistake when he actually stated he is taking spurs

**spendingmoney** · 02-10-14, 08:53 PM

Originally posted by alamo

No idea how u can make that mistake when he actually stated he is taking spurs

Easy, i saw the +5 and clicked that box because i wasnt even looking at the team. Same way he could have wrote spurs and meant detroit but had the +5 right... Just a brain fart

**drunkencow** · 02-10-14, 09:03 PM

Originally posted by spendingmoney

Easy, i saw the +5 and clicked that box because i wasnt even looking at the team. Same way he could have wrote spurs and meant detroit but had the +5 right... Just a brain fart

Well it's a good thing you picked the Pistons

**JonEJet** · 02-10-14, 09:15 PM

Need a little defense here in Indy at the end

**dykstra** · 02-10-14, 09:15 PM

Boston +1.

**Trep** · 02-10-14, 09:16 PM

Should be easy hit with INdy....ofc I missed those and picked up the SAS lines. Why couldn't my client walk in 10 minutes later

Oh well. Two more games upcoming, let's see if we can bounce these

**FranchisePlayer** · 02-10-14, 09:16 PM

Like the play..,lets get it!

**Trep** · 02-10-14, 09:16 PM

Love the BOS +1 line though. Was about to place that myself