PapaDBets NBA Picks & Discussion

[PapaDBets]

01/17/2014:

BULLS @ WIZ: WIZ -4.5 - 1.1 units to win 1.

WOLVES @ RAPTORS: WOLVES +1 - 1.1 units to win 1.

BOBCATS @ MAGIC: MAGIC +1.5 - 1.1 units to win 1.

KINGS @ GRIZZ: KINGS +5.5 - 1.05 units to win 1.

[PapaDBets]

01/17/2014 Results: 1-3 -2.3 units

YTD: 17-9 +11.05 units

[PapaDBets]

01/18/2014:

JAZZ @ WOLVES: JAZZ -2 second half - 1.1 units to win 1.

[PapaDBets]

01/18/2014 Results: 0-0-1

YTD: 17-9-1 +11.05 units

[PapaDBets]

01/20/2014:

NETS @ KNICKS: Total Over 193 - 1.15 units to win 1.

[PapaDBets]

Adding:

PELICANS @ GRIZZLIES: PELICANS +7.5 - 1.1 units to win 1.

PELICANS @ GRIZZLIES: Total Over 189 - 2.1 units to win 2.

[PapaDBets]

Adding:

HEAT @ HAWKS: HAWKS +5.5 - 2.3 units to win 2.

[PapaDBets]

Adding:

PACERS @ WARRIORS: PACERS PK - 2.2 units to win 2.

PACERS @ WARRIORS: Total Under 195 - 2.2 units to win 2.

[PapaDBets]

01/20/2014 Results: 3-3 -0.45 units

YTD: 20-12-1 +10.60 units

Lost two totals by a combined 3 points today... Pretty brutal beat on the GSW/IND under with a dumb foul by David Lee at the end...

[munrey21]

sir do u have a new prediction for today??

[PapaDBets]

01/21/2014:

KINGS @ PELICANS: Total Over 206 - 1.05 units to win 1.

[PapaDBets]

sir do u have a new prediction for today??

Sorry for posting 5 minutes before game time. Busy day today.

[PapaDBets]

Adding:

WOLVES @ JAZZ: WOLVES -5 - 3.15 units to win 3.

Biggest play I've posted this year. Wolves have a huge advantage in two big categories (rebounding and turnovers). One of the best rebounding teams in the league going up against a below average rebounding team missing Derrick Favors spells trouble for the Jazz. Also like Minnesota in the turnover department, as they don't turn the ball over a ton but force a lot of turnovers and are going up against a team that can be loose with the ball at times...

[PapaDBets]

01/21/2014 Results: 2-0 +4.0 units

YTD: 22-12-1 +14.60 units

[munrey21]

very nice sir.. I hope next time you can post earlier so I can follow your bets..

[PapaDBets]

very nice sir.. I hope next time you can post earlier so I can follow your bets..

Will try to. Unfortunately work/life as been very busy lately, but I'll try to post at least a few hours before game time!

Also going to start posting some thoughts on why I'm making my plays to hopefully get the discussion flowing!

[PapaDBets]

01/22/2014:

PACERS @ SUNS: PACERS -5 - 1.15 units to win 1.

Booking this early since the line will most certainly move up by tomorrow. The Pacers have big advantages in paint scoring and rebounding, with the Pacers having one of the best front lines in the league going up against a team that struggles defending the paint and on the defensive glass. The Suns typically rely on forcing turnovers to get into transition and score easy buckets on the break, but the Pacers are one of the best teams in the league against the fast break (and overall). I expect the Suns to struggle to get open looks in their half court offense and be forced to put up contested 3s all game (and the Pacers are the best at defending the 3 in the league too).

Not playing this bigger because Indiana occasionally has problems with turnovers and the Suns play very well/hard at home.

[munrey21]

I'll go with you sir!

[PapaDBets]

I'll go with you sir!

Let's get it!

[Highsaac]

grabbed this the minute it opened on my book at -5. Pacers too hot right now. PHX is going to struggle shooting the ball tonight.

[PapaDBets]

01/22/2014 Results: 0-1 -1.15 units

YTD: 22-13-1 +13.45 units

[PapaDBets]

No plays tonight. Just going to sit back and watch both games unless some good 2H plays come up. I lean Lakers and Nuggets though...

[PapaDBets]

No plays tonight. Just going to sit back and watch both games unless some good 2H plays come up. I lean Lakers and Nuggets though...

Always nice when you don't play your leans and they win/look great lol

[PapaDBets]

01/24/2014:

GRIZZ @ ROCKETS: GRIZZ +6 - 2.2 units to win 2.

[PapaDBets]

Adding:

PELICANS @ PISTONS: PISTONS -2 First Half - 1.1 units to win 1.

[PapaDBets]

01/24/2014 Results: 1-1 +0.9 units

YTD: 23-14-1 +14.35 units

[PapaDBets]

Really loving the Lakers +5.5 tomorrow. Will wait to see if I can get a slightly better number tomorrow though.

[PapaDBets]

01/26/2014:

LAKERS @ KNICKS: LAKERS +5.5 - 1.1 units to win 1.

[PapaDBets]

01/26/2014 Results: 0-1 -1.1 units

YTD: 23-15-1 +13.25 units

[PapaDBets]

01/27/2014:

WOLVES @ BULLS - Total Under 196.5 - 1.1 units to win 1.

[PapaDBets]

01/27/2014 Results: 1-0 +1.0 units

YTD: 24-15-1 +14.25 units

[PapaDBets]

01/28/2014:

CELTICS @ KNICKS - CELTICS +6.5 - 2.3 units to win 2.

[PapaDBets]

Adding:

GRIZZLIES @ BLAZERS: GRIZZ +5 - 2.1 units win 2 & Total Over 198 - 2.2 units to win 2.

WIZARDS @ WARRIORS: WIZARDS +8 - 1.1 units to win 1 & Total Under 207 - 2.2 units to win 2.

[PapaDBets]

01/28/2014 Results: 3-2 +0.5 units

YTD: 27-17-1 +14.75 units

[ChicagoCover]

Nice ytd. GL tonite papaD