Automatic Statistical Picks, work in progress! (0-0-0)

[siriusjames]

Hello guys, I have been a long time lurker but since I started to code my program to predict games, I decided to join and share my program's picks and have chat with you. Hope it will be successful.

First three days I had 67% success for over/under picks and 56% success for spread picks in total of 18 games. Let's see what will happen tonight with a lot of games at hand.

I will post picks for all games but I will also write my trust in those picks, so it is up to you to bet or not. I will update my picks every day and keep record.

http://imgur.com/a/5zEpO

Over/Under:
Grizzlies over 190 (5)
Bucks under 203 (5)
Suns under 214.5 (5)
Hawks over 192 (4)
Pelicans under 209 (3)
Clippers under 202 (3)
Blazers under 207.5 (2)
Bulls under 191.5 (2)
Pacers under 193.5 (1)
Raptors over 192 (1)
Pistons under 203 (1)

Spread:
Pelicans +9 (5)
Jazz +14 (5)
Nuggets +3 (4)
Knicks +6 (3)
Pistons +3 (3)
76ers +10.5 (3)
Heat +4.5 (3) *LeBron is game time decision
Bobcats +6 (2) * Horford is out so it might not be accurate.
Bulls +2 (1)
Bucks +7.5 (1)
Nets +13 (1)

It is really interesting tonight because program shows no team will cover spread but of course some will cover it, but I'll be loyal to my program and make necessary corrections in the upcoming days.

Best of luck!

[siriusjames]

Wow, really rough night but I don't know what to say about those spread misses with 1 point. I'll work hard to fix them but I assume nobody expected 6 blowouts in 12 games.

Over/Under:
Grizzlies over 190 (5)
Bucks under 203 (5)
Suns under 214.5 (5)
Hawks over 192 (4)
Pelicans under 209 (3)
Clippers under 202 (3)
Blazers under 207.5 (2)
Bulls under 191.5 (2)
Pacers under 193.5 (1)
Raptors over 192 (1)
Pistons under 203 (1)
Celtics over 196.5 (1)

8-4-0 with over/under picks. It goes well in this category.

Spread:
Pelicans +9 (5) (107-98, ahh)
Jazz +14 (5)
Nuggets +3 (4)
Celtics -3.5 (3) (Really, Bradley? Missed FT?)
Knicks +6 (3)
Pistons +3 (3)
76ers +10.5 (3)
Heat +4.5 (3)
Bobcats +6 (2)
Bulls +2 (1)
Bucks +7.5 (1)
Nets +13 (1)

3-8-1 with spread picks.

PS: First post was edited to post imgur link of my predictions. You can see I posted them before games started by looking at upload date.

Hope to make it up for the loss tonight.

[siriusjames]

OK, picks for today.

Over/Under:
Cavs under 206.5 (5)
Spurs under 211.5 (5)
Lakers over 208.5 (2)
Rockets over 207.5 (2)
Magic under 201.5 (1)

Spread:
Kings +12.5 (5)
76ers +6.5 (3)
Cavs +5.5 (3)
Magic +2.5 (2)
Rockets +4.5 (2)

[siriusjames]

1-4-0 with over unders, 4-1-0 with spread picks. 5-5-0 total.

9-8-0 with over unders, 7-9-1 with spreads. 16-17-1 total. I'll pick it up.

Tonight's picks coming later.

[siriusjames]

Picks for today.

Over/Under:
Bulls over 181 (5)
Suns under 210.5 (5)
Mavericks under 214.5 (4)
Wizards under 202.5 (3)
Blazers under 212.5 (3)
Bobcats over 189 (2)
Heat over 200.5 (1)

Spread:
Bobcats +2 (5)
Suns +8 (5)
Bulls +4 (4)
Wizards +2.5 (3)
Heat -2 (3)
Blazers -2.5 (3)
Mavericks +4.5 (3)

[killacappapilla]

Think the bulls/grizz game may go over as well although I got it at 179.5

[siriusjames]

Think the bulls/grizz game may go over as well although I got it at 179.5

Hopefully it will. My system predicts a 94-94 result.

[kcchiefs]

Why are some bold?

Hope you get em tonight.

[siriusjames]

Why are some bold?

Hope you get em tonight.

Only 5 star picks are bold. Thanks!

[hubbard689]

Can you say anything else about this system? Won't be touching it with a 10 foot pole yet if it's hitting below 50% but intrigued

[siriusjames]

Can you say anything else about this system? Won't be touching it with a 10 foot pole yet if it's hitting below 50% but intrigued

Actually it is 38-31-1 but I didn't write first 3 days because you guys wouldn't believe it. I will be busy over next 2 weeks but I hope to update it once I have spare time.

System takes statistics of two teams into account. Home & Road (not records, stats), Rest (b2b or 2 days rest?), H2H record, records against similar opponents and last 10 games of each team. That's all I could say. I hope to improve it as I said, but I'll see how it goes from there.

[siriusjames]

Results.

Over/Under:
Bulls over 181 (5)
Suns under 210.5 (5)
Mavericks under 214.5 (4)
Wizards under 202.5 (3)
Blazers under 212.5 (3)
Bobcats over 189 (2)
Heat over 200.5 (1)


Spread:
Bobcats +2 (5)
Suns +8 (5)
Bulls +4 (4)
Wizards +2.5 (3)
Heat -2 (3)
Blazers -2.5 (3)
Mavericks +4.5 (3)

Over-under 3-4-0. Spread 5-2-0. Total 8-6-0.

12-12-0 with over unders, 12-11-1 with spreads. Total 24-23-1. We're picking it up.

If I only shared 4 and 5 star picks, we would be 10-6-0. Should I keep posting all picks?

And anyone else how to change record in title?

[KRAL]

Keep it up bro

[siriusjames]

Hello guys, today's picks. I wish all of you a happy new year with your beloved ones.

Over/Under:
Pacers under 197 (5)
Rockets under 214 (5)
Raptors over 186 (4)
Thunder under 213.5 (4)
Lakers under 203.5 (4)
Nets under 206 (3)
Hawks under 204.5 (2)

Spread:
Bucks +6.5 (5)
Kings +9.5 (5)
Nets +12 (5)
Magic +6 (4)
Blazers +5.5 (4)
Atlanta +3 (3)
Cavaliers +12.5 (2)
Raptors -1.5 (1)

[siriusjames]

Over/Under:
Pacers under 197 (5)
Rockets under 214 (5)
Raptors over 186 (4)
Thunder under 213.5 (4)
Lakers under 203.5 (4)
Nets under 206 (3)
Hawks under 204.5 (2)
Magic under 204 (4) (forgot to write this one, but I wrote it here: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Bc1R73KCIAAltFa.png)


Spread:
Bucks +6.5 (5)
Kings +9.5 (5)
Nets +12 (5)
Magic +6 (4)
Blazers +5.5 (4)
Atlanta +3 (3)
Cavaliers +12.5 (2)
Raptors -1.5 (1)

Over-under 6-2-0. Spread 5-3-0. Total 11-5-0.

18-14-0 with over unders, 17-14-1 with spreads. Total 35-28-1.

Great day! But I need to change the thread title in order to attract some interest.

[siriusjames]

Hello. Total 35-28-1. Last night 11-5-0. I hope somebody saw my picks last night.

Today's picks:

Over/Under:
Minnesota under 212 (5)
Nuggets under 211.5 (5)
Wizards under 204 (2)
Raptors over 193 (2)
Clippers over 195.5 (1)

Spread:
Bobcats +11 (5)
Mavericks +2 (4)
Raptors +5.5 (2.5)
Pelicans +6 (1)
76ers +9.5 (3.5)

[EasyPicks]

I'm on the other side of that Nuggets total! The line is working against you, just hope it works for me, but all the best on all the other plays!

[siriusjames]

I'm on the other side of that Nuggets total! The line is working against you, just hope it works for me, but all the best on all the other plays!

Thanks man, best of luck.

[Ronald S.]

Are you moneyme?

[siriusjames]

Are you moneyme?

No. I heard about his system but I'm not moneyme. Why?

[flyingcarbs]

Are you moneyme?

Judging by his screenshots he's Turkish. Moneyme was American IIRC

[EasyPicks]

No. I heard about his system but I'm not moneyme. Why?

never heard about that system. Any good?

[siriusjames]

never heard about that system. Any good?

Nah. He's been horrible lately and he's charging 50$ for his picks.

[siriusjames]

Over/Under:
Minnesota under 212 (5)
Nuggets under 211.5 (5)
Wizards under 204 (2)
Raptors over 193 (2)
Clippers over 195.5 (1)


Spread:
Bobcats +11 (5)
Mavericks +2 (4)
Raptors +5.5 (2.5)
Pelicans +6 (1)
76ers +9.5 (3.5)

Over-under 2-3-0. Spread 3-2-0. Total 5-5-0.


20-17-0 with over unders, 20-16-1 with spreads. Total 40-33-1.

Eh night after last one. 9 games tonight, we'll be better.

[flyingcarbs]

Over/Under:
Minnesota under 212 (5)
Nuggets under 211.5 (5)
Wizards under 204 (2)
Raptors over 193 (2)
Clippers over 195.5 (1)


Spread:
Bobcats +11 (5)
Mavericks +2 (4)
Raptors +5.5 (2.5)
Pelicans +6 (1)
76ers +9.5 (3.5)

Over-under 2-3-0. Spread 3-2-0. Total 5-5-0.


20-17-0 with over unders, 20-16-1 with spreads. Total 40-33-1.

Eh night after last one. 9 games tonight, we'll be better.

Minnesota under 212 (5) wouldve been a win but the refs sucked timberwolves d*cks to make up for previous game...

[philippaalon]

great work

[siriusjames]

Minnesota under 212 (5) wouldve been a win but the refs sucked timberwolves d*cks to make up for previous game...

Yeah, Minnesota -6 would've been the wiser choice (my system predicted 5 pt Minnesota win but I didn't factor in that referee fail in previous game. Minnesota averaged 16 free throws per game this season but last night they attempted 35 free throws. That sums it up.

great work

thanks man

[siriusjames]

Tonight's a big night. 9 games!

Over/Under:
Kings under 218.5 (10)
Jazz over 191.5 (7)
Bulls over 182.5 (7)
Thunder under 205 (6)
Cavaliers over 197.5 (3)
Heat over 203.5 (3)
Trail Blazers over 200 (2)
Suns over 197.5 (1)
Spurs no play

Spread:
Bobcats +11 (10)
Bucks +4.5 (9)
Grizzlies +6 (8)
Celtics +4 (8)
76ers +8 (6)
Magic +3 (4)
Warriors +4.5 (3)
Knicks +11 (2)
Thunder no play

Best of luck.

[EasyPicks]

you are just tracking for now, right?

[siriusjames]

Yeah, 2 weeks of trial and then fixing the mistakes. One thing that catches my eye is that for almost every game program predicts that favourite team won't cover the spread. That's odd but I will look up to that. It's just a new system and I will improve it.

[siriusjames]

Over/Under:
Kings under 218.5 (10)
Jazz over 191.5 (7)
Bulls over 182.5 (7)
Thunder under 205 (6)
Cavaliers over 197.5 (3)
Heat over 203.5 (3)
Trail Blazers over 200 (2)
Suns over 197.5 (1)
Spurs no play


Spread:
Bobcats +11 (10)
Bucks +4.5 (9)
Grizzlies +6 (8)
Celtics +4 (8)
76ers +8 (6)
Magic +3 (4)
Warriors +4.5 (3)
Knicks +11 (2)
Thunder no play

Over-under 4-4-0. Spread 4-4-0. Total 8-8-0.


24-21-0 with over unders, 24-20-1 with spreads. Total 48-41-1.

Not bad, not good.

[EasyPicks]

Imo you should also track separately the high plays, mid plays and low plays.

gl tonight

[siriusjames]

Ok, I'll do it tomorrow. Tonight's picks.

Over Under:
Nuggets +191 (10)
Rockets -206 (10)
Raptors +193 (4)
Celtics +200(4)
Lakers +196 (2)
Hawks -206 (1)
Mavericks no play

Spread:
Grizzlies +4 (10)
Knicks +11.5 (10)
Raptors +3 (8)
Celtics +3.5 (7)
Hawks +3 (6)
Jazz +3.5 (5)
Mavericks +2 (4)

[siriusjames]

Over Under:
Nuggets +191 (10)
Rockets -206 (10)
Raptors +193 (4)
Celtics +200(4)
Lakers +196 (2)
Hawks -206 (1)
Mavericks no play


Spread:
Grizzlies +4 (10)
Knicks +11.5 (10)
Raptors +3 (8)
Celtics +3.5 (7)
Hawks +3 (6)
Jazz +3.5 (5)
Mavericks +2 (4)

Last night

Over-under 4-2-0. ATS 5-2-0. Total 9-4-0.

Total


28-23-0 with over unders, 29-22-1 with spreads. Total 57-45-1.


Picks over 6 and more stars
Last night over-under 2-0-0. ATS 5-0-0. Total 7-0-0
Total Over-under 22-11-0. ATS 22-15-0. Total 44-26-0.

[flyingcarbs]

Pretty impressive picks! Can't wait to see what you have for 1/4