Leans for Saturday 2/21/09 International Week

mb19 · 02-21-09, 01:11 AM

Like gs too

cnleaf · 02-21-09, 01:18 AM

DAL seems to be a decent play. SAC sux on the back to back situation and also they are short-handed right now due to the trade. K-Mart played most of the time against MEM last nite. They should be tired.

BCaldwell32 · 02-21-09, 01:32 AM

What is the reasoning for not posting the secret plays anymore CK?

NBA Hero · 02-21-09, 01:33 AM

utah looks good, with NOH OT @ lakers.
armstrong also looks like having a back strain

texhooper · 02-21-09, 01:35 AM

yeah, they took the hornets/jazz game off the board...interested to see what that comes back as.

rowdy08 · 02-21-09, 01:35 AM

Originally posted by cnleaf

DAL seems to be a decent play. SAC sux on the back to back situation and also they are short-handed right now due to the trade. K-Mart played most of the time against MEM last nite. They should be tired.

From Dallas and it's that time of the year for the Mavs and the Stars. No heart just that pure playoff smell!!

texhooper · 02-21-09, 01:45 AM

i like the mavs to get me my money back plus some tomorrow, even though i don't know what they'll be laying. if they fail to cover against the kings, i'm not only blacklisting them, i am putting a hit out on mark cuban. i have had the darndest luck with the mavs all season.

jazz looking solid as well. warriors and the over in that one will probably make it onto my card tomorrow in addition to all of that.

had kind of a crap/break even-ish kinda night when i shouldn't have. looking to come out on top tomorrow. best of luck to all.

edit: screw the over, doesn't look bad, but it's not really necessary. it'll probably hit, though, now that i say screw it.

rowdy08 · 02-21-09, 01:51 AM

The Mavs will make the playoffs. It's just a matter of picking the right games now! Mavs. should be money tomorrow!

bigboyfosho · 02-21-09, 02:33 AM

what about NO +8?

danrman · 02-21-09, 03:04 AM

im baaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaack!!!!!!!...... i think your dead on w/ those picks ck... sa plays dallas,portland and cleve next... also like dallas gathering momentum for the game against the spurs... dirk will bouce back after a pathetic performance against houston... should have a good pick for the primetime college game on espn so watch for my post if you care... where ya at dex????

2daBank · 02-21-09, 03:16 AM

Originally posted by bigboyfosho

what about NO +8?

i think it will be very tough on them coming off ot game. paul and west both played entire 2nd half and ot till paul fouled out. not to mention utah tough as hell at home

The_Kid · 02-21-09, 03:38 AM

CK, why do you like the Warriors? I know they're a good team at home and I know you're buying down to get below the key number but the Thunder are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings against Golden State with 3 of those games actually being straight up victories. I'm curious to see your write-ups tomorrow.

chris440 · 02-21-09, 03:42 AM

on it

wangichu · 02-21-09, 04:03 AM

i think it's a great time to fade the thunder on a back to back, especially with the letdown after that vetoed trade. golden state wants revenge for that last second durant-based win and the books are just dangling points to tempt those who have been cashing on OKC to jump in again. GS by dd.

GS-7.5

utah is hot right now... they have AK back and have two enormous confidence building wins at home this last week and a half and now is the time to buy on them to hold court in one of the hardest places to play in the NBA. Not to mention that the horny's are off a back to back that went OT against the red hot lakers and play the lakers closer than the jazz. NO will have a good 2nd half IMHO, but nows not the time to play them. Respect salt lake.

UTAH -7.5

I may stick to these plays or i may make a couple smaller bets, but for now i will be tightening my belt and playing just two.

also will be hitting hockeytown's plays hard, wow he's on fire. Good stuff man.

texhooper · 02-21-09, 04:24 AM

wang, i'm liking it. screw tightening your belt, let's double up.

Dexter · 02-21-09, 04:52 AM

sat - 2/21/09

ak47 is back, and the jazz are starting to roll. the hornets will be on not only a btb, but have to play their 4th game in 5 nights traveling to utah. the jazz will be rested off of their win vs boston (screw the boston hex in this one). the jazz are 5-0 ats the last 5 home games vs no winning by an avg margin of 22ppg. after the lakers pushed no in ot, this becomes an even stronger play. projected line -5.5

-jazz (big)

_____________________
the warriors catch the thunder on a btb in oak, and rested off of that tough laker game they let slip away. gs should be seeing red, and place down the hammer nellie style on sat night. projected line -6.5

-warriors

vassman86 · 02-21-09, 05:12 AM

Nice to see that I'm in consensus with the board. Been out late last night, but taking a look at tomorrow's lines and I'm already on the Jazz -7.5 and GSW -7.5. Go, CK Mafia, Go!

BigDownUnder · 02-21-09, 05:27 AM

Hi CK and all,

I am happy today, lost an early tennis yesterday but happy to see Naigra thumped Illinois to turn the day around.

Will post some more tennis picks today, and some NBA picks

Thanks again everyone for your insights, lets all beat those bookies

_________________________
BigDownUnder record as at 21/2/09
NBA: 2 - 0 - 0
CBB: 1 - 0 - 0
Other: 2 - 1 - 0

BigDownUnder · 02-21-09, 05:40 AM

Hi all,

Just saw the matchups today, and boy oh boy am I excited!!!!

Utah had that great win against Boston, face NOH on a b2b after an overtime, plus they will want to win it for Larry Miller. NOH are only 2-11 ATS as an underdog this year, Utah are 6-1 ATS in games this month, Utah are 6-2 straight up against NOH over the last 3 years, NOH were thumped by Utah 116-90 earlier this season and have lost 5 straight in Utah. Expect more of the same tonight

Pick: Utah -7.5 to beat New Orleans @ -110

BOL!
_________________________
BigDownUnder record as at 21/2/09
NBA: 2 - 0 - 0
CBB: 1 - 0 - 0
Other: 2 - 1 - 0

BCaldwell32 · 02-21-09, 05:43 AM

Utah owns the hornets at home and with them coming off a tough overtime game against the Lakers, I see the Jazz crushing them tomorrow. Dex has all the ATS records lately and with Kirilenko back Utah rolls.

Utah biggest play (HUGE)

I disagree with Dex and CK on the Warriors, I do not think the btb affects them as much since they are such a young team. These two teams played a month ago @GS and the Thunder won the game at the buzzer(I watched the game) The Thunder have covered four straight @GS and the road team is 8-1 ATS last 9. The line is currently 8.5 and I see the Thunder keeping it close and maybe losing by 5 or 6.

Oklahoma City

BigDownUnder · 02-21-09, 06:02 AM

Hi all,

One solid tennis pick today in the women's tournament in Columbia.

Pick is: Patricia Mayr to beat Maria Jose Martinez Sanchez @ odds of 2.30 (+130)

Why? Yesterday Mayr crushed a clay dog in Olaru, and whilst Sanzhez is good on the dirt, i think she's more an allround player and Mayr is more suited to the clay surface. Mayr is 42-14 on clay in the last 12 months, 68-15 all surfaces. Sanchez only 17-7 clay and 36-20 all surfaces. Sanchez beating a less formidable opponent yesterday going to 3rd set tie-breaker. Look for Mayr to own Snhchez

_________________________
BigDownUnder record as at 21/2/09
NBA: 2 - 0 - 0
CBB: 1 - 0 - 0
Other: 2 - 1 - 0

BigMoneyMan · 02-21-09, 06:13 AM

Get that point. Me and Ck have a challenge of whits . I have laid it down and here it is. Everytime we take the same side and line movement cost me the game he sends me a Ben, everytime it doesn't he says he sent me one i will put him on credit. LOL It starts tomorrow for a week. It has been written so it shall be done. I want the real ones not the one made in the dryer!! I wait for exceptance of the challenge GL my friend

handimann · 02-21-09, 06:32 AM

definitely liking the warriors big tomorrow. my current resident team will blowout the thunder in the back end of a back to back road trip for OKC in which they will not be able to keep up with high octane offenses for two days in a row. i'll be at oracle to cheer them on live. monta needs to have his comeback game sometime and i hope this is it.

handimann · 02-21-09, 06:50 AM

jazz is at -7.5 and i'm taking it

hockeytown11 · 02-21-09, 08:30 AM

Pucks for today

Chicago +100
LA KINGS -145
Atlanta over 6

be back later for tonights plays

Karayilan9 · 02-21-09, 09:01 AM

HT did you take the first pick, Ankaragucu ? it just cashed.

showtime2000 · 02-21-09, 09:06 AM

Well done Karayilan! I missed that one as the morning is just starting here. What's left for the day, Aston Villa, hertha berlin and the over in Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim?

hockeytown11 · 02-21-09, 09:07 AM

no my book only offers EPL,SERIE A, AND LALIGA

peterpan19 · 02-21-09, 09:07 AM

BBL basketball games today:
official plays:
Köln -3.5
Ulm -1
Ludwigsburg -5.5
Paderborn -5.5
Tübingen -5
official play record last 3 weeks: 11-4

bundesliga plays:
Wolfsburg -0.5
Gladbach -0.5

repski · 02-21-09, 09:23 AM

one CBB line I find VERY interesting is G'town -3 over Marq.....

NBA Hero · 02-21-09, 09:59 AM

good analysis from wang and dex on UTAH.

the right team to pick.

SlowRoll · 02-21-09, 10:06 AM

Does everyone still feel good about the Utah Game today... The line came out at -8 Jazz.

pho3nix32 · 02-21-09, 10:25 AM

Got lucky today with the game going to overtime, but a win is still a win.

On to tomorrow:

line: noh@uj 199
pick: 199 under

Head to head trends:

- The under is 6-2 in meetings for the past 3 seasons.
- The under is 3-1 in meetings at the Delta Center for the past 3 seasons.

The Hornets just came off an overtime b2b game versus an elite team. Add that to the fact that they will be playing their "4th game in 5 nights" (to quote Dex). They should be feeling very weary right now and tomorrow they play in a high altitude city. This promises to be an ugly game for the Hornets. They will encounter brick after brick while the Jazz hound them with their defense. Expect a blowout game tomorrow not reaching the total line.

Dexter · 02-21-09, 10:30 AM

yeah slowroll - i see one of those 115-95 jobs by sloans crew.