Late game last night

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Late game last night
    I was watching the LAC/GS game while working out last night -- no bet on the game, but saw a lot of posters had action so I was interested -- and this morning, I checked to see how much books adjusted the 2H line total-wise given the 1H pace. I see the total was set around 102 or 103. WTF? Were oddsmakers not watching this game? The chances of these two teams -- who obviously had no interest in playing D -- only scoring 102 or 103 points combined in the 2H were zero.

    It's bad enough to only open at 203 or whatever for the full game. It closed at 205.5 to 207. But to not admit defeat at halftime and offer up at least a 112-115 for the 2H after 123 in the first was just plain stupidity. Hope some of you hammered that 2H over. That was the freest money you'll ever see.
  • thetrinity
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-25-11
    • 22430

    #2
    they never really change much at halftime no way in hell it was gona be over 105 at the absolute most, they live and die by their openers.
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      Originally posted by thetrinity
      they never really change much at halftime no way in hell it was gona be over 105 at the absolute most, they live and die by their openers.
      Isn't that weird? A trained monkey could've watched the 1H and known the 2H was going to go way over.
      Comment
      • Time is Money
        SBR MVP
        • 12-03-07
        • 2255

        #4
        only combined for 50 points in the third so the live bet right before the 4q came in at 224 and I pounded it.

        nothing but buckets 4q though with 68 total points
        Comment
        • thetrinity
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-25-11
          • 22430

          #5
          Originally posted by No coincidences
          Isn't that weird? A trained monkey could've watched the 1H and known the 2H was going to go way over.
          if they base it off what happened in the first half, they would leave way too much room to get middled. the handle on the 2nd half of an early season nba game is minimal anyways.
          Comment
          • mtofell
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-21-13
            • 744

            #6
            The over 206 was the easiest bet I've seen in months. I threw more at it half time to get over 227 and won both.

            On the downside I had a separate parlay with LAC/GSW over and the Thursday night NFL and the Bengals screwed me. I was a Bengals FG away from hitting a nice one. Oh well, back at it.

            I'm going to start watching these NBA o/u a bit. I think there's some money to be made here. It strikes me as crazy also that the lines don't change that much at half but I can somewhat understand why the books don't want to leave themselves open.
            Comment
            • dumdum214
              SBR High Roller
              • 09-29-13
              • 159

              #7
              Pounded 2nd half over as well as both TT over. Easy money as they had the 2nd half over way off.
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #8
                Another slam dunk Clipper over. Look at the 2H total/movement. LOL.

                11/01 11:27 PM 100½ +101 100½ -111
                11/01 11:26 PM 100½ +100 100½ -110
                11/01 11:24 PM 100½ -105 100½ -105
                11/01 11:23 PM 100½ -107 100½ -103
                11/01 11:23 PM 100½ -110 100½ +100
                11/01 11:22 PM 100½ -108 100½ -102
                11/01 11:19 PM 100½ -105 100½ -105
                11/01 11:13 PM 100½ -102 100½ -108

                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #9
                  I've noticed Pinny won't even post a live total on this game anymore. They hardly have at all in the third quarter.

                  Comment
                  • No coincidences
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-18-10
                    • 76300

                    #10
                    Clippers are the worst defensive team I've ever seen.

                    They haven't made a single 2H stop in three games now.
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #11
                      Clippers bury the books. No. 1 public side, ML and total by far tonight.
                      Comment
                      • ksnooksk
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-18-11
                        • 2890

                        #12
                        I know what you mean, NoCoin. I keep waiting for the books to adjust and they haven't. Kinda the same in the NFL as well.
                        Comment
                        • ksnooksk
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-18-11
                          • 2890

                          #13
                          Plus, home teams are 25-6 SU so far with the Spurs/Lakers game still pending.
                          Comment
                          • No coincidences
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 76300

                            #14
                            Originally posted by ksnooksk
                            I know what you mean, NoCoin. I keep waiting for the books to adjust and they haven't. Kinda the same in the NFL as well.
                            Apparently they like getting not only buried on game overs, but 2H overs as well.

                            Clippers are like the Broncos of the NBA. Books fail to adjust, and it's clean sweep/free money time for all.
                            Comment
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