2013/14 NBA Thread

[Seto]

I kind of like Wizards again today too.

I kind of get the feeling the Knicks finally show up and put together a good game. I think they can cover tonight, just worried about the size disadvantage upfront.

Hibbert vs Bargnani

I like em too, in fact about to take them (above bet is for friday i think the line is off). I feel they are a better team than Cleveland and they matchup well at the only position where Cleveland has an advantage over most teams. They are better than their record shows and I feel they go on a little run. Added bonuses are the revenge angle and the public pounding Cleveland yet the line not budging.

Like the Knicks as well. They will show up for a nationally televised game against the team that knocked them out of the playoffs. Surely they will eventually cover at home. However here matchups aren't great, worst one is obv the Hibbert/Bargnani. Expecting to see some K-Mart on him, but K-Mart is undersized so that spells trouble too.

[Speedy88]

I like em too, in fact about to take them (above bet is for friday i think the line is off). I feel they are a better team than Cleveland and they matchup well at the only position where Cleveland has an advantage over most teams. They are better than their record shows and I feel they go on a little run. Added bonuses are the revenge angle and the public pounding Cleveland yet the line not budging.

Like the Knicks as well. They will show up for a nationally televised game against the team that knocked them out of the playoffs. Surely they will eventually cover at home. However here matchups aren't great, worst one is obv the Hibbert/Bargnani. Expecting to see some K-Mart on him, but K-Mart is undersized so that spells trouble too.

Hah, where is Rasheed Wallace, Marcus Camby and Kurt Thomas when you need them.

[Seto]

Wizards+3 -104 (risking 2.08x to win 2x)
Wizards ml +133 (risking 1x to win 1.33x)
Knicks+6.5 -108 (risking 1.08x to win 1x)
Knicks ml +227 (risking 0.25x to win 0.57x)
Bucks+5 -104 (risking 1.04x to win 1x)
Bucks ml +180 (risking 0.25x to win 0.45x)

all Pinny

[Seto]

Hah, where is Rasheed Wallace, Marcus Camby and Kurt Thomas when you need them.

lol.

still have leans on warriors, nets and rockets but not sure if i will play them. don't feel like rooting against my team (mavs) for such a big game smh.

either way wiz will be my biggest play of the day. hopefully they come through again.

[Seto]

shithead idiot shumpert just ruined a great night. knicks won't even cover now.

[Seto]

Today: 2-4, +0.71x
Total: 36-24, +36.91x

Still a winning night but so pissed about the Knicks. I mean even the ml should've cashed but the spread is just awful.

[Seto]

Warriors-5 -105 (pinnacle) (risking 1.05x to win 1x)

thought I wasn't going with my lean but the late money made me decide for it..

[Seto]

Today (updated): 2-5, -0.34x
Total: 36-25, +35.86x

Once again, fukk the Knicks.

[Seto]

Friday

Bobcats-1 -110 (bwin.com) (risking 2.01x to win 1.83x)
Pelicans-5 -110 (bwin.com) (risking 2.01x to win 1.83x)

Saturday

Rockets-4.5 -110 (bwin.com) (risking 2.01x to win 1.83x)
Nuggets-1.5 -110 (bwin.com) (risking 2.01x to win 1.83x)

[fitguy67]

Nice early-bird shopping list...

er route to chasing it down, discovered this resource

http://www.betexplorer.com/

for basketball (and soccer/hockey/baseball, even handball/volleyball) outstanding for schedule-clarification ("fixtures" view) and line-shopping (click on the game in fixtures view...and the best line-shopping layout/options i've ever seen "for the price" present themselves...if you have more than 1 book, you should register and configure "My Bookmakers" to show just the ones you have).

[Seto]

Bulls+3.5 -110 (william hill) (risking 5.5x to win 5x)
Bulls ml +140 (william hill) (risking 3x to win 7.2x)
Bulls+2 -109 (pinnacle) (first half) (risking 2.18x to win 2x)
Bulls ml +125 (pinnacle) (first half) (risking 1x to win 1.25x)

[Seto]

Friday

Bobcats-1 -110 (bwin.com) (risking 2.01x to win 1.83x)
Pelicans-5 -110 (bwin.com) (risking 2.01x to win 1.83x)

Saturday

Rockets-4.5 -110 (bwin.com) (risking 2.01x to win 1.83x)
Nuggets-1.5 -110 (bwin.com) (risking 2.01x to win 1.83x)

Suns+1.5 -103 (pinnacle) (risking 2x to win 1.94x)
Cavs+7 -110 (pinnacle) (risking 2x to win 1.82x)

Suns/Cats obviously is a bit of a failed move but the other one I got the line I wanted and have a chance to middle. Suns/Cats I need a miracle.

[Seto]

Nice early-bird shopping list...

er route to chasing it down, discovered this resource

http://www.betexplorer.com/

for basketball (and soccer/hockey/baseball, even handball/volleyball) outstanding for schedule-clarification ("fixtures" view) and line-shopping (click on the game in fixtures view...and the best line-shopping layout/options i've ever seen "for the price" present themselves...if you have more than 1 book, you should register and configure "My Bookmakers" to show just the ones you have).

yeah those plays were mainly plays hoping lines would move, sharp guess lol.

i used to use that site for soccer stats and thought it was awesome but have never used it to compare lines. will def take a look. thanks.

[Seto]

Friday Wizards at Raptors

Wizards+4.5 -110 (bwin.com) (risking 2.01x to win 1.83x)
Wizards ml +165 (bwin.com) (risking 2.01x to win 3.32x)

Raptors ml -180 (pinnacle) (risking 1.8x to win 1x)

Total bet now: Wizards ml +150 (bwin.com/pinnacle) (risking 1.01x to win 1.52x)

I like this play but the plan was to hedge out half the ml when a better line came out. A bit of a fail predicting this one.

[Seto]

Mavs-20.5 +1000 (william hill) (first half) (risking 0.2x to win 2x)

[Seto]

Just met this fella. Looks like this is gonna be my first huge losing night of the year which should result in my first losing week of the year.

[vasilli07]

GL. I like the Bulls as well.

[Seto]

GL. I like the Bulls as well.

thx. gonna need all the luck I can get tonight. lol.

[WalkingLuckCharm]

thx. gonna need all the luck I can get tonight. lol.

love the bulls play. really good spot for the bulls IMO. BOL

[Seto]

love the bulls play. really good spot for the bulls IMO. BOL

think so too. biggest play since opening week for me.

gl as well.

[Seto]

Friday

Bobcats-1 -110 (bwin.com) (risking 2.01x to win 1.83x)
Pelicans-5 -110 (bwin.com) (risking 2.01x to win 1.83x)

Saturday

Rockets-4.5 -110 (bwin.com) (risking 2.01x to win 1.83x)
Nuggets-1.5 -110 (bwin.com) (risking 2.01x to win 1.83x)

TWolves+6.5 -102 (pinnacle) (risking 2x to win 1.96x)
Mavs+5 -110 (pinnacle) (risking 2x to win 1.82x)

Aced those 2 line moves though especially the Dallas one. Hopefully I hit one middle between my 4 plays. Obviously 1 of them is almost already impossible, smh coulda got +3 now and had a shot.

[Seto]

Nets+9 -107 (pinnacle) (risking 2.14x to win 2x)
Nets ml +400 (william hill) (risking 0.5x to win 2x)

[Seto]

Today: 6-7, +1.33x
Total: 42-32, +37.19x

Disgusted by the ml loss on Chicago but still won 5 units on that game so I guess it's sort of ok.. Man I'm gonna get the Blazers streak end someday. Gonna fade them again tomorrow lol.

[Speedy88]

Sick hit on that Mavs 1H. Thoughts on tomorrow?

[vasilli07]

Knicks should be a good play tomorrow. Wizards playing their 5th game in 8 days and this game will be the easiest of the 4 games road trip. No way Knicks will beat Blazers, Clips and Nuggets.

[Seto]

Sick hit on that Mavs 1H. Thoughts on tomorrow?

thx. always love those big +money plays.

Tough card but I think I'm fading Portland again lol. Depends on the line and everything so I couldn't tell you for sure but that's one I'll def have a look at. Other than that I dunno, lots of high spreads which I don't mind on some nights but typically aren't my favorite kind of game to bet on and I don't really see one that I like.

[Seto]

Knicks should be a good play tomorrow. Wizards playing their 5th game in 8 days and this game will be the easiest of the 4 games road trip. No way Knicks will beat Blazers, Clips and Nuggets.

I dunno, I mean you think the Knicks would be half-encouraged half-devastated after that Pacers game so tough to know how they come out. I think they stink too so I really dunno.. Wizards are better than their record suggests even though they've played like shit in most games so far. I'll probably stay away tbh.

[vasilli07]

thx. always love those big +money plays.

Tough card but I think I'm fading Portland again lol. Depends on the line and everything so I couldn't tell you for sure but that's one I'll def have a look at. Other than that I dunno, lots of high spreads which I don't mind on some nights but typically aren't my favorite kind of game to bet on and I don't really see one that I like.

AI maybe out because of injury and Curry still uncertain. Warriors are running out of guards.

[Seto]

AI maybe out because of injury and Curry still uncertain. Warriors are running out of guards.

They do look awful without Steph. But you gotta think this is the game the Blazers finally run out of steam going from the East coast trip back home and back on the road again on a back to back the next day, all that shooting about 60% from three. Warriors coming up a couple off losses should play hard and that goes a long way in this league. That said I'd obviously rather see Steph in, anyway books won't post a line til they know what the injury statuses of the 2 guys are and I can decide then.

Either way it won't be an 11 unit game to bet on but I could see myself putting 3 or 4 on Warriors if I'm feeling it.

[Seto]

Warriors-3.5 -105 (pinnacle) (risking 4.2x to win 4x)

I take it from the line Steph and Iggy are probably both sitting out (or at least 1 of them) but I say the Warriors put together a good effort take this anyway.

[Seto]

Monday TWolves @ Pacers

Pacers-6 -110 (bwin.com) (risking 2.01x to win 1.83x)

[WalkingLuckCharm]

fk that's a big bet on a team that hasn't proven anything without curry yet... hope they light it up @ home

[SteelRain]

Denver -5 looks like a good play. Dallas doing a b2b at the mile high and the nuggets has been playing well lately plus they are well rested after that big win against the bulls thursday night.

[SteelRain]

Cash nuggets 1st half. Opposing teams always start slow at Denver because of the shock of the altitude

Lets go denver -5

[Seto]

Was waiting out my middle on Denver-1.5 and Dallas+5.. Got it somehow..