Help me cap Detroit and Toronto...

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  • curious
    Restricted User
    • 07-20-07
    • 9093

    #1
    Help me cap Detroit and Toronto...
    In looking at who's hot / who's cold I didn't see any good edges in the Detroit game or the Toronto game. Detroit is pretty bad lately but I think Milwaukee is questionable with half their team injured. Toronto is a big ? any time.

    I did find these trends though that might be playable:
    DETROIT: 7-16 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5
    MILWAUKEE: 10-2 ATS when the total is between 180 and 189.5

    TORONTO: 14-5 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days
    MEMPHIS: 2-9 ATS when playing on back-to-back days

    The problem is all of these teams SUCK ATS pretty much as far back as you want to go.

    Milwaukee 2-5 ATS
    Detroit 1-5 ATS

    Toronto 0-6 ATS
    Memphis 2-1 ATS, but 3-16 if you go back past the 2 game win streak that ended last night.

    My gut feeling is to stay far away from these four teams, but I am open to suggestions.
  • BlazeHaze
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-18-09
    • 395

    #2
    i would lean towards detroit due to the fact that mil has 3 starters out. (redd, bogut,and ridnour).
    Comment
    • onlooker
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-10-05
      • 36572

      #3
      Not sure if you know it or not, but Bosh is out for the Raptors.

      Raptors and Bucks are two I am trying to figure out if I want to bet. The injuries are keeping me off them.
      Comment
      • johnnymapalo
        SBR MVP
        • 06-14-08
        • 2999

        #4
        Why would you try to cap 2 teams with a list full of inconsistencies right infront of you..
        Comment
        • curious
          Restricted User
          • 07-20-07
          • 9093

          #5
          Originally posted by johnnymapalo
          Why would you try to cap 2 teams with a list full of inconsistencies right infront of you..
          That is why I am TRYING. If there weren't inconsistencies then I wouldn't be TRYING would I?

          Just asking if anyone sees an edge in either of these games that I do not see.
          Comment
          • BlazeHaze
            SBR Sharp
            • 01-18-09
            • 395

            #6
            if you havent saw..i have a system that is currently hitting at 75%. mil does fit into my system but im not going to pull the trigger due to injuries..(redd..bogut..and ridnour)
            Comment
            • BelieveTheHype
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-03-09
              • 747

              #7
              Toronto is a B play in JM's system, which is 14-0 so far this season, so may be worth a shot.
              Comment
              • onlooker
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 08-10-05
                • 36572

                #8
                Originally posted by BelieveTheHype
                Toronto is a B play in JM's system, which is 14-0 so far this season, so may be worth a shot.
                Does the system factor in injuries, especially to the teams best player?
                Comment
                • ThomasKranked
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 01-19-09
                  • 25

                  #9
                  not really...

                  but toronto's line is moving form +2,5 to +-0
                  Comment
                  • roasthawg
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-09-07
                    • 2990

                    #10
                    I'm on Toronto and Milwaukee.
                    Comment
                    • SportNut
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-16-07
                      • 1984

                      #11
                      I'm already in Toronto for 2dimes..
                      Comment
                      • xxxvince
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-17-07
                        • 2567

                        #12
                        detroit will win this one
                        Comment
                        • W0lfy
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 01-06-08
                          • 765

                          #13
                          Doesn't the JM system count out teams with injuries? I think Toronto classifies under injuries if its their main player. As far as Detroit and MIl goes. Why the hell would you bet on Mil? Detroit is a great team who just hasn't got their sht together, but if its money on the line i'm going with the better team against a team without their THREE starters. Hello THREE starters!!! Mil can win this game of course its the NBA, but I rather lose knowing I picked the better team rather than losing to luck and a stupid decision.
                          Comment
                          • alittlemoresound
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 12-14-08
                            • 472

                            #14
                            have you capped the denver game yet ?

                            what you lean on ?
                            Comment
                            • curious
                              Restricted User
                              • 07-20-07
                              • 9093

                              #15
                              Every time I think too much I fukk up

                              When I looked at Detroit my immediate reaction was "Play". Then I got to thinking too much and talked myself out of it.

                              EVERY TIME I think after my initial reaction I either don't play a winner or do play a loser. I have to stop thinking.

                              Shouldn't be too hard for a crackhead like me.

                              We need a smilie of a dude smoking crack.
                              Comment
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