sprasad03 picks- new system

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • sprasad03
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-06-09
    • 412

    #1
    sprasad03 picks- new system
    I have created a system to predict every game winner SU and ATS, the ATS is still being revised but SU is 30-9, ATS is 21-11-2. I will be watching ATS for more games b4 i post those plays but i will post SU. Every game is a play but this does not mean i bet on every play because I also use my own discretion to see how smart the bet is (this is key). I pick the best ones. I also have secret plays which are 7-1. I know i haven't posted my results to prove this to you, but really i don't care. I am just posting picks for you guys, use or don't.

    *Injuries are factored

    How I will record wins:
    SU- if they win, they win.
    Secret Play- Since I say you can lay points, I will put the max of what you can lay but we all could have different points so in order to combat this, my method will be to take -2 from
    the max and record if the team wins, draws, or loses.


    02/04/09


    SU- Orl, NJ, LAL, Det, Cle, NO, ATL, Den, Hou, Dal, Phx

    (ATS plays are still being revised, so im just gonna try to get more games in)

    Eventually Goal is to get ATS to replace SU system bc more money obviously. but workin on it.

    Orl-W
    NJ-W
    LAL-W
    Det-W
    Cle-W
    NO-L
    ATL-W
    Den-W
    Hou-L
    Dal-W
    Phx-L

    (8-2)
  • sprasad03
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-06-09
    • 412

    #2
    Online Pick Record 8-2 as of now
    Comment
    • yan7181
      SBR Hustler
      • 01-31-09
      • 70

      #3
      keep up the good work, cheers.
      Comment
      • sprasad03
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-06-09
        • 412

        #4
        SU Record- 8-3, today's play coming up soon!
        Comment
        • sprasad03
          SBR Sharp
          • 01-06-09
          • 412

          #5
          02/05/09

          SU Picks
          Boston
          Philly
          Utah

          No Secret Plays
          Comment
          • NBA Hero
            SBR MVP
            • 12-05-08
            • 1886

            #6
            just try to post your games earlier so people here could update you with injuries etc
            Comment
            • sprasad03
              SBR Sharp
              • 01-06-09
              • 412

              #7
              Originally posted by NBA Hero
              just try to post your games earlier so people here could update you with injuries etc
              ya i understand, but i research all injuries b4 picks. Most of the time an injury hasnt changed the game winner yet. If its at the level i will note but none are. If the injury is a maybe i usually put it down as an injury as precaution.
              Comment
              • NBA Hero
                SBR MVP
                • 12-05-08
                • 1886

                #8
                on phillie, brand has been out on 2nd half last game. if he will play its for just limited minutes. I think brand will just disrupt the minutes of his teammate. brand needs to be out and recuperate and come back after all star.

                GL, im with you on bos, all the way.

                BTW, is the picks with live odds
                Comment
                • sprasad03
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 01-06-09
                  • 412

                  #9
                  ya ur right on brand, but after philly performance on boston and home court, i think indiana will lose it, just my analysis. idk about the spread tho, i predict a close game but one thing for sure i have bet on indiana lately and they lost every time, so im def not doing it again ha.
                  Comment
                  • TrafficUB
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 02-04-09
                    • 322

                    #10
                    hey sprasad, do you see the game going over 216 points?
                    Comment
                    • sprasad03
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 01-06-09
                      • 412

                      #11
                      trafficub sorry bro, i dont deal with point totals, its not really factored in the system. But in my personal opinion, looking at their two recent games against each other, and improvement. I still say under. the last 2 games were between 180-190.
                      Comment
                      • OC
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 01-05-09
                        • 136

                        #12
                        This may be one of the times a injury precaution comes into play. GL.

                        http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/news/story?id=3887072

                        Elton Brand's first season in Philadelphia is coming to an abrupt ending.


                        Sources close to the situation told ESPN.com on Thursday afternoon that Brand will undergo season-ending shoulder surgery Monday after a failed attempt to play through the injury. The Sixers' marquee summer signing has averaged a mere 5.7 points and 4.7 boards in less than 20 minutes per game in his six outings since sitting out 16 games after dislocating his shoulder in a home game against the Milwaukee Bucks on Dec. 17. The former All-Star, who turns 30 on March 11, managed only eight minutes in Tuesday's one-point loss to the Boston Celtics, sitting out the entire second half. After an Achilles injury that limited him to eight games last season with the Clippers, Brand signed a five-year deal worth nearly $80 million with Philadelphia in July to end his six-season stay in Los Angeles.

                        Props to Lunt101 for his post and the story.
                        Comment
                        • sprasad03
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 01-06-09
                          • 412

                          #13
                          philly plays fine without brand as you can see when they played boston. if they can do that they can play without him
                          Comment
                          • sprasad03
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 01-06-09
                            • 412

                            #14
                            just fyi picks are ML, to get best value i see where the public is betting for instance yesterday NJ was underdog but i had them winning str8 up, you dont pick spreads even on dogs. you bet ML. So if public goin one way, wait till u get better value but if its like boston, get on quick.
                            Comment
                            • sprasad03
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 01-06-09
                              • 412

                              #15
                              Boston-L
                              Philly-W
                              Utah-
                              Comment
                              • sprasad03
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 01-06-09
                                • 412

                                #16
                                Updated Online SU Record:
                                10-4

                                Picks will be coming up today, dont know exact what time i got some hw.
                                Comment
                                • sprasad03
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-06-09
                                  • 412

                                  #17
                                  2/6/09
                                  SU Picks
                                  Orlando
                                  Atlanta
                                  Boston
                                  Portland
                                  Denver
                                  Utah
                                  Phoenix

                                  Secret Play: (You can Lay Points on Secret Plays)
                                  Memphis- Only -6 and lower as max
                                  New Orleans- Only -5 and lower as max

                                  (*Note if chris paul does not play or tyson chandler does not play, no play, cant have more than 2 starters out, they are both questionable)
                                  Comment
                                  • sprasad03
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 01-06-09
                                    • 412

                                    #18
                                    Just for updates, i have been watching the wins, im going to see if i am able to determine the strongest plays out of the SU picks. hopefully within the week i will show 1 5 10 unit plays.

                                    fyi its looks like NO is not going to be a secret play.
                                    Comment
                                    • sprasad03
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 01-06-09
                                      • 412

                                      #19
                                      Updated SU Record: 16-7
                                      Secret Play: 0-1

                                      plays for today comin soon
                                      Comment
                                      • sprasad03
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-06-09
                                        • 412

                                        #20
                                        2/7/09

                                        SU Picks
                                        Philly
                                        Denver
                                        Memphis
                                        Milwaukee

                                        Secret Plays (Allowed to Lay Points)

                                        Atlanta- -8 and under
                                        Dallas- -7 and under
                                        Houston- -8 and under
                                        Comment
                                        • NBA Hero
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-05-08
                                          • 1886

                                          #21
                                          why on bucks with a lot of injuries?
                                          Comment
                                          • FreeFall
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-20-08
                                            • 3365

                                            #22
                                            stop editing your posts
                                            Comment
                                            • sprasad03
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 01-06-09
                                              • 412

                                              #23
                                              i edit them to put W and L. and to put extra information if needed. Whats your prob freefall? i dont like spreading all my info through 10 diff posts.
                                              Comment
                                              • sprasad03
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 01-06-09
                                                • 412

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by NBA Hero
                                                why on bucks with a lot of injuries?
                                                ya they are injured, but they have been playing with those for a while. detroit plays bad ball up and down, up and down. Mil has home advantage as well. The system says its a tight game but Mil wins SU.

                                                but so far the system has been pretty good on picking the underdog to win SU like atl, nj, and some other game in the previous days.
                                                Comment
                                                • alittlemoresound
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 12-14-08
                                                  • 472

                                                  #25
                                                  denver laying a basket is good no?

                                                  im looking for a big beat tonight... just 1 game

                                                  and i like denver... jersey sucks at home and after watching denver yesterday they play fast paced ball

                                                  billups seems like a good fit to the team....

                                                  ?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • sprasad03
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 01-06-09
                                                    • 412

                                                    #26
                                                    ya denver should win by more than 1 bucket.
                                                    Comment
                                                    SBR Contests
                                                    Collapse
                                                    Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                    Collapse
                                                    Working...