why shouldn't I take Boston huge tonight?

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  • spongerat
    SBR MVP
    • 10-01-08
    • 2023

    #1
    why shouldn't I take Boston huge tonight?
    only -2 @ Philly. KG is still out with the flu but they have enough depth to win this by a much larger than 2. Before I make a 25u play anything I'm overlooking?
  • SexyMit
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-12-06
    • 6139

    #2
    Yep the biggest trap I have ever seen...
    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
    Comment
    • JGILL50
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-31-08
      • 836

      #3
      no kidding
      Comment
      • Godzilla
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 02-12-08
        • 558

        #4
        Philly can win or get blown out. But I will take my chances with the champs!
        Comment
        • oBaMa_MaNiA
          SBR MVP
          • 01-20-09
          • 1067

          #5
          *Garnett and Allen expected to miss.

          *Boston playing Lakers on Thurday.

          Still reckon Boston will win against Philly.
          Comment
          • oBaMa_MaNiA
            SBR MVP
            • 01-20-09
            • 1067

            #6
            Boston have just fallen to -1.5

            I can't think of any reason bar the ones I listed about for Boston to be so low. All the trend - recent and historical point to Boston.

            Maybe the linesmaker wants the public to think its a trap? LOL
            Comment
            • johnnymapalo
              SBR MVP
              • 06-14-08
              • 2999

              #7
              Man, I'm pounding that play like a $2 dollar hooker. KG is missing but I still expect Boston to win by at least 8 points. Philly sucks..
              Comment
              • SexyMit
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-12-06
                • 6139

                #8
                I doubt it... Boston is a big public team. They have already beat Philly by DD 2 times this yr covering both spreads -8.5 and -13.5 and now opens at -2. Read my Signature
                If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                Comment
                • R3Sports
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-21-07
                  • 3167

                  #9
                  Where do you guys see this at (1 1/2)? I see it at (3-)?
                  Comment
                  • oBaMa_MaNiA
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-20-09
                    • 1067

                    #10
                    Originally posted by R3Sports
                    Where do you guys see this at (1 1/2)? I see it at (3-)?
                    Started off around -2, dropped to -1.5, now it's up to -2.5 at my book.
                    Comment
                    • spongerat
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-01-08
                      • 2023

                      #11
                      weird movement
                      Comment
                      • R3Sports
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-21-07
                        • 3167

                        #12
                        Yeah, very..

                        I still it see at 3!
                        Comment
                        • spongerat
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-01-08
                          • 2023

                          #13
                          i still like boston at -1.5 -3 whatever, they'll cover it all. Locked in at -2
                          Comment
                          • Powerz
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 02-03-09
                            • 239

                            #14
                            when a line bounces like that always best to back the dog....

                            Think about it this way....

                            Line looks to good to be true -2 -1.5 -3 whatever

                            80% of the public on the celts...line drops initial = Sharp $$

                            My forecastor has this as a pickem game.

                            Philly + the points but wait for awhile as the line is moving
                            GL
                            Comment
                            • spongerat
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-01-08
                              • 2023

                              #15
                              that may be true but it was moving irradically from 2 to 1.5 to 2 back to 1.5 then 2.5 and 3 all between 1020AM and 1130AM so i'm not sure it was really a tug of war between sharps and the public.

                              and as for backing the dog, i don't put much weight in "always" doing anything as a default.

                              anyway, still like celtics but only time will tell
                              Comment
                              • DennisGreen
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-27-08
                                • 18369

                                #16
                                Some of you guys are way too paranoid. Boston is the play regardless if the spread is -1 to -3. You guys have watched too much X Files.
                                Attached Files
                                Comment
                                • jackpot269
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 09-24-07
                                  • 12842

                                  #17
                                  Nice photo
                                  Comment
                                  • NBA Hero
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-05-08
                                    • 1886

                                    #18
                                    phillie has been known to pull upset wins
                                    Comment
                                    • patsfan2727
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 10-28-07
                                      • 579

                                      #19
                                      I don't see why the line is confusing you all so much. who cares who bets on who? are you going to let other bettors bets determine who YOU bet on? pulllease! handicap the game, and bet the team you like. If you are betting philly because it looks like a trap, and everyone's on Boston, that is not true handicapping...
                                      Comment
                                      • curious
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 07-20-07
                                        • 9093

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by spongerat
                                        only -2 @ Philly. KG is still out with the flu but they have enough depth to win this by a much larger than 2. Before I make a 25u play anything I'm overlooking?
                                        Because they are going to lose. That is why you shouldn't take them huge tonight.
                                        Comment
                                        • spongerat
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-01-08
                                          • 2023

                                          #21
                                          that would have been a good reason if i believed it.
                                          Comment
                                          • NBA Hero
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-05-08
                                            • 1886

                                            #22
                                            just 1point at the half for bos
                                            Comment
                                            • oBaMa_MaNiA
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-20-09
                                              • 1067

                                              #23
                                              What's happened with the Celts? There're up by 13, I go out to dinner, come back and thier down.

                                              Luckily, picked up Philly ML at the end of the first for a 1/6 of my Boston bet at +400.
                                              Comment
                                              • google99
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 01-08-09
                                                • 592

                                                #24
                                                they getting no calls from the refs tonight
                                                Comment
                                                • oBaMa_MaNiA
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-20-09
                                                  • 1067

                                                  #25
                                                  Let's go Boston, Let's go Let's go Boston, Let's GO!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • oBaMa_MaNiA
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-20-09
                                                    • 1067

                                                    #26
                                                    DEEEEEEEEEEFFFFEENNNSSSEE!!

                                                    Down 1, 1 min to go, Philly ball.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • oBaMa_MaNiA
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-20-09
                                                      • 1067

                                                      #27
                                                      Allllll square baby.. 3...


                                                      Dddeefffense!!


                                                      edit: down two... 6 seconds to go! OT, come on!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TWEETS
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-22-08
                                                        • 2114

                                                        #28
                                                        DUMBASS we didnt need a 3, we just needed a tie
                                                        Comment
                                                        • oBaMa_MaNiA
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-20-09
                                                          • 1067

                                                          #29
                                                          3 from down town baby!!

                                                          Money will cash!!! Yeah!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • CashMoney
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-07-08
                                                            • 1982

                                                            #30
                                                            RAY ALLEN IS THE MAN
                                                            Comment
                                                            • curious
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 07-20-07
                                                              • 9093

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by spongerat
                                                              only -2 @ Philly. KG is still out with the flu but they have enough depth to win this by a much larger than 2. Before I make a 25u play anything I'm overlooking?
                                                              Did you take Boston - the points or on the money line?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • yisman
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 09-01-08
                                                                • 75682

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Powerz
                                                                when a line bounces like that always best to back the dog....

                                                                Think about it this way....

                                                                Line looks to good to be true -2 -1.5 -3 whatever

                                                                80% of the public on the celts...line drops initial = Sharp $$

                                                                My forecastor has this as a pickem game.

                                                                Philly + the points but wait for awhile as the line is moving
                                                                GL
                                                                good post
                                                                [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                                [/quote]

                                                                [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Powerz
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 02-03-09
                                                                  • 239

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by yisman
                                                                  good post
                                                                  Thanks

                                                                  Too bad the guy who was looking for input dismissed it, probably b/c I only have 1 post.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • curious
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 07-20-07
                                                                    • 9093

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Powerz
                                                                    Thanks

                                                                    Too bad the guy who was looking for input dismissed it, probably b/c I only have 1 post.
                                                                    He even tugged on superman's cape after I told him not to take Boston - the points.

                                                                    So, if he didn't listen to the best looking NBA capper on SBR (see Curious' avatar) there was no help for him.
                                                                    Comment
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