Leans for Sunday 1/25/09 and PC Play Alert

[Dexter]

this is just more of an instinct play, as not many numbers/trends etc to back up the play. but i just like the spurs to play another close game with the lakers today.

-spurs
_________________
kings travel to toronto off of the close loss last night in milw - raptors are rested and healthy vs a team that they are 4-1 ats the last 5 in toronto, and have won the most recent 2 meetings by an avg margin of 20ppg.

-raptors
_______________
both the pacers and bobcats are playing well ats lately, but i'll side with the series trends and take the points here. the cats have covered 4 of 5 in indiana and the last 2 su. gimme them points.

-bobcats
_______________
the jazz are coming off a btb (3-7 ats this year) while the nuggets are in a revenge spot off an earlier season loss in utah.

-nuggets (big)
______________

[hockeytown11]

take over 16.5 in the nhl all star game today,both teams may score 10

[jalein]

Aiight Mafia........

Correct me if I am wrong. There are TWO morrison plays today.
Both go at 4 pm pst.
Morrison #1 Houston is a "B" wager vs Det since they nutted up a couple of nights ago
Morrison #2 Chicago is a "A" wager vs T-wolves.
Locked G-Town at -7.5 buying a point.
Gonna put 1/2 the PC wager on the half
And that boyz and girlz will conclude my action for the day.

Now....LETS GET PAID.

[jalein]

Parlay of the day....

Bulls +5
Jazz +6 half
Lakers -6 half



"If you wanna live long on your own terms, you gotta be willing to crash and burn!"

Do you do parlays regularly? If so, would you mind posting your parlay results for a while? I generally avoid parlays like the plague. If someone is doing well with them I may want to reconsider, but I will have to learn a bit about what to look for.

[Dexter]

jalein - be careful if tmac and ming dont play - no point chasing then..

anyone - i wasnt around yesterday, but it looks like the secret plays went 5-1. were there any added/deleted plays? thx, dont feel like reading thru the whole thread.

also it seems like any spread of -21 or more doesnt have the first half moneyline..

[jalein]

jalein - be careful if tmac and ming dont play - no point chasing then..

anyone - i wasnt around yesterday, but it looks like the secret plays went 5-1. were there any added/deleted plays? thx, dont feel like reading thru the whole thread.

also it seems like any spread of -21 or more doesnt have the first half moneyline..

I dont care about T-Mac, but FORGOT all about Yow getting hurt in their loss a couple of nights ago. That is huge. Thank you!!!

[jalein]

jalein - be careful if tmac and ming dont play - no point chasing then..

anyone - i wasnt around yesterday, but it looks like the secret plays went 5-1. were there any added/deleted plays? thx, dont feel like reading thru the whole thread.

also it seems like any spread of -21 or more doesnt have the first half moneyline..

No add or deletions for the strict secret plays. CK retracted LSU before gametime and added Stanford -9.5 for the first half, but I dont think this was a strict secret play either

[joanapoker]

I'm all over BOSTON today.
1st Qrt -3 $150
1st Half -5 $150
and nightridah parlay BOS-4 x UNDER 198 $100 to win $100

and of course PC Play of the day $220

[solobass]

Cashed all 3 NBA plays yesterday, surprised more people were not all over the Nets like dots on dice. Taking the day off for some family time and drinking (which does not mix with gambling with me). Only play for me today is

Detroit -1.5
I have this one capped as about a 3-5 pt win for the Pistons.

Best of luck and talk to you clowns tomorrow. Cash those tickets!

[maddogmadden86]

so far locked in celtics first quarter and under 192.5

[peterpan19]

ck
do you know what styles plays today ?
thx

I really like Bos -3 1st Qtr, Bos will start out hot and Dal will be a bit slow and being the 4th road trip game with an early start, wont help much either

other 1 qtr plays I like, Lal -2, Tor -3, Den -2

as for the games I am not sure yet, but Char looks really good so far, and I also have to agree with dexter on that Denver play.

edit: and of course I will play the PC play heavy, I mean its a PC play what else do you need to know here ??

also I think the secret plays were really good yesterday and we also could have gotten out money back on the loss, if we would have doubled in the 2nd half (4 out of 5 times it worked out)

[maddogmadden86]

knight love the udner play for the celtics/mavs game early games are always light tempo and low scoring i love the under

[showtime2000]

Good moring all, just went back to check on the DAL/Bost matchup head to head, and Dal has won 5 of 6 1st qtr matchups against BOS. I liked BOST 1st qtr but did some research and found this.... Just an observation

Plays so far for today,

Geogretown -7.5 (CK)
Georgetown half -4.5 (CK)
Charlotte +3.5



Het Dexter, thanks for the tip on getting a picture for the avatar they other day. I never got to thank you for it. Thanks pal!!!!

[Dexter]

hmm - just noticed that denver is 0-3 ats with 3> days rest. i was gonna go 3x on this play, now just 2x. they may come out rusty with 4 days off. 10x on the pc play

[showtime2000]

just saw something and not sure if anyone noticed it, but the OVER in Denver/Utah.
Over is 12-1-1 in Jazz last 14 games as an underdog
Over is 11-1-1 in Jazz last 13 games as a road underdog
Over is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 0 days rest
Over is 7-1 in Jazz last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game
Over is 10-4 in Nuggets last 14 overall
Over is 7-2 in Nuggets last 9 games following a S.U. win
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Denver head to head

Look into the head to head games and the history and the last 2 matchups both stayed UNder but one of them the O/U was set at 225 and the total for the game was 221 and the other game was the 1st game of the year. Before this game they went 6 straight Overs.

87% on Under and it's dropping from 216 to 215.

Anyone chine in on this?? Ck or Night?

[vassman86]

Just a heads up: Louisville was +2.5 against Syracuse in CBB for today, and ever since 11:00am, the line has been dropping pretty sharply all around, going from +2 to +1/PK/-1

[Sloanie29]

G'Town down to 7.5 within the last 10 minutes. anything going on with this?

[showtime2000]

Yea noticed this too.

[vassman86]

Hmmm, any opinion on the Georgetown game? The public is 79% on Georgetown and most books were offering it at -8.5 and some at -9. Suddenly there was a drop to -8

[jaymac82980]

careful with georgetown. they have been stinking up the joints lately, and 8-8 is a lot. they haven't been very friendly ATS this year, especially lately - and now they are playing on the road.

[jaymac82980]

not to hate on the pc play, but this game looks too fishy. If georgetown had been playing better lately, I'd have no problem laying down 8 points.

[t-bone]

celts/mavs total down to 191.5........im gonna hit the 1st half under 97

ahh thank you

[flavo-ice]

careful with georgetown. they have been stinking up the joints lately, and 8-8 is a lot. they haven't been very friendly ATS this year, especially lately - and now they are playing on the road.

That is the beauty of this play. Quick glance at recent play shows G'town dogging it and Seton an ATS machine, so why would the linesmakers go and install G'town as an 8pt fav on the road against these guys? Are they laying the trap for Seton action? Hmm.......think about it.

[zackattack]

would like to hear some others thoughts on georgetown
i capped game to georgetown -10..........anybody else cap it?......what did you get?

[jaymac82980]

flavo, you could have a point, but I think I'm switching my gears over to NBA for the day.

[ANDYW15]

not to hate on the pc play, but this game looks too fishy. If georgetown had been playing better lately, I'd have no problem laying down 8 points.

Come on Jay, let's get behind this positive thinking

[Dfjay9]

Yo CK just making sure you know that URI is missing two starters. Check the injury reports. That's why the spread is so low.

Just making sure man

[hockeytown11]

isnt there some way to create some criteria for a secret play in nba halftimes like college? maybe the moneyline needs to be a certain number and the favorite a certan number to make it a play,anyone research past pereformances lately to see if there is any good trends?

[Dfjay9]

Yeah Cleveland 1st Q haha

[jaymac82980]

Dfjay9....that spread is low? if Rhode island is missing people and still giving those points...dam.

I'm playing it safe, taking the celts -5 1st half, -9 game, and teasing the game/under -5/u197.5

[flavo-ice]

would like to hear some others thoughts on georgetown
i capped game to georgetown -10..........anybody else cap it?......what did you get?

It's scary laying 8 on the road considering recent g'town and seton performances, but I would be a whole lot more skeptical if the line on g'town was soft(around 4 or so). Which would be signaling trap city.

This is a solid line and imo very telling.

[jaymac82980]

hockey, do the all star games generally score over 16 points? I guess even with an all star goalie, there are still lots of points? and I am guessing since it's all star game, they probably don't check (makes wayne gretzky proud). basically, how much do you like this over?

[flavo-ice]

isnt there some way to create some criteria for a secret play in nba halftimes like college? maybe the moneyline needs to be a certain number and the favorite a certan number to make it a play,anyone research past pereformances lately to see if there is any good trends?

Never happen. Big difference between ncaa and nba. One is a job, the other plays from the heart. One plays night after night after night, the other once maybe twice a week at most.

That is exactly the challenge in nba and why it makes you scratch your head so often. Trying to figure out when these overpaid jackasses are going to take the night off.

[hockeytown11]

the nhl needs to sell its game a LOT more than say NBA,NFL ect,the average person tuning in to watch doesnt want to see defense,they want to see goals and lots of them,to sell the sport the nhl will have goals gallore today,it may reach 23-24 IMO

[peterpan19]

good point showtime2000, but Bos should really blow them away today

dexter, utah is 3-4 on b2b games this year, but they are playing horrible lately, only 1-6 ATS