Leans for Monday 1/19/09 CK vs hockeytown11

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  • cocknocker
    Restricted User
    • 11-06-08
    • 8001

    #1
    Leans for Monday 1/19/09 CK vs hockeytown11
    This week will be known as "Toro Week" as danrman turned the light on for me and I had an epiphany. I want to take the Bulls this week all week long win or lose and see if they can get me 3 covers out of the 4 games they play against New York, Atlanta, Toronto (which will be the toughest one) and Minny. 2 home and two road. Thank you danrman for giving me the inspirational information. I'm gonna set it off and carjack his pick and ride with him on this one-Bulls+2.5 with no cut on it and the moneyline when it comes out. I think that he has an excellent side play tonight.

    Well now, we enter day 3 with the challenge going full steam and the combatants are working around the clock to bring you more of what ya need. On the docket tonight, we have a million NBA games for us to wager on. I myself have chosen a few to try out...

    Here's my four


    Houston has the Denver's number in battles waged in Texas. I am making this wager knowing full well that the odds of McGrady and Artest playing this evening are not likely in my favor, and I am taking a shell of what the Rockets could be. Despite that fact I am going to ride them tonight with the chalk. They are 4-1 ats and straight up playing the McNuggets at home, and i look for that trend to continue. Rest is not a factor for either team, but Kenyon Martin is. And he is not playing all too well these days.

    Houston-2.5 I already played this one


    I already pointed out on yesterday's thread that the under in games played between Indiana and New Orleans in the Big Easy usually go under the total and it is 4-1 ats for the under. With an over under line of 210.5 I find that number to be too high and i have already played this one, as i anticipate that the number will go lower once the linemaker realizes that he made a mistake. The Hornets are playing their first home game after a long east coast road trip.

    Indiana/New Orleans under 210.5 (already played)


    I couldn't refuse this one as I had to change my play from UAB to Texas A&M on this one. The Jayhawks have had more han their share of troubles form A&M over the years at home, and have not defeated them by this margin in over 5 years. I am sorry but I must take the points in this matchup.


    I have to take this heavy favorite because i talked myself into it. Phoenix is coming off of a win that went over the total yesterday morning in Toronto. Boston is fresh off blasting tune up Nets games, and they are home where the fans need a sgnature win to get them back into it. Against this version of the Celtics, the Gang Green beat the Suns by 10 theh last time they played them in Beantown. The spread was 7 that day, and the spread is 8 this time. More of the same. I'm taking the

    Celtics-8 ( I would like to watch the line on this one, but since I am in a challenge, I will play it now as well now that I think about it)


    College basketball

    Texas A&M+10 This one was no brainer. Of course I took those points. It's been 5 years since the Jayhawks have beat them by this kind of number. This isn't Colorado in the gym this time.

    There's mine, ladies and gentlemen.


    Records to date for the challenge

    CK 4-1-1

    hockeytown 2-3-1

    hockeytown11, don't act like you don't already know the rules by now, so let's get that set of picks before you have a chance to call up a pick service. You have until 4:00am pst to get those picks in, good fellow. And please don't start with all of the bullbleep and name calling nonsense. Willie Bee the moderator has already spoken to both of us, so don't get yourself thrown off the thread before I have a chance to finish this thing of ours. If you don't come with those picks I will have to declare that you have forfeited this matchup, as i have not been reprimanded by the moderators until you showed up trying to make a name for yourself. I am sure that the CK Mafia does not want to lose me again. I can't let you mess up a good thing by responding to your actions if you behave the way you have been known to act so far.
  • SamsNCharge99
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-22-08
    • 41242

    #2
    1st glance at games, I did like Altanta as well w/ some others. Toronto playing today and losing at home. Raptors just can't get anything going and are playing terrible. Atlanta has been up and down at times. They can play w/ the best, but also can lose to some bad opponents. But, right now playing decent, at home to weak Raptors, love the Hawks at -5
    Comment
    • hockeytown11
      SBR MVP
      • 01-04-09
      • 1102

      #3
      Toronto over 199

      Indiana over 210

      San Antonio -3.5

      Golden st -5
      Comment
      • BigPat
        SBR Rookie
        • 05-26-08
        • 31

        #4
        Suns +8
        Comment
        • nonsense48
          SBR MVP
          • 12-15-08
          • 2927

          #5
          interesting match so far CK and hockey. i see you both have the same game and opposite totals hmmmmm. we shall see
          Comment
          • SamsNCharge99
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-22-08
            • 41242

            #6
            looking at the games...I like.....tell me what you think

            Atlanta -5
            Houston -2.5
            G. State -5
            Spurs -3.5
            Comment
            • cocknocker
              Restricted User
              • 11-06-08
              • 8001

              #7
              Alright, hockeytown11,

              I have finished my other challenge and won it against a staunch competitor, and now you have my full attention in HD. I see that you have got some good picks for tomorrow. I also see that we are going head to head on the total for the New Orleans/Indiana game, so good luck to you on that one. I wish you heaven on this Sunday evening. I always think that Sunday is a good time to focus on the loved ones that we still have in our lives, the children, the wives, the girlfriends, the homies. And just be thankful for all we've got even if it's just a little bit it's all we've got.

              And on a panoramic note, if any of you out there don't have a luxury car or a big gold chain stay true to yourself and things will change. Even if baby mizzles is trippin' fo shizzles. Things can always get better when there's a tomorrow, right?

              Riiight...
              Comment
              • spurzfan3
                SBR Rookie
                • 01-12-09
                • 48

                #8
                Originally posted by SamsNCharge99
                looking at the games...I like.....tell me what you think

                Atlanta -5
                Houston -2.5
                G. State -5
                Spurs -3.5

                Yea I like the hakws, spurs and warriors spreads so much I am thinknig about doing a 3 teamer with them...
                Comment
                • cocknocker
                  Restricted User
                  • 11-06-08
                  • 8001

                  #9
                  Sams-it looks like you took a step in between our picks, lol! Good luck to you. You have some OG's in the new challenge you're taking part in, so things will get even tougher for you. But always remember the golden rule. Don't bet with a team that has won three straight, but do bet with a team that has lost three straight. The linesmaker will help you out in these predicaments. He always does...
                  Comment
                  • africanroller
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 11-30-08
                    • 936

                    #10
                    Steelers -7 for the SB
                    Comment
                    • ram1502
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 12-26-08
                      • 822

                      #11
                      The Hawks have lost 5 of their last 6 SU, with their only win coming against the Clippers. That being said, they have been without their best inside presence in Al Horford, and the Hawks are a much better team than their recent performances have indicated. Above all else, the Hawks are next to unbeatable at home, having beat the likes of the Rockets and Cavs @ home this season. Add to the home court advantage and their starvation for a win, the Hawks catch the Raptors on the back end of a back to back. In addition the Raptors played a grueling, high scoring game with the Suns today which can take a lot out of a team. This season after a SU loss of 1-4 points, the Raptors are 0-3 ATS.

                      -----> Hawks -5.5 (large)

                      The Wolves are playing much much better as of late, with Foye, among others, scoring at an alarming rate. The Wolves are well rested(coming off of 2 days rest) and in this situation this year they are 9-4-1 ATS. And after all, they ARE playing the Clippers who are #30 in the NBA power rankings.

                      -----> Wolves -3.5

                      The Wizards visit the Warriors in what should be a high scoring game with little to no defense played. Both teams are coming off 2 days rest. In this situation, the Wizards are 4-1 O/U and the Warriors are 5-1 O/U. This, in itself, is enough to make my decision.

                      -----> Wizards/Warriors Over 216.5

                      The Celtics are starting to come back around into their rare form they were in during the first quarter of the season. After blowing out the Nets by 20 in New Jersey in their last game on Saturday, the Celtics catch the Suns coming into town on the back end of a back to back and playing their 4th game in 5 days. This will not bode well for the Suns. Celtics roll....

                      -----> Celtics -7.5 (large)

                      The Cavs travel to LA to play the Lakers in what could be a preview of the NBA Finals. Both teams are coming off of 2 days rest. The Cavs are coming off of a win @ home against the Hornets and the Lakers are coming off their 2nd SU loss in a row. The Cavs have played 8 games this season after 2 days rest, weighing in at a stellar clip of 6-2 ATS. On the other side of the coin, for whatever reason, in games after the Lakers have had 2 days rest, they are an alarming 1-3 ATS. Give me the Cavs and those points.

                      -----> Cavs +4.5

                      What does everyone think?
                      Comment
                      • SamsNCharge99
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-22-08
                        • 41242

                        #12
                        Originally posted by cocknocker
                        Sams-it looks like you took a step in between our picks, lol! Good luck to you. You have some OG's in the new challenge you're taking part in, so things will get even tougher for you. But always remember the golden rule. Don't bet with a team that has won three straight, but do bet with a team that has lost three straight. The linesmaker will help you out in these predicaments. He always does...
                        Thanks CK.....now It's time for me to sound dumb.... OG's?????

                        My golden rule is don't think too much. It doesn't work for me. A lot of people like yourself and alot of people on this thread go into stats like ATS and SU in last few and stuff like that. I'm not knocking that at all b/c it works and you guys do a GREAT job, but for me I can't do it. I like to look at stats but I can't look too much into it or I think too much and make bad decisions. If I can't make up my mind in my initial research, I don't bet it.

                        Since I'm not doing as much at home, my picks are getting better and I hope to win early tourney and hope to do well in the next.
                        Comment
                        • cocknocker
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-06-08
                          • 8001

                          #13
                          roller,

                          Just send me your money. Don't give it to the books. At least you know it's gonna go on a good cause. I have been thinking of adding a swimming pool to the back yard and.....



                          I'm just pullin' your leg. But on the real, I like the Cardinals and any points that I can get. A Supr Bowl tested quarterback and brutal huge wide receivers and offensive line. Give me those poins whatever they may be!
                          Comment
                          • BelieveTheHype
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 01-03-09
                            • 747

                            #14
                            Originally posted by cocknocker
                            roller,

                            Just send me your money. Don't give it to the books. At least you know it's gonna go on a good cause. I have been thinking of adding a swimming pool to the back yard and.....



                            I'm just pullin' your leg. But on the real, I like the Cardinals and any points that I can get. A Supr Bowl tested quarterback and brutal huge wide receivers and offensive line. Give me those poins whatever they may be!
                            Both QB's are Super Bowl tested. I haven't decided on the game yet, but if I decide the Cardinals can score on Pittsburgh I think they win.
                            Comment
                            • jamesrg
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 06-23-08
                              • 174

                              #15
                              Hawks -5.5

                              Giving some thought to the Spurs as well.
                              Comment
                              • Smacksmiter
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-20-08
                                • 1169

                                #16
                                Originally posted by cocknocker
                                Don't bet with a team that has won three straight, but do bet with a team that has lost three straight. The linesmaker will help you out in these predicaments. He always does...
                                ugh...so you still like Atlanta, even after this quote? I am going to have to sleep on this one... I feel like the Raptors will be thrilled to be going on the road...and, as you say, the linemaker might want to help me out if I decide to take them...
                                Comment
                                • jaymac82980
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-08-09
                                  • 3416

                                  #17
                                  ck, I already got the luxury car, help me get that gold chain as I just sold my watch in hopes of uprgrading. If you can get me that I upgrade I so desire, I promise to send you a thank you card.
                                  Comment
                                  • africanroller
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-30-08
                                    • 936

                                    #18
                                    Tennis anyone? haha
                                    Comment
                                    • jaymac82980
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-08-09
                                      • 3416

                                      #19
                                      hahaha! i already got the talk from my bookies agent! i told him i'd take my money tomorrow, but a little of it will ride on tennis...I'm going VERY small tonight, as I do'nt like to collect odd amounts of money. 27 bucks on ciquel +650 will get me $175 bucks. Ciquel beat nalbandian 2 sets to 1 last time they played, so who knows, maybe I'll win that 175!
                                      Comment
                                      • cocknocker
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 11-06-08
                                        • 8001

                                        #20
                                        Sam

                                        OG's definition, original gangsters. Guys who have been wagerng as long as you have breathed. Hell nonsense48 has been wagering longer than I have breathed, and I'm an OG myself lol! I guess that makes him a OOG, and that's word. They may get ya. I'm taking Dexter -1.5 (-105) just so you'll know. It's good that wangichu didn't get involved or else he'd be +100
                                        Comment
                                        • jaymac82980
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-08-09
                                          • 3416

                                          #21
                                          GL to me with my only late night tennis bet.
                                          Comment
                                          • ANDYW15
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-28-08
                                            • 1254

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by jaymac82980
                                            GL to me with my only late night tennis bet.
                                            who you taking?
                                            Comment
                                            • djpremier36
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-11-08
                                              • 3479

                                              #23
                                              Hawks are without Horford already, and now Marvin Williams is out as well for their MLK day game vs TOR. That's two starters out and we all know ATL is not a deep team....food for thought.

                                              I plan on teasing TOR +9.5, IND +12 and MIL +10.5.
                                              Comment
                                              • jaymac82980
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-08-09
                                                • 3416

                                                #24
                                                andyw15, I am taking ciquel +650 vs nalbandian. like I said, ciquel won 2 sets to 1 the only time the two played, of course it was in 07, which may not hold much weight, but ciquel was a huge dog in the last tourney, and covered a + 350 bet 2 nights ina row (against the same guy - weird I know, but they didnt learn their lesson after the first ciquel win)\

                                                my bet is small, $25 to win $175.50. thats it for the night. usually I go big, but it is sunday, and my wagering week ends at midnight, so I don't want to risk my substantial winnings.
                                                Comment
                                                • Karayilan9
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 01-10-09
                                                  • 3742

                                                  #25
                                                  Jaymac, for tennis take a look at Nieminen, its looking tasty and GL everyone for tomorrow.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jaymac82980
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-08-09
                                                    • 3416

                                                    #26
                                                    if I win this one, it will make me 4-0 for the week with tennis bets, the other 3 bets were much larger. I actually am up 1300 on tennis alone for the week. 2 of the bets were decent lines, but 1 bet was -360 (which I only wagered $100 on)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ANDYW15
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 07-28-08
                                                      • 1254

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by jaymac82980
                                                      if I win this one, it will make me 4-0 for the week with tennis bets, the other 3 bets were much larger. I actually am up 1300 on tennis alone for the week. 2 of the bets were decent lines, but 1 bet was -360 (which I only wagered $100 on)

                                                      good work will have a cheeky 20. Big day tomorrow!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SportNut
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-16-07
                                                        • 1984

                                                        #28
                                                        Like your under No and Indi play.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jaymac82980
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-08-09
                                                          • 3416

                                                          #29
                                                          Karaylian9, nieminen won the last time the two met, but the second set was VERY close, and the line is -130 on nieminen. Like I said before, it is sunday, and I don't want to risk any of my winnings, my bookie goes sunday to sunday. I would hate to give up a few hundred bucks on a tennis wager. I do realize that betting on tennis is rediculous. C'mon, even I know it is rediculous to wager on a tennis match, and I am the first to admit I am a degenerate. However, if this bet were tomorrow, I would probably hit it up, and hate myslef in the morning for betting on it, win or lose.

                                                          I will stick with ciquel for the longshot, and not care if I lose.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Smacksmiter
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-20-08
                                                            • 1169

                                                            #30
                                                            Good information there djpremier...I am taking a teaser myself...

                                                            3 Team 8pt BK Special Teaser ( any tie is a loss )

                                                            [511] INDIANA +16½-110 (B+8)
                                                            [520] BOSTON PK-110 (B+8)
                                                            [523] CLEVELAND +12½-110 (B+8)

                                                            Boston has found their swagger, Indiana can shoot themselves into covering with that many points...and as we all know, the Lakers are terrible at covering spreads so a double digit cover against Cleveland has about a 10 to 20% chance of happening in my estimation...

                                                            As you can see, any tie is a loss here, so you need to select lines that make sure you do not end up with a tie... if possible.

                                                            $600 to win $500...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • africanroller
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 11-30-08
                                                              • 936

                                                              #31
                                                              Nice goal with 1 second left to put the nails in the coffin . Edmonton rolls 6-3
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Smacksmiter
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-20-08
                                                                • 1169

                                                                #32
                                                                Pittsburgh opened up at -7 ...exactly the number I put it on...and already is being bet down to -6.5...It appears that the Cardinal bettors will be hammering this line down now as they have become believers after the nice run they had to make it to the Super Bowl...

                                                                Hammer away! I would love to get this game at -4...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ANDYW15
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-28-08
                                                                  • 1254

                                                                  #33
                                                                  NBA tomorrow

                                                                  Spurs -3.5
                                                                  Rockets -2.5
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Karayilan9
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 01-10-09
                                                                    • 3742

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Jaymac, Niemenens is on hot form, he beat Djokovic last week who trashed his opponent today, Mathieu has talent but he is mentally weak and in poor form. I can't believe Niemenens odds are so high.

                                                                    Anyway, that's enough distractions, GL with the Basketball.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Smacksmiter
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-20-08
                                                                      • 1169

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by africanroller
                                                                      Nice goal with 1 second left to put the nails in the coffin . Edmonton rolls 6-3
                                                                      Sweet...it was for a $100 win, but hey..every $100 counts, eh? Thank you kind sir!

                                                                      Comment
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