Safe Parlay?

strictlywinners · 01-16-09, 05:46 PM

Not bad, I actually like alot of what you have there, I couldn't come up with anything on the Thunder game though. What are you putting on this parlay, I feel like you should shy away from the parlays and break up your money and take a few things straight. Parlays lower your odds of winning, and the payout is not nearly as good as compared to how hard the probability of hitting one is. Example:
2 team parlay pays what? 2.25 to 1 maybe a little more if you catch less juice. What are you odds of hitting though? They are 1 in 4, so when you win 1 out of 4 like you should in the long run, you end up losing lots of money. That is why books allow parlays and even encourage them, they seem attractive when infact there is very little value.

secret007 · 01-16-09, 05:52 PM

there is nothing like a "safe parlay" ... especially when it is a 4-games parlay... saying that, personally i dont like bucks -1 and SPURS ML..

good luck though...

spurzfan3 · 01-16-09, 05:53 PM

Yeah, I know what you mean, but I am not betting 100s of bucks at a time. I basically just bet about 5 bucks a day and usually make it on a 2 or 3 team parlay. I was just wondering if by bying the points it makes them look alot more certian, but of course nothing is certain. I tweaked it a little bit andthink I will do this one.

Spurs ML
Thunder + 6.4 (buying 2.5)
Hornets + 6.5 (buying 2.5)
Knicks + 6.5 (buying 2.5)

I honestly think all the tem I am buying points will either win, or just barely lose. I don't really see the thunder, knicks, or honrets getting blown out tonight. I think they can all keep it close.

secret007 · 01-16-09, 05:57 PM

i do a lot of parlay these days, but every time i only do 2-selections parlay or 3 if i am very confident... so far, it works really well for me.. i have more than double my deposit ..

i like your selections here except Spurs ML.. but good luck..