Fri, Jan 16 Plays

MJ · 01-16-09, 05:08 AM

Hi Curious, are these picks based on the pythag and log5 system?

kevsworld · 01-16-09, 06:25 AM

3Q
Take the loser of the 1st Half for the 3Q for all games[/QUOTE]

I have noticed that trend...never kept track, but padded my losses with last minute 3Q bets on the loser. Good call

curious · 01-16-09, 09:14 AM

Originally posted by MJ

Hi Curious, are these picks based on the pythag and log5 system?

No.

That doesn't work for the NBA.

For the NBA for games I use "who's hot / who's cold", when a hot team is playing a cold team that is a play. For 1Q I compare the win% for 1Q for both teams, if the teams are close in win% and the underdog is getting a lot of points I take the underdog.

The 3Q take the 1st half loser is a play that AfricanRoller told the forum about.

strybie · 01-16-09, 10:29 AM

I have almost same bets, but I go for NO +4 and NO ML / ORL +4 and ORL ML. Orl hottest team atm, and lakers didn't convince me the last game. Think howard and the great 3-point shooters will kill LA

jcljack25 · 01-16-09, 10:32 AM

Curious, does the wager amount matter for this system? I am looking to give it a try.

NBA Hero · 01-16-09, 10:33 AM

why did you pick cavs coz they havent lost at home yet. you may not be updated but their ball handler west is also out. just looking up for you.

do you still feel strongly for the cavs even if west is out?

curious · 01-16-09, 10:42 AM

Originally posted by jcljack25

Curious, does the wager amount matter for this system? I am looking to give it a try.

use the unit sizes stated. The ML plays and the spread plays are correlated, so if you play the spread also play the ML, and if you play the ML also play the spread.

Don't martingale the Quarters unless you have a bankroll that can handle a progression that can go up to 8X.

All the quarter plays are risking 1 unit for + odds and to win 1 unit for - odds.

curious · 01-16-09, 10:44 AM

Originally posted by NBA Hero

why did you pick cavs coz they havent lost at home yet. you may not be updated but their ball handler west is also out. just looking up for you.

do you still feel strongly for the cavs even if west is out?

I picked the Cavs because they have not lost at home and the Hornets are 2-6 vs spread in the next game after their last eight wins.

I think the lines offered by the books reflect the fact that West is out.

MJ · 01-16-09, 01:23 PM

Curious, I have seen you put the Quarter plays up (martingale on a loss) in the past. How well have you fared? Have you had any really bad losing nights? I really like the idea because you have a good base of games to play and the idea is the stronger team will win at least 1 quarter. I assume you have had success since you continue to do the Quarter plays. I am definitely going to try it out tonight.

curious · 01-16-09, 01:53 PM

Originally posted by MJ

Curious, I have seen you put the Quarter plays up (martingale on a loss) in the past. How well have you fared? Have you had any really bad losing nights? I really like the idea because you have a good base of games to play and the idea is the stronger team will win at least 1 quarter. I assume you have had success since you continue to do the Quarter plays. I am definitely going to try it out tonight.

The Quarter plays hit at > 90%. Only 1 or 2 losing nights.

curious · 01-16-09, 02:06 PM

Removed the play on the Cavs and the Lakers

I will probably regret it. But I am removing the plays on the Cavs and Lakers.

sizzur · 01-16-09, 02:55 PM

curious, i've been lookin at ur thread for sometime now, and u seem to be doing well.
unfortunately, i go thru a bookie and he doesn't do quarter-by-quarter plays. i can only bet on 1st, 3rd q's and halves. if there a system you might know that will allow me to bet similar to yours?

jcljack25 · 01-16-09, 03:02 PM

Sizzur, I have similar issue. I can only bet on the quarter at the start of the game or at the half.

curious · 01-16-09, 03:11 PM

Originally posted by sizzur

curious, i've been lookin at ur thread for sometime now, and u seem to be doing well.
unfortunately, i go thru a bookie and he doesn't do quarter-by-quarter plays. i can only bet on 1st, 3rd q's and halves. if there a system you might know that will allow me to bet similar to yours?

Use Google. Also realize that you need to be able to do this 365 days a year.

thundercats · 01-16-09, 03:55 PM

Hey curious, j/w but why the Over on the the lakes game? of all things i would think it'd be under.

curious · 01-16-09, 03:59 PM

Originally posted by thundercats

Hey curious, j/w but why the Over on the the lakes game? of all things i would think it'd be under.

The OVER is 5-1 in Orlando's last 6 games overall.
The OVER is 16-5 in LA's last 21 home games.

thundercats · 01-16-09, 04:22 PM

Originally posted by curious

The OVER is 5-1 in Orlando's last 6 games overall.
The OVER is 16-5 in LA's last 21 home games.

Mk, i parlayed the la/orl and wash/ny overs. but got it at 208 and 214.5

MJ · 01-16-09, 07:59 PM

I use Pinnacle as my sportsbook. They allowed me to bet the 1st Quarter but when I tried to bet the 2nd Quarter to double up on a loss they did not have the game. Which online sportsbook allows you to bet all 4 quarters of an NBA game?

curious · 01-16-09, 08:13 PM

Originally posted by MJ

I use Pinnacle as my sportsbook. They allowed me to bet the 1st Quarter but when I tried to bet the 2nd Quarter to double up on a loss they did not have the game. Which online sportsbook allows you to bet all 4 quarters of an NBA game?

So, if this team loses the 2Q then take them in the 3Q.

You have to use a place that lets you do it 365 days a year.

alittlemoresound · 01-16-09, 08:15 PM

curiious is it true that you can only make progressive Quarter bets if your out of the US ?

I live in cali so if i joined ur book? Would i be cool ?

curious · 01-16-09, 08:16 PM

Originally posted by alittlemoresound

curiious is it true that you can only make progressive Quarter bets if your out of the US ?

No that is not true.

I live in cali so if i joined ur book? Would i be cool ?

I don't own a book.

alittlemoresound · 01-16-09, 08:22 PM

man guys I really wanna send a shout out to the OKLAHOMA THUNDER these guys are covering machines... im starting to think the work for the bookie and secrectly take calls at half time from the shot callers telling them what to do!

I luv ok THUNDER... i like the fact that they lose games but cover spreads

alittlemoresound · 01-16-09, 08:23 PM

i know curious, but will i have success on that book that u use 365 days a year ? *wink wink

curious · 01-16-09, 08:26 PM

Originally posted by alittlemoresound

i know curious, but will i have success on that book that u use 365 days a year ? *wink wink

That is between you and them. I heard that several other people here have had success 365 days a year. But that isn't the only game in town.

curious · 01-16-09, 08:27 PM

Originally posted by alittlemoresound

man guys I really wanna send a shout out to the OKLAHOMA THUNDER these guys are covering machines... im starting to think the work for the bookie and secrectly take calls at half time from the shot callers telling them what to do!

I luv ok THUNDER... i like the fact that they lose games but cover spreads

I have been on OKC every day for weeks. I don't think they have lost an ATS in over a month.

alittlemoresound · 01-16-09, 08:31 PM

What other games u know of in town? That allow cali people the Prog Q's ?

WHat you on lakers/magic 1st Q ?

curious · 01-16-09, 08:34 PM

Originally posted by alittlemoresound

What other games u know of in town? That allow cali people the Prog Q's ?

WHat you on lakers/magic 1st Q ?

Orlando +1.

BigBoyDan can point you in the right direction. Also, there is Google.

alittlemoresound · 01-16-09, 08:46 PM

im on google NO luck.. it just brings up a bunch of bad sites... maybe you could give me a little hint
put it in code or something

curious · 01-16-09, 08:54 PM

Originally posted by alittlemoresound

im on google NO luck.. it just brings up a bunch of bad sites... maybe you could give me a little hint
put it in code or something

the 365 days a year didn't work out?

Marksman · 01-16-09, 09:21 PM

Curious, my book doesn't let me bet Quarters individually after the game starts. After halftime I can only bet the entire 2nd half. What book can you suggest that lets me bet 3rd & 4th quarters after the half?

NEVERMIND I saw your answers to the other posters..

curious · 01-16-09, 09:24 PM

Originally posted by Marksman

Curious, my book doesn't let me bet Quarters individually after the game starts. After halftime I can only bet the entire 2nd half. What book can you suggest that lets me bet 3rd & 4th quarters after the half?

BigBoyDan made several posts about this.

johnnyP · 01-16-09, 10:46 PM

nba quarter stats

Hi Curious,

Thank you for sharing a lot of information on the board and being willing to help out with excel and such.

I noticed you like quarters bets and was wondering if you know where i could find nba stats on each team quarter by quarter.

I'd like to see how teams do in the first quarter in different situations without manually going through each teams schedule.

Your help is really appreciated. Thanks!

alittlemoresound · 01-16-09, 11:23 PM

well i just wanted to see another one, cuz after doing this for 365 days a year i can't really read anything that proves it available. if there is any others let me know i had 3 quarters and five dimes* in my pocket and i thought maybe it would work but it also doesnt say it in writing that its available.

MJ · 01-17-09, 12:22 AM

Hi Curious,

Just want to make sure how you are betting on your quarter plays.

Here is an example of a loss.

Detroit -137 ML 1Q, 2Q double, 3Q quadruple Loss

Lets say you were trying to win $100.

Bet #1: $110 to win $100
Bet #2: $231 to win $210
Bet #3: $341 to win $310

If you lose Bet 3 then stop. Am I correct? This would make the total loss $682

On another note, if you did follow that betting plan on top you can really only lose 1 bet and out of 8 and make a profit.