Leans for Saturday 1/10/09

[peterpan19]

totals play for today:
Over 190 Utah, I fully expect utah to blow out the Pistons today, I have this game somewhere in the range of 105-90, over hit 4 out of 5 in Utah
(slight lean to the Under in GS/Por game)
edit: maybe even something like 110 -85, over should hit
Can someone tell me why Por is favored by 13 pts today ? It seems way to high for me or is someone iportant injurde for GS ?

edit:Utah down to -9, get it now

[ragiche]

No thoughts on my leans for tonight's game,hey guys?Need some opinion.

[peterpan19]

ragiche
I like minn too
Car, I dont like it, Cards fan here
I dont like the total for that Chi game, I think the Utah Over is better

[ragiche]

Thanks peter.Appreciate it.

[ragiche]

How about you CK,need some of your opinion,you're my maestro though.

[t-bone]

Ragiche, I also love the Chi/OKC Under 206........let's get it

[Dexter]

Are you all still like Utah at -10?

i had my line set at 7 - i see it at 9 in most spots - vegas isnt scaring me off of this bet (like they did with the spurs vs mia the other night)

jazz minus anything for me...

[Dexter]

peter - line is that high, cause roy is likely back..

http://blog.oregonlive.com/behindblazersbeat/2009/01/warriors_at_blazers_gameday_pr.html

[peterpan19]

dexter thx, but seems still too high, anyway lets wait its a late game

[cocknocker]

I'm gonna smoke on the Jazz for a while. I know that because of the enormity of the line, that people will rush to the window to place wagers on Detroit, not knowing that in this circumstance you must take the "fishy" team, which is Utah.

jamesrg,

It's cool, I had the Bobcats+6.5 and picked up the win on that one

showtime2000

Bucks/Minny I would have to ride with the Bucks 1st half and Minny 2nd half. the Bucks will have the carry over effect working in their favor, but with such a hotly contested game last night against the Nets, it will be hard for them to summon up the energy necessary to defeat the T-Wolves who feel that they can win the NBA Championship right now after blowing out the Thunder by 42 points. Minnesota is playing relly well right now, and i can't go against them. So if you are playing the full game only, take the T-Wolves. If you want to cut the game in halves, take the Bucks 1st half, and when they go in at the break up, the linmaker will give a spread which dictates that the Bucks will win the game, and the fools will reach for it, and the smarts will take the T-Wolves.

[cocknocker]

Dexter,

Check me out, the under is 4-1 in games in Portland between them and Golden State, with average over unders of 207.5, and actual combined scores of 195.5. Wow! What a descrepency.

[Dexter]

booked plays-

ravens +3
panthers -10 (large)

[peterpan19]

ck
the under is also 10-3 in L13, I had one eye on that total too, but hell I like the Utah one even better

[Dexter]

Dexter,

Check me out, the under is 4-1 in games in Portland between them and Golden State, with average over unders of 207.5, and actual combined scores of 195.5. Wow! What a descrepency.

and those 5 games had baron davis/monta ellis running that high powered attack. they are gone, and sjax/maggette (thats why peterpan) are also out. yet you're still getting a 209 number. i would jump on that total now. i just might.

"Corey Maggette will miss the Warriors game on Saturday after attending a funeral in Chicago."

[cocknocker]

Ah yes, but that line won't go down enough to surpass 195.5, so I'm gonna just wait and play it later. We have a ton of action before then. Might as well let the winnings from the books take care of the fees for our findings.

[shoebox]

PRONK to many games today......what cha got???


....and where the hell is my boy SPOON???

[cocknocker]

I HAVE CHANGED MY PLAY TO THE ARIZONA CARDINALS+10.5 WITH A POINT BUY

The line has stayed stiff although the majority is on the Panthers. The line has not moved as i had anticipated overnight, so i am gonna play the Cardinals to get the job done in this one. I have changed my opening statements to reflect my change of heart on this one. I don't think that they will win it, but I do think that they will stay within the number. The Panthers have a sorry ass quarterback in Delhomme, and he is known for throwng some to the other team. Edgerrin James looks fresh now too, which will help out with play action and bombs to Larry Fitzgerald.


Let's go Red Birds!

[cocknocker]

Good question shoe... I haven't heard from Spoon either. Where is my Florida State homie?

[shoebox]

CK,

I dont like that your going against the panthers, who have a dominant ground game. Not only that but they are forced to not play 8 in the box cause of the Smith factor. I have a heavy lean on the panthers to get the job done. Cards are outmatched in this one and Panthers have not had ANY respect all season and not only a playoff game, but statement game for the rest of the league. Panthers run away with this one....

[BmoreBucco]

CK,

Well, I really like Carolina and the fact that Arizona has the type of defense that is going to have to pick their poison. They can load up and stop the two-pronged running attack or they can load up on Steve Smith. They cannot, and WILL NOT, do both. There will be points scored by both, but I think many more by the boys from 'Bacco Land.

How's this? I have Carolina big -9.5, so gimme a 34-24 Carolina win!

[shoebox]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EB5-yJM3vJc

This will get some fire started for some football this afternoon!!

[cocknocker]

No way, gentlemen,

One peek at the line movement reveals that the public is on Carolina 58% andthe line has gone down off of the key number (10) to 9.5 now. That in its'self is significant and cannot be overlooked. I do think that Carolina will win the game, but it will be much closer than 10 points, especially when Delhomme throws to the other team all of the time in pressure situations. Edgerrin james looks fresh these days and I tink that the Cardinals have more receivers that need to be covered than the Panthers who have the SLOW Muhammad, and the outstanding Steve Smith. Give me the old man quarterback. he has been there before and knows the road well. So I'm riding the dogs today homies.

As far as the NBA goes, i am gonna wait it out on the Utah game, as I know that the majority of wagererers are on Detroit to the tune of 71% to only 29% for the Jazz. The line is going down accordingly and is now at 9, which means that I can catch the Jazz at -7.5 probably later on if the line goes down to 8.5, which is a phenominal play given the circumstances and the shorthanded nature of the Pistons lineup. The bench is being overused right now, and they are gonna get it today, Tuesday when they face the Bobcats and Wednesday when they face the Pacers in Indiana. It will be like a continuous road trip and I will be fading them in the next three games starting tonight, homies!

[Dexter]

this is hilarious...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iGT08DTk3NM

[shoebox]

CK I recall you saying that the movement is not always correct , homes

[cocknocker]

I am going to call these the Detroit Fade Days. They will also pay dearly for their win streak as the linemaker will continue to give them favorite spreads that they cannot cover. The one in Indiana is gona be perfect as the Pistons are always favored over the Pacers in away games by 4.5 points on average. The linesmaker better not give the Pacers any points in that game like usual, and that's word.

[peterpan19]

ck
good to have you on board
GO BIG RED

[nonsense48]

GOOD DAY LADIES AND GENTS, as i am extremely busy at my shop this day, i won't be able to expound on the "why's and whatfor" of my picks until later if at all but here they are as follows:nfl:balt+3 DEFENSE IS ON FIRE HERE. ARI+10. car may win this one but i can't see them covering 10 against air kroger and the gang. nba:nyn+6' char+4 det+9 again i think utah wins this one but not by 10. GOOD LUCK EVERYONE. PEACE AND BLESSED BE.

[ragiche]

I've just locked in the panthers -9.5 earlier(very big) sorry CK,we're routing diff. teams tonight.I just want some extra money for some hospital fee for my aunt.But I do have some left i didn't bet all my winnings this week.GL everone.Hope my aunt help me with this one.(Last sat.all the dogs won,but this sat. all favs will cover,It's just instinct).

[cocknocker]

shoe,

It's going down today. Redbirds cover the big number. The Panthers are up against it today. All that I know is that they have been favored by double digits 3 times this year, and those squas were the Raiders (weak team), the Cheifs (another weak team), and the Lions (a third weak team). And they didn't cover against the Lions. So what makes them a double digit favorite over a Cardinals team all of a sudden. So you're gonna tell me that now they are sooo good that they can be favored by double digits over a playoff team? I must be missing something here. The Cardinals are not that pathetic group of weak sisters that they have been favored by double digits over. Gimmie them points, cuzz.

[cocknocker]

ragiche,

You have my best regards. I hope that everything turns out alright with your aunt. We need as many good souls on the planet as we can get in these trying times.

[joanapoker]

Well I've already played Phanters-9.5 thinking it was a CK play....Since I don't know a thing about american football I don't know what to do....but probably will fade myself on this one and take a small loss.

NBA tonight:
OKC/CHI UNDER 205.5 (I'm projecting this game to total around 180-190 points, last 10 games both teams are 4-7 to the UNDER and for both teams when totals are set between 205 and 209.5 points they are 1-4 to the UNDER)

I'm also liking the picks of peterpan19

[cocknocker]

It was my original thought joanapoker, but i didn't see what i wanted to see overnight with the line movement. I would still be on the Panthers if the line would have gone to 11, but it is still at 9.5, which means that there is doubt on behalf of the linemaker that they are a touchdown and a field gaol better than the Cardinals.

[zackattack]

ESPN bottom line
just something i noticed today when watching.....espn keeps reminding us that arizona is 1-5 in playoff games so i agree with ck and will be playing cards +10.5

[MarkHammond]

CK

whats the PC play?

[Dana4U]

CK - have you looked at how well the Cardinals have done this year when traveling into the eastern time zone for a game? They are 0-5 this year. 3 of the 5 games were significant double digit losses. The other two were losses of 4 and 7 points. The 4-point loss was to Carolina; which is interesting. But nonetheless, this is yet another EST game for the Cardinals.

Can't see Arizona changing their travel woes and pulling off a miracle victory here. Factor in that Boldin probably won't be playing (and if he does, not 100%) ... that is worth at least 7 points because Carolina can double up Fitzgerald.

Good Luck nonetheless on your other picks today!