Huge parlays with Heat pending, how would you hedge?

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  • reddevil84
    SBR High Roller
    • 08-05-10
    • 174

    #1
    Huge parlays with Heat pending, how would you hedge?
    Hello,

    I have bet a few parlays some months ago and only remaining pending bet is Miami Heat to win East Conference.

    If they win, I would sweep all my parlays for a return of $52k (net winning $47k).

    How would you hedge that?

    The option I consider is to bet Pacers ATS game 5 and advise after game tomorrow, hoping Heat wins ML but does not cover... I am also tempted to wait the first half and try live-betting at a better spread (10 or 11), I expect Heat coming strong as they have been led at half-time by Pacers during first 2 home games (plus opening 0-11 run yesterday).
  • Seto
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-16-11
    • 12906

    #2
    Depends what 52k is to you but I would let it ride in most cases.
    Comment
    • YoGaddy
      SBR Sharp
      • 09-02-12
      • 278

      #3
      If I were you I would bet pacers + whatever it is small and that way you also have a chance of winning both plays. If pacers win game 5 then I would hedge next game for a lot.

      Good problem to have
      Comment
      • Jikos
        SBR MVP
        • 04-28-13
        • 1663

        #4
        Bet on Pacers series (+380). Risk 5k to win 19000. 14k profit if they win, 42k profit if they don't.
        Comment
        • JMUplayer
          SBR MVP
          • 08-27-09
          • 2765

          #5
          Let it ride.... NO GUTS no glory
          Comment
          • rawzay
            SBR Sharp
            • 05-07-13
            • 256

            #6
            Like jikos stated bet on the INDY series (+380). I would bet 11K on it and guarantee yourself 41k no matter who wins. If the heat win you would just subtract 11k from 52k to win 41k. If INDY wins your payout will be 41k. I would do it because Dwade is clearly not the same player and INDY has a good chance of beating them even if the refs help out the heat.
            Comment
            • qb1789
              SBR Sharp
              • 12-22-12
              • 497

              #7
              Do absolutely nothing. Heat will win gauranteed. Remember last yr they were down 3-2 to the C's and everyone counted them out? Same shit here. They will not lose. Go with your gut
              Comment
              • BMoreBird
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 10-26-12
                • 889

                #8


                let it ride
                Comment
                • BMoreBird
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 10-26-12
                  • 889

                  #9
                  or a guaranteed 42k sounds nice. then just enjoy the series. 11k on pacers series.
                  Comment
                  • Sport_Fish
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-06-10
                    • 4079

                    #10
                    Betting Pacers ATS is a bad idea IMO...If Heat win and cover, you're 'hedge' doesn't work at all. So just take Pacers for the series to hedge all ur initial investment and leave it at that.
                    Comment
                    • reddevil84
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 08-05-10
                      • 174

                      #11
                      Thanks for opinions all

                      Decided to put 1k on Pacers to win the series (to hedge my initial investment) and 1k on Pacers +8 for tonight. May add another 1k if I can have Pacers +11 during 1st quarter...
                      Comment
                      • qb1789
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 12-22-12
                        • 497

                        #12
                        Shoulda listened...
                        Comment
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