Thoughts for 1/6/09 NBA

[Razz_Donkey]

I think there are a few good teaser opportunities for the plays today.

3 team, 8 point teaser:
- LA Lakers +.5
- Sac Kings +16.5
- LA Clippers +21.5

Other substitutions that would also look nice:
- Bos/Char over 170
- Min/Mem over 186
- Boston Celtics -1

I might mix and match a few of these for tomorrow. I feel fairly confident that both Boston and Lakers can come up with wins, and the two overs listed have already been discussed in a few other threads. Clippers are terrible but seem to perform better on the road and should keep it within 20 (I hope). Sacramento Queens errr... I mean Kings are also terrible but with Martin playing the way he has been they too might/should keep it closer to 10. I actually wouldn't mind taking the other side of a few of these teasers, like Bulls -.5 and if the line jumps for the Hornets then maybe something like + 16.5. Nice thing about a teaser, both sides are/can usually be correct.

As for straight picks, I'm favoring taking the over with Min/Mem at 194. I also like Lakers at -7 (buying the .5). Lakers have already beat the Hornets twice this year in NO by 7 or more.

I'll update with some more games soon, I'd appreciate thoughts and ideas on any of these.

[Razz_Donkey]

Rockets line is down to 2.5. Its looking tempting, I'll probably take it. I'm getting cold feet about the Boston Charlotte game all of a sudden. I don't trust my earlier assessment that it goes over the current 180.

I'm starting to like Orlando to cover against the Wiz. I think taking Orlando to lead by 7 at the half is really solid. Cold feet about the clippers even in the above teaser. Might sub them out. Lakers line is going down... I'm surprised.

Waiting till last minute following lines, but it looks like I might have action on all of these:

- Rockets -2.5
- Orlando -7 1st half
- Min/Mem over 195
- NYN/OKC over 214
- Lakers -7

Teasers options:
- Lakers +1
- Bulls -.5
- NYN/OKC over 206
- OKC +10
- Min/Mem over 187
- Charlotte +17.5
- ???

Thoughts? Anyone looking at similar picks and lines?

[Razz_Donkey]

Ugly day. Rockets failed, and my two overs failed. Orlando was a great bet for the first half as they covered easily. Lakers have their worst shooting performance in a long time. Truly one of the worst performances I have seen in a long time. Other than Kobe the Lakers looked pathetic on the court. I still like the bet, but my timing seems to be way off. Every time I take the favorite I seem to run into a longshot upset. Really frustrating...

A couple of my teasers got there, but overall really its a loss. I'm ashamed at the performance of the home team favorites. Hopefully things pick up soon.