Goat's NBA Playoff Thread with Film Notes

[MexicanStallion]

NBA Regular Season
135-110-9 ($2020.27)

Parlays: 13-7 ($1232.00)
Moneylines: 18-11 ($712.50)
Spreads: 57-45-3 ($361.00)
Totals: 6-4 ($325.00)
Props: 14-9-1 ($51.00)
Alt. Spreads: 3-5-1 (-$31.45)
Live: 0-2 (-$160.00)
Halves: 21-22-3 (-$204.78)
TT: 2-5-1 (-$265.00)

The Clippers are my favorite to win the Western Conference without the 2nd best player in the world in the mix. Lakers an outside shot, but I feel the Clips will handle the THunder over 7 games. WIll do an in-depth writeup after the first series with memphis. 4/20/13 $200 @ +959

[MexicanStallion]

NBA Playoff Season
2-6 (-$10.00)

Moneylines: 1-3 ($200.00)
Spreads: 1-3 (-$210.00)

4/26: Lakers ML -$200
4/27: Thunder PK +$1000
4/30: Clippers -5.5 -$440
5/3: Clippers ML -$350
5/3: Clippers +6 -$220
5/10: Spurs ML +$1150
5/12: Spurts -1.5 -$550
5/13: Thunder ML-$400

[CaVengo]

[ShogunRua]

Love the thread title

So much for hitting 75% of playoff bets.

Mexi, shouldn't the total lost font be in red since he's currently in the negative? Just sayin...

[Pauulzcappin]

i like goat the but title is funny as hell.

[Seto]

he hit the 2 big ones at least

[thetrinity]

we arent gona count his series losses here

[alamo]

Hell of a season for Goat all the same
135-110-9 ($2020.27)

Silenced his critics big time

[JR007]

assume we have the tickets to prove this record

[MexicanStallion]

Love the thread title

So much for hitting 75% of playoff bets.

Mexi, shouldn't the total lost font be in red since he's currently in the negative? Just sayin...

Correct it should be in Red. Just a slight error on my part. The thread title was Goat's title. He contacted me about two days ago.

we arent gona count his series losses here

I did my best to go back into his posts. I quoted a future play that he lost, but I didn't mark that in the record yet as I forgot. I think I saw one series bet through his posts, but I didn't see any bets attached with it. If I missed any bets. I"ll add them. Just what I got from his playoff bets.

[JR007]

Is Goat laying 14 with his boys tonight ????, "no guts no glory" goatie

[MexicanStallion]

Pacers are playing great as of late and I'm particularly impressed with their discipline. The fact that they keep feeding Hibbert down low is crucial. Last year they did that a few times and it didn't work, they got frustrated and started playing perimeter ball. The consistency of feeding the ball down low tonight will disappear, as it's inevitable MIA will start to front both west and Hibbert down low. The Pacers will get caught late in shot clocks and it will force George, Stephonson and Hill to all make plays with less than 7 seconds left on the shot clock.

On the offensive side, I expect Wade and Lebron to combine for 50+ tonight. Bosh might be a little gimpy on that ankle so I expect him to stay on the perimeter mostly offensively. Allen hasn't had a breakthrough game yet and this may be it. Lebron will continue to post on the elbow or deeper and force INDY to collapse. Expect MIA's shooters like Battier, Allen, Cole, Chalmers, and Bosh to all get a plethora of looks tonight.

But the main difference will be Wade. When the opposing team is forced to double both Wade and Lebron in the paint, MIA is virtually unstoppable. Wade is clearly 70%, if that, but I expect him to be very aggressive tonight and for the whistle to be in his favor as well.

Lakerman- did you see something in the film you wanted to add? Now watch how the Pacers offense is in shambles tonight. Then come back and thank me for my contributions.

$770 on MIA -7.5 -110
$220 on MIA -4 (1st Half) -110
$100 on MIA -15.5 +318 (5 dimes)
James Points OVER 27.5 -110 Risk 110
Wade OVER 17.5 Points +100 Risk $100
R. Allen OVER 1.5 3s Made -130 Risk $130

May 30th
2-4 ($250.00)

NBA Playoff Season
4-11 ($40.00)

Spreads: 2-3 ($490.00)
Moneylines: 1-3 ($200.00)
Alt Spreads: 0-1 (-$100.00)
Props: 1-2 (-$130.00)
Future: 0-1 (-$200.00)
Halves: 0-1 (-$220.00)

4/26: Lakers ML -$200
4/27: Thunder PK +$1000
4/30: Clippers -5.5 -$440
5/3: Clippers ML -$350
5/3: Clippers +6 -$220
5/10: Spurs ML +$1150
5/12: Spurts -1.5 -$550
5/13: Thunder ML-$400

[MexicanStallion]

MIAMI -350 Risk $6000
Miami -4 -170 Risk $1000 (5 dimes line)
MIA HT& FT -130 Risk $325 (5 dimes prop)
MIA wins by 6-10 +310 (5 dimes line) Risk $75
JAMES OVER 6.5 assists +110 (5 dimes line) Risk $100
WADE OVER 16 points -110 Risking $330

As you can see, with this amount of money on the line, I'm pretty scared to take the -7. I Think it's possible MIA squeaks out a 4 5 point win. IMO I think they win by 6. I'm not taking a -7 with that little margin for error. The Pacers are a very good team, and I suspect them to play well tonight, but just be outmatched here.

FYI MIA ML is my biggest bet of the year.

June 3rd
4-2 ($2677.53)

NBA Playoff Season
8-13 ($2717.53)

Moneylines: 2-3 ($1914.29)
Spreads: 2-3 ($490.00)
Alt Spreads: 1-1 ($488.24)
Props: 3-4 ($245.00)
Future: 0-1 (-$200.00)
Halves: 0-1 (-$220.00)

4/26: Lakers ML -$200
4/27: Thunder PK +$1000
4/30: Clippers -5.5 -$440
5/3: Clippers ML -$350
5/3: Clippers +6 -$220
5/10: Spurs ML +$1150
5/12: Spurts -1.5 -$550
5/13: Thunder ML-$400

[Goat Milk]

Mexi, sorry I just cleared by inbox. here's some tokens for your hard work. thanks boss

[ShogunRua]

Nice hit last night goat. I don't quite believe you had 6k on it as most of your previous bets were in the 50-200 range, but whatever you were right about the game. I'm glad to see going heavy on the Heat worked out for you this time as it has burned you so many times in the past. Congrats.

Anyways, I noticed last week how many points you won in the SBR book (you were on the leaderboard at the top of the page). Don't you think now is a good time to start paying back some of those outstanding loans? You would really look like a scumbag if you lose it all in the SBR Book before paying back those friendly folks that loaned you points however long ago.

[JR007]

hey, Mexi...you ran this thread, can you dig out the last ticket...this "fruit" posted

[MexicanStallion]

Heat $1720 on the -215.
Wade OVER 17 Points -110 Risk $220 (PUSH)
Bosh OVER 14.5 Points -110 Risk $110

Wade Series PPG OVER 16.5 -125 (5 dimes line) Risk $125
Lebron James a tripple double in series +230 Risk $50

June 6th
1-2-1 (-$1715.00)
*Wade Prop Pending*

NBA Playoff Season
9-15-1 ($1002.53)

Spreads: 2-3 ($490.00)
Alt Spreads: 1-1 ($488.24)
Props: 4-5-1 ($250.00)
Moneylines: 2-4 ($194.29)
Future: 0-1 (-$200.00)
Halves: 0-1 (-$220.00)

[MexicanStallion]

The heat let gm 1 slip right frm their grasp. Read the writeup I did and notice how everything went exactly as I suggested. Never question me. Parker going around multiple pick n rolls there at the end waiting for mike miller or bosh to switch onto him. Expect a long in depth write up for game 3. On my phone at the moment.

550 on Miami -6 -110
3000 to win 1000 on Miami -300
100 on wade over 17 pts plus 100

Miami will not lose gm 2. I'm still up these playoffs and during the season, not forcing any bets here. This is a big bet.

June 9th
2-1 ($1450.00)
*Wade Prop Pending*

NBA Playoff Season
11-16-1 ($2452.53)

Moneylines: 3-4 ($1194.29)
Spreads: 3-3 ($990.00)
Alt Spreads: 1-1 ($488.24)
Props: 4-6-1 ($150.00)
Future: 0-1 (-$200.00)
Halves: 0-1 (-$220.00)

[ShogunRua]

June 6th
1-2-1 (-$1715.00)
*Wade Prop Pending*

NBA Playoff Season
9-15-1 ($1002.53)

Spreads: 2-3 ($490.00)
Alt Spreads: 1-1 ($488.24)
Props: 4-5-1 ($250.00)
Moneylines: 2-4 ($194.29)
Future: 0-1 (-$200.00)
Halves: 0-1 (-$220.00)

Pretty sure u graded this wrong. Notice on the other bets he specifies which bets are (risk). It appears that the ML bet was not 'risking' but 'to win'.

[MexicanStallion]

Pretty sure u graded this wrong. Notice on the other bets he specifies which bets are (risk). It appears that the ML bet was not 'risking' but 'to win'.

I stuck with his normal style. Almost all of his bets have been risking through the season. On May 30th, he had a 770 bet and 220 bet, so I just counted those like risking even though he didn't specify. His 1720 bet came out to 800, so it was an even number.

[MexicanStallion]

$550 on Miami +2 -110
$1000 on Miami +115
$100 on Wade OVER 16.5 points +100 (5 dimes line)
$100 on Miami wins by 1-5 (5 dimes) +379
$125 on Danny Green UNDER 10.5 pts -125
$105 on Tony Parker FREE THROWS MADE OVER 4.5 -105 (5 dimes)
$120 on Lebron Rebounds OVER 8.5 -120

June 11th
1-6 (-$1880.00)
*Wade Prop Pending*

NBA Playoff Season
12-22-1 ($572.53)

Alt Spreads: 1-1 ($488.24)
Spreads: 3-4 ($440.00)
Moneylines: 3-5 ($194.29)
Series Prop: 1-0 ($50.00)
Props: 5-10-1 (-$180.00)
Future: 0-1 (-$200.00)
Halves: 0-1 (-$220.00)

[MexicanStallion]

MIAMI +100 on the ML Risking $3000
James OVER 27 POINTS -110 Risk $220
Wade OVER 16.5 POINTS -110 Risk $110

June 13th
3-0 ($3300.00)
*Wade Prop Pending*

NBA Playoff Season
15-22-1 ($3872.53)

Moneylines: 4-5 ($3194.29)
Alt Spreads: 1-1 ($488.24)
Spreads: 3-4 ($440.00)
Props: 7-10-1 ($120.00)
Series Prop: 1-0 ($50.00)
Future: 0-1 (-$200.00)
Halves: 0-1 (-$220.00)

[MexicanStallion]

I look for this game to come right down to the wire, possibly even overtime. I see Wade James Allen or Chalmers hitting a big shot in the closing seconds of the 4th. The game to just as well go the Spurs's way with them winning on a nail biter at the end but when I rewatched game 4 I just saw no possible adjustments the Spurs could really make at this point in the series to disrupt the rhythm Miami has found. Can certainly play better offensively but Parker is hurt and Green and Neil are not going to keep hitting 3s, trust me. That leaves a lot on Manu Ginobli's shoulders tonight.

$100 on MIAMI wins by 1-5 +333.

June 16th
0-1 (-$100.00)
*Wade Prop Pending*

NBA Playoff Season
15-23-1 ($3772.53)

Moneylines: 4-5 ($3194.29)
Alt Spreads: 1-1 ($488.24)
Spreads: 3-4 ($440.00)
Series Prop: 1-0 ($50.00)
Props: 7-11-1 ($20.00)
Future: 0-1 (-$200.00)
Halves: 0-1 (-$220.00)

[MexicanStallion]

MIAMI -120 for the Series Risk $1200
MIAMI -300 GAME 6 Risk $900
MIAMI -6.5 -110 GAME 6 risk $220
MIAMI HT + MIAMI FT -130 Risk $260

Chalmers OVER 8.5 points for 100

June 18th
2-2 (-$80.00)
*Wade Prop Pending*
*Miami Series Pending*

NBA Playoff Season
17-25-1 ($3692.53)

Moneylines: 5-5 ($3494.29)
Alt Spreads: 1-1 ($488.24)
Spreads: 3-5 ($220.00)
Series Prop: 1-0 ($50.00)
Props: 8-12-1 (-$140.00)
Future: 0-1 (-$200.00)
Halves: 0-1 (-$220.00)

[MexicanStallion]

Ginobli OVER 12.5 POINTS -110 Risk $110

Bosh OVER 14 points -110 RISK $110

Miami -3 1st half -110 risk $220

SERIES BET PENDING SO NO POINT TO GO BIG ON ANYTHING.

June 20th
3-2 ($870.00)
*Wade Prop Pending* $100
*Miami Series Pending* $1000

NBA Playoff Season
20-27-1 ($4562.53)

Moneylines: 5-5 ($3494.29)
Series Prop: 3-0 ($1150.00)
Alt Spreads: 1-1 ($488.24)
Spreads: 3-5 ($220.00)
Props: 9-13-1 (-$150.00)
Future: 0-1 (-$200.00)
Halves: 0-2 (-$440.00)

[Goat Milk]

Stallion. Looking forward to the final update. Here are some points. Make sure you post my regular season and playoff record in tihs thread for reference purposes.

[JR007]

and while your at it goat, have mexi post your regular season and playoffs for the last three or four years........this way we will have a good overview of your capping skills over time