NBA Addict's Addicted Picks 12/31/2008

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  • Inv1ctus
    SBR Rookie
    • 12-14-08
    • 27

    #1
    NBA Addict's Addicted Picks 12/31/2008
    Hey guys I'm new to the SBR and after reading the forum for past couple of weeks I decided to start my own thread. Its a bit funny that I'm starting this on the last day of the year, but nevertheless I love nba basketball so it doesn't really matter.


    First game that got my attention was Chicago-Orlando. Orlando hasn't lost 2 games in a row since first two games in the season when they started 0:2, but they weren't playing as good of a basketball back then as opposed to now.

    The two already met in the beginning of the season where Orlando won it narrowly after already leading by 17 in the mid of third quarter. Gooden was huge in that game and he is questionable for this game along with Deng. So I presume the Bulls will get outrebounded and outscored in the paint and there will be a lot of weight on the backs of D-Rose and Gordon who will fought a hard battle with Nelson and Bogans. On the other hand Pietrus is questionable for the Magic and he could be a big help, especially with Bogans shooting so badly.

    Key matchup: Nelson vs Rose

    X Factor: Turkoglu (he's been streaky this season much more than last)

    Number's game: Chicago is one of the worst defensive teams in the league allowing 102.5 points per game, Orlando is 16:1 when scoring at least 100 points. Orlando is 6:1 ATS in the last 7 games on the road and they're 4:1 SU on the road games in Chicago.

    So my pick is Orlando at -5.5 (bought a point cause of obvious reasons) with 8/10 units.


    The other game I like is LA Clippers vs Philadelphia. This is the battle between two teams on a 4 game losing streak. Phila lost to Indiana and then had a very tough schedule and lost to Boston, Denver and Utah on the road. They're looking for the road win against Clippers who are terrible without Randolph in the lineup and he is very likely gonna miss this match. These two teams are probably the biggest disappointments in both conferences, cause they made some big trades in the off-season but are really struggling to get anything going. But Philadelphia is at least playing decent basketball and are still in the hunt for the playoffs, which cannot be said about the Clippers.

    Key Matchup: Young vs Thornton

    X Factor: Marreese Speights (He's been very solid in the absence of Brand and will have to work hard against Clipper's frontcourt which is a rebounding force even without Kaman and Randolph.

    Number's Game: The Clippers are shooting 35% from the field and are averaging 81.5 points per game in this 4 game losing streak, they're playing the worst basketball in the league atm.

    My pick is Philadelphia at -3, 7/10 units.


    Also I'm waiting for Denver's hc.
  • Razz_Donkey
    SBR MVP
    • 12-27-08
    • 1756

    #2
    I like your analysis of these games, it looks well researched and thought out. I think that 3 point shots will be critical in the Orlando/Chicago game. Nelson has to shoot well from beyond the yard, and Turkoglu needs to hit a few as well. As for Philadelphia and LAC, I'm up in the air. LAC are horrid at home, but Philly is far from a stellar road team. Could be a tough game.

    I look forward to reading more of your posts, you seem to have a keen eye for breaking down matchups. I'll be watching, and best of luck to you. From one new member to another, welcome and best wishes.
    Comment
    • Inv1ctus
      SBR Rookie
      • 12-14-08
      • 27

      #3
      I totally agree about the 3-pointers in Chicago-Orlando game so it will be imperative for Howard to have a great game and not get in foul trouble with some silly offensive fouls, because Chicago will have a handful, especially if Gooden ain't playing. Both teams defend the 3-pointers pretty well but I hope Orlando will allow only 5 made shots like usually.

      The Clippers are playing so badly at this moment that it would be a sin not to bet agains't them IMHO. Yeah they covered the spread last night versus kings, but both teams were pretty bad, Clippers didn't score like in the last 3 minutes and the Kings scored only once or twice.

      And of course TY for Your good wishes.
      Comment
      • lolisaiahlol
        SBR Rookie
        • 11-23-08
        • 43

        #4
        i couldn't say it better my self, i like the picks you analyzed. i going to do a parlay on both. i need to make the money that i lost on Boston.
        Comment
        • NBA Hero
          SBR MVP
          • 12-05-08
          • 1886

          #5
          you forgot abt hughes. they have to prevent him from scoring and he still has his quickness.
          bogans is needed more to defend against the shooting guards like gordon, hughes and rose. he must not get in foul trouble which he is prone coz his back up lee sucks, so far, doesnt have the luck on being a scorer and bad on decision making.
          lewis has to rebound and be healthy.
          orl again
          Comment
          • Inv1ctus
            SBR Rookie
            • 12-14-08
            • 27

            #6
            I'm actually more worried about Nocioni getting hot, because he is more effective than Hughes who often stops himself, especially now when he is getting more and more frustrated with his bench role.
            Comment
            • NBA Hero
              SBR MVP
              • 12-05-08
              • 1886

              #7
              like last time, nocioni got hot against NJ. im on the bulls that time. and gordon got the hoe hands at times
              Comment
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