Miami heat @ -120 to win it all, bet of the century or trap of the century?

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  • Pat McCrotch
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-08-11
    • 814

    #1
    Miami heat @ -120 to win it all, bet of the century or trap of the century?
    I personally am thinking of putting all I have on Miami to win the NBA championship

    Does anyone else agree?

    just cant see anyone beating them 4 times in a series.
  • Winning oasis
    SBR MVP
    • 06-14-11
    • 1240

    #2
    Agreed. As long as they stay healthy it looks like a repeat.
    Comment
    • riffraff24
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-20-11
      • 7234

      #3
      Tough to see anyone beating them. Gonna be interesting for sure.
      Comment
      • mrfancy
        SBR High Roller
        • 03-15-10
        • 109

        #4
        Honestly I think its a lock. The only team I could see beating them is possibly okc but even then when heat get to the finals you can hedge as they will probably be -200-250 favourites. Unless an injury occurs how else could they lose?
        Comment
        • easyliving
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 06-25-12
          • 8876

          #5
          its a very shitty number. earlier in the season you could have gotten them to win the east at a similar number. its not worth the risk imo.
          Comment
          • Sport_Fish
            SBR MVP
            • 12-06-10
            • 4079

            #6
            Well no doubt the 'good price' is long gone on this future....but I still think this is a solid bet. I get the feeling that a few weeks from now when we see the Heat lift the trophy, we're all gonna think 'oh it was only -120/-125, why did I not take this free money'.

            And I believe it actually IS worth the risk because the only risk I see here is injuries...barring that, I see nearly no risk as I don't think any team can beat a healthy Heat squad.
            Comment
            • Pat McCrotch
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-08-11
              • 814

              #7
              The Heat team is head and shoulders above the rest, they have matured as a team from last year and Lebron is on fire.

              Okl CAN NOT beat the Heat over a 7 game series!

              decided to go big on this

              best of luck!
              Comment
              • vio_br
                SBR Rookie
                • 05-20-10
                • 21

                #8
                Originally posted by Pat McCrotch
                I personally am thinking of putting all I have on Miami to win the NBA championship

                Does anyone else agree?

                just cant see anyone beating them 4 times in a series.
                I wouldn't bet on them. In the last 10 years the teams which had a good run didn't win the championship:
                2011-2012 Spurs had a 20 games run - they didn't win
                2008-2009 Boston had a 19 games run - they didn't win
                2007-2008 Houston had a 22 games run - they didn't win.

                So from a statistical point of view Heat have a good chance to lose.
                And second thought , they are way too overrated.
                Comment
                • aireent777
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-21-09
                  • 5930

                  #9
                  They will try, so to shut the fckn critics up that last year's championship was not a fluke. They need at least a repeat. BUT this year will be Durant's year. Bank on it.
                  Comment
                  • SparJMU
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-18-10
                    • 1648

                    #10
                    Horrendous odds. I got all my Miami futures in at +145 a few weeks back. They have to win 4 different series to win the championship, I am sure you can make more money betting on them in individuals games/series than you will betting this line at -120.
                    Comment
                    • Bdolan33
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-02-12
                      • 1255

                      #11
                      -240 now and individual game ML and series odds are basically unbetable -200000
                      Comment
                      • Mike650i
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 09-20-10
                        • 78

                        #12
                        Most statistics-based sites have the Heat at about 25-33% to win the championship.....so if you give math geeks any credit, then it's an absolutely terrible bet.

                        West is solid. It's one thing to lay a little chalk with the Heat to win the East, but to do that and beat OKC/Spurs/or Nuggets?
                        Comment
                        • Sport_Fish
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-06-10
                          • 4079

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Bdolan33
                          -240 now and individual game ML and series odds are basically unbetable -200000
                          i see -130 at my book
                          Comment
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