3 plays 4/10

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  • sonofben
    SBR Sharp
    • 02-05-13
    • 386

    #1
    3 plays 4/10
    Hey guys, back after an absolute killer night. Initial 3 picks all hit, then decided to play the 2 late games which also hit (not counted towards 3 plays per day record)

    Updated 31-14 @ 3 plays per day

    Now my book hasn't released all lines as yet. I have 4 of 10 game available, and these (I think) have value:

    Bucks -4.5 - Should destroy this Magic, they're in need of a win after a beat from Heat - Redick against old team
    Cavs -1.0 - Played well against Pacers but had a massive meltdown in the 4th. This shouldn't happen again to a team like the Pistons
    Suns +14.5 - Purely because I would never trust the Mavs with 15 points!!! Suns really haven't been playing so badly, sure they've been tanking and lost 10 in a row, but the Mavs have only won 7 games by more than 14 points the whole season!

    Will look again later when other games have been released. Those with other lines out already, is there any value? All thoughts appreciated, lets get 3/3
  • GoBlue77
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-20-11
    • 9166

    #2
    those are 3 garbage teams...playing with fire man. discipline and laying off might be the best play tomor imo. i do like the nugs and lakers tho. portland couldnt beat the womens UCON team
    Comment
    • sonofben
      SBR Sharp
      • 02-05-13
      • 386

      #3
      Originally posted by GoBlue77
      those are 3 garbage teams...playing with fire man. discipline and laying off might be the best play tomor imo. i do like the nugs and lakers tho. portland couldnt beat the womens UCON team
      They are garbage, I agree. But i'm willing to risk it I guess. I have no line for Nuggets or Lakers, what's the spread on those? And yeah, Portland have been absolute shit as of late.
      Comment
      • heavypenguin
        SBR High Roller
        • 01-21-13
        • 166

        #4
        Denver-2.5
        Comment
        • kobstopa
          SBR MVP
          • 02-21-11
          • 2965

          #5
          do you notice that the cav is having alternate win/lose ATS, win on road but lost at home
          piston on the other hand is gone almost perfect in their last 6 road games ?
          Comment
          • Fhosan
            SBR Hustler
            • 03-31-13
            • 90

            #6
            Waiting for bkn and atl line. I like ur suns and bucks pick. Cav not so bad but i always fade them
            Comment
            • PorkChop
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-18-08
              • 8193

              #7
              With you on Milwaukee line. Bad loss last night at Miami, they'll play better tonight. Should run through Orlando.
              Comment
              • GoBlue77
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-20-11
                • 9166

                #8
                Disagree on Dallas...the beards come off in blow out fashion tonight and Detroit is the better team than the Caves....Kyrie and team just want the season over bad. Pistons still playing hard.
                Comment
                • GzaTheGenius
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-12-13
                  • 4181

                  #9
                  Kyrie won't be playing tonight fyi

                  "Cleveland (24-53) might not feel too great about its chances to recover Wednesday considering how poor it's played against Detroit recently. The Pistons have won the last five meetings by an average of 17.2 points, holding the Cavaliers to 37.1 percent shooting."
                  Comment
                  • vasilli07
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-08-11
                    • 3955

                    #10
                    Originally posted by GzaTheGenius
                    Kyrie won't be playing tonight fyi

                    "Cleveland (24-53) might not feel too great about its chances to recover Wednesday considering how poor it's played against Detroit recently. The Pistons have won the last five meetings by an average of 17.2 points, holding the Cavaliers to 37.1 percent shooting."
                    Where did you get the news that Irving is not playing?
                    Comment
                    • GzaTheGenius
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-12-13
                      • 4181

                      #11
                      Originally posted by vasilli07
                      Where did you get the news that Irving is not playing?
                      Idk maybe he is playing, I thought I heard somewhere he would be sitting the 2nd leg of b2b's the rest of the season.
                      Comment
                      • Fhosan
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 03-31-13
                        • 90

                        #12
                        BKN +3.5
                        Atl -2.5
                        Mil -6.5

                        These are the ones im playing. What do you guys think?

                        Funny Was-2.5 to Mia. Lal is dangerous bet, It all depends if they wanna do the right thing.
                        Comment
                        • sonofben
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 02-05-13
                          • 386

                          #13
                          Thanks for all the input everyone!
                          I'm leaning now: Bucks, Hawks, Pistons...
                          Comment
                          • XPenny
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 04-04-13
                            • 59

                            #14
                            The Hawks again? Remember this quote?

                            Originally posted by sonofben
                            And so the story goes. Never bet the Hawks. Ever.
                            Still 2/3!
                            The Hawks lost to the Sixers at home last week....
                            Comment
                            • sonofben
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 02-05-13
                              • 386

                              #15
                              Originally posted by XPenny
                              The Hawks again? Remember this quote?



                              The Hawks lost to the Sixers at home last week....
                              Oh yeah that's correct! I've got a goldfish memory! Will have to change that!!!

                              Bucks -4.5
                              Pistons +2.5
                              Nets 3.5

                              Thoughts?
                              Comment
                              • vasilli07
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-08-11
                                • 3955

                                #16
                                Why did u change from Cavs to Pistons?
                                Comment
                                • sonofben
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 02-05-13
                                  • 386

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by vasilli07
                                  Why did u change from Cavs to Pistons?
                                  Pistons have dominated Cavs all year and they are currently on a back to back where Irving and Waiters, I think will play limited minutes due to nagging injuries. Pistons haven't been that bad of late either.
                                  Comment
                                  • sonofben
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 02-05-13
                                    • 386

                                    #18
                                    Alright, this is what I have locked:
                                    Bucks -4.5
                                    Pistons +2.5
                                    Nets +3.5

                                    Best of luck everyone! Here's to another 3/3 night!
                                    Comment
                                    • Tj17usa
                                      SBR Hustler
                                      • 04-10-13
                                      • 55

                                      #19
                                      Looks good, I'm on the Nets+3.5 too - GL
                                      Comment
                                      • Taka
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 06-29-10
                                        • 321

                                        #20
                                        Would playing two team parlays by adding Lakers ML to each of your picks add value? For some reason, I don't think the league would let Lakers lose tonight... I would be shocked if they lost, knowing how corrupt this league is.
                                        Comment
                                        • sonofben
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 02-05-13
                                          • 386

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Taka
                                          Would playing two team parlays by adding Lakers ML to each of your picks add value? For some reason, I don't think the league would let Lakers lose tonight... I would be shocked if they lost, knowing how corrupt this league is.
                                          I am always very reluctant to bet for the Lakers. I have a habit of them burning me.
                                          Comment
                                          • Taka
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 06-29-10
                                            • 321

                                            #22
                                            Of course, same here... I just think if there was ever the time to bet them, it is the last two days on the ML. They cannot afford to lose, but more importantly, neither can the league. Unless I am mistaken as far as how influential the powers that be actually are, but they've burned me a few too many times not to believe they will do whatever they think will sell their product best... I guess we'll see tonight if I am right.
                                            Comment
                                            • sonofben
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 02-05-13
                                              • 386

                                              #23
                                              Pistons win, and Bucks...oh my god. Don't get me started. Monta Ellis only had to make his FT's to put the game to bed. But no. Then Magic get a goaltending, AND THEN Magic sink a 3 and get fouled. AND THEN can't sink the FT, so game goes to OT...where Bucks get smacked by a team with 19 wins on the season. Pathetic

                                              1/3 with Nets to go
                                              Comment
                                              • Fhosan
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 03-31-13
                                                • 90

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by sonofben
                                                Pistons win, and Bucks...oh my god. Don't get me started. Monta Ellis only had to make his FT's to put the game to bed. But no. Then Magic get a goaltending, AND THEN Magic sink a 3 and get fouled. AND THEN can't sink the FT, so game goes to OT...where Bucks get smacked by a team with 19 wins on the season. Pathetic

                                                1/3 with Nets to go
                                                i said the same thing!!!! f*cking ellis messed that s**t up man... i cant believe it!
                                                Comment
                                                • sonofben
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 02-05-13
                                                  • 386

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Fhosan
                                                  i said the same thing!!!! f*cking ellis messed that s**t up man... i cant believe it!
                                                  Absolutely Un-F**king believeable

                                                  Nets win to make it 2/3

                                                  Late games: Nuggets -3.5, Clips -11.5
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Fhosan
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 03-31-13
                                                    • 90

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by sonofben
                                                    Absolutely Un-F**king believeable

                                                    Nets win to make it 2/3

                                                    Late games: Nuggets -3.5, Clips -11.5
                                                    GL u will need it for den-3.5

                                                    wats ur opinion on tmorrow? nyk and under? and okc and over?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • sonofben
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 02-05-13
                                                      • 386

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Fhosan
                                                      GL u will need it for den-3.5

                                                      wats ur opinion on tmorrow? nyk and under? and okc and over?
                                                      AAAANNDDDD hit them both! BOOM! 9-1 in 2 days! Break did me good!

                                                      Tomorrow I'm on Knicks and OKC but both will depend on the spread! Will parlay the picks too!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Taka
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 06-29-10
                                                        • 321

                                                        #28
                                                        Great job!

                                                        As far as tomorrow, the spread is currently -4 for both. You believe OKC is good for it?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • sonofben
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 02-05-13
                                                          • 386

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Taka
                                                          Great job!

                                                          As far as tomorrow, the spread is currently -4 for both. You believe OKC is good for it?
                                                          My book doesnt have any lines available for any of tomorrows games. I would jump on them right now at -4 OKC and -4 Knicks + the parlay
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Taka
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 06-29-10
                                                            • 321

                                                            #30
                                                            pinnacle has them -3.5 at -105, while most other books -4 at -110.

                                                            You can monitor various books here:
                                                            Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • sonofben
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 02-05-13
                                                              • 386

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Taka
                                                              Pinnacle has them -3.5 at -105, while most other books -4 at -110.

                                                              You can monitor various books here:
                                                              http://www.sbrforum.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/
                                                              I'm in Australia, my book isn't listed. I just have to be patient and wait unfortunately. I usually get the line a few hours later...and hopefully there hasnt been much swing...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Fhosan
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 03-31-13
                                                                • 90

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by sonofben
                                                                My book doesnt have any lines available for any of tomorrows games. I would jump on them right now at -4 OKC and -4 Knicks + the parlay
                                                                I tho the same. I like knicks under for one parlay
                                                                Comment
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