ATS 49-49
Totals 40-28-1
Model
4-4
Bankroll $896
Big card tonight:
Nyork at Toronto -1: PK game with many questions surrounding both teams, Knicks with a nice 55.3% ATS in conference games , both teams with a poor ATS % in division games, 33.3% for NY and 36.4% vs Toronto, no play.
Bucks at Indiana -8.5: 60% ATS for Bucks as road dog, Indiana with 58.1% as home fav, 61.5% after 2-3 days off, 55.8% in conference, no play.
OkC at Orlando -13.5: OKC covers the 77.8% of the time after a loss, 65.2% after a day off and 54.2% in no conference games, Orlando has some decent covers 59.3% rate in nonconference games, though they have an awful 39.1% rate as home dogs and 31.4% at home in general, no play.
Detroit at Miami -15.5: Detroit covers 57.1% after 2-3 days off, Miami 56.1% after 1 day off, might be too many pts for a Heat team coming home after a 5 game road trip, Miami has not cover after road trips of 4 (3 times) and 6 (2 times) this is not a system play but will consider to put some money on Pistons here.
Portland at Atlanta -7.5: Atlanta 58.8% ats after a day off, 55.6% in nonconference games, this is not a model´s play but I am leaning Atlanta due the fact they have been playing lot better and Portland coming on b2b and 4th in 5.
Memphis at NOrlens +6: 1 thing that stops me or the model to be a play here, if Memphis struggle in some point to cover ATS is on division games 36.4%, and Hornets play a poor 38.1% as home dog, no play.
Cleveland at Houston -12: Cleveland with good rates of cover ATS 59.4% as road dog, 60.6% on the road, Houston 60.7% as home fav, 60.6% at home, no play here.
Boston at Dallas -4.5: Boston awful 37.5% ATS on the road, Dallas 58.3% as home fav, play for the model here Dallas -4.5.
Utah at Spurs -11.5: Utah 33.3% as road dog, 38.2% on the road and Spurs 58.1% as home fav, and 58.1% at home makes a model play Spurs -11.5.
Wolves at Phoenix -2.5: Wolves poor 38.1% in conference games, and Suns 30.8% as home fav, 36.4% at home make a no play on ATS, play for the model here is Under 192.5.
So recapping my leans for Regular Picks are:
Pistons +15.5
Atlanta -7.5
Plays for the Model are:
Dallas -4.5
Spurs -11.5
Suns Under 192.5.
Will come back to post final plyas
GLTA
Totals 40-28-1
Model
4-4
Bankroll $896
Big card tonight:
Nyork at Toronto -1: PK game with many questions surrounding both teams, Knicks with a nice 55.3% ATS in conference games , both teams with a poor ATS % in division games, 33.3% for NY and 36.4% vs Toronto, no play.
Bucks at Indiana -8.5: 60% ATS for Bucks as road dog, Indiana with 58.1% as home fav, 61.5% after 2-3 days off, 55.8% in conference, no play.
OkC at Orlando -13.5: OKC covers the 77.8% of the time after a loss, 65.2% after a day off and 54.2% in no conference games, Orlando has some decent covers 59.3% rate in nonconference games, though they have an awful 39.1% rate as home dogs and 31.4% at home in general, no play.
Detroit at Miami -15.5: Detroit covers 57.1% after 2-3 days off, Miami 56.1% after 1 day off, might be too many pts for a Heat team coming home after a 5 game road trip, Miami has not cover after road trips of 4 (3 times) and 6 (2 times) this is not a system play but will consider to put some money on Pistons here.
Portland at Atlanta -7.5: Atlanta 58.8% ats after a day off, 55.6% in nonconference games, this is not a model´s play but I am leaning Atlanta due the fact they have been playing lot better and Portland coming on b2b and 4th in 5.
Memphis at NOrlens +6: 1 thing that stops me or the model to be a play here, if Memphis struggle in some point to cover ATS is on division games 36.4%, and Hornets play a poor 38.1% as home dog, no play.
Cleveland at Houston -12: Cleveland with good rates of cover ATS 59.4% as road dog, 60.6% on the road, Houston 60.7% as home fav, 60.6% at home, no play here.
Boston at Dallas -4.5: Boston awful 37.5% ATS on the road, Dallas 58.3% as home fav, play for the model here Dallas -4.5.
Utah at Spurs -11.5: Utah 33.3% as road dog, 38.2% on the road and Spurs 58.1% as home fav, and 58.1% at home makes a model play Spurs -11.5.
Wolves at Phoenix -2.5: Wolves poor 38.1% in conference games, and Suns 30.8% as home fav, 36.4% at home make a no play on ATS, play for the model here is Under 192.5.
So recapping my leans for Regular Picks are:
Pistons +15.5
Atlanta -7.5
Plays for the Model are:
Dallas -4.5
Spurs -11.5
Suns Under 192.5.
Will come back to post final plyas
GLTA