OKC ML is a very sucker/square bet.. Pick Dallas ML and Dallas plus points!

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Sawyer
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-01-09
    • 7761

    #1
    OKC ML is a very sucker/square bet.. Pick Dallas ML and Dallas plus points!


    Thunder is the better team here without doubt..but favourites always win? Hell, no!

    OKC is hot recently, 8-2 in last 10 games. However, this could be a let-down spot for visitors. Thunder is 3-0 versus Mavericks this season, going for SS (Season Sweep). Mavs won't surrender easily.

    Mavs are 5-1 in last 6. Before beating Cavs by 10 points in their last game, they lost versus Spurs 3 days ago by only 1 point.



    The Mavericks are three games behind the 8th-place Los Angeles Lakers in the playoff race..

    As I always say, betting HEAVY basketball favourites on Moneyline (specially -200 and above) is a really sucker bet. When betting heavy favourites on ML, consider to lay points or skip. Many times, you can find a much better value on home dog..just like this case. I'm on Dallas ML +191 (Pinnacle Sports) here, Good luck!

    Dallas' Win Chance Estimation %39
    OKC Win Chance Estimation %61

    PS: Dallas +195 is available at 5Dimes.
  • 7secondsOrLess
    SBR MVP
    • 03-26-10
    • 1576

    #2
    Where's James Ford?? Jim LeFleur???
    Comment
    • R.P. McMurphy
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 06-15-12
      • 9654

      #3
      Sounds about right ... if I'm not mistaking does'nt OKC always struggle in Dallas?
      Comment
      • Joe Dogs
        SBR MVP
        • 07-20-09
        • 1931

        #4
        Anyone whose thinking of playing Dallas today should wait on the line....Currently sitting at 5.5.....I wouldn't be surprised to see 6 or higher by game time.


        Good luck
        Comment
        • RawBillyIce
          SBR MVP
          • 02-08-12
          • 2036

          #5
          Thank u and I agree w all this

          I'm w 5ds and if I can get 6 I'm in!!! Dallas ml for a nugget too
          Comment
          • OneTouch00
            SBR High Roller
            • 03-03-13
            • 125

            #6
            i rather win with okc than lose with dallas, dallas dont have no one that can score consistently i would rather take over than anything.
            Comment
            • FreddieGibbs
              SBR Sharp
              • 03-04-13
              • 347

              #7
              I cant really jive with you on this one, durant will be gunning this game, red hot -

              BoL, Im a dirk fan, but I just dont think they're gonna be able to handle this squad

              I got OKC at -4.5 last night.
              Comment
              • LowRollin
                SBR Sharp
                • 02-29-12
                • 467

                #8
                with you guys on mavs +6 (-115). let's get it!
                Comment
                • R.P. McMurphy
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 06-15-12
                  • 9654

                  #9
                  Holy shit I was just going off the top of my head thinking OKC struggles in Dallas. Just checked tho after Big10 game wrapped up (easy $) ... OKC has won last 10 in this series and last 4 in Dallas yikes! GL
                  Comment
                  • Sawyer
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 06-01-09
                    • 7761

                    #10
                    Mavs +187 now at pinnacle..
                    Comment
                    • coitus_maximus
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-05-12
                      • 870

                      #11
                      2 OT wins with this being the sweep game. OKC not as good on the road with Dallas playing much better lately....Yeah could see Dal pull this one out
                      Comment
                      • Sport_Fish
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-06-10
                        • 4079

                        #12
                        OKC is always a square bet...

                        what's their ATS record?
                        Comment
                        • Omaga
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 07-10-12
                          • 460

                          #13
                          fucckking OP unreal.... Vegas giving away FREE MONEY today with the lines and you wanna be super man
                          Comment
                          • ThaTopMoron
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 04-30-10
                            • 27020

                            #14
                            don't do it... i tried Dallas ML vs OKC earlier in season and got screwed by the refs and ass-raped in OT
                            Comment
                            • Sawyer
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 06-01-09
                              • 7761

                              #15
                              Dallas down to +180 at Pinnacle Sports.
                              Comment
                              • Sawyer
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 06-01-09
                                • 7761

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Omaga
                                fucckking OP unreal.... Vegas giving away FREE MONEY today with the lines and you wanna be super man
                                Not trying to be a superman or clairvoyant here. Just sharing my opinion/idea. I'm not forcing anyone to bet on Dallas. Final choice and risk is always yours. According to my estimation, Dallas has %39 chance to win tonight so if Oklahoma City wins, it won't be a surprise. However, there's a nice value on Dallas here and +191 odds at %39 chance is a very very value bet, in my opinion of course. I may be wrong or right..this time.

                                Remember, sports betting is not about picking winners. It's all about picking value bets, making correct probability/odds calculation/estimation.

                                Good luck everybody! I wish everyone a profitable night..
                                Comment
                                • Nickoli
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 03-03-13
                                  • 14

                                  #17
                                  I'm with you on Dallas +5. Playing with more heart than they have all year long. Dirk is still angry from the loss in San Antonio and is ready to take down a quality team. Should I expect the line to move up at all within the next 15 minutes?
                                  Comment
                                  • CDMKMP
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 10-18-12
                                    • 774

                                    #18
                                    Played the sucker bet with a small play on OKC spread. More rooting interest than anything, I think we all know who the better team is, just depends on how they show up.
                                    Comment
                                    • Sawyer
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 06-01-09
                                      • 7761

                                      #19


                                      Let's go Mavs!
                                      Comment
                                      • CDMKMP
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 10-18-12
                                        • 774

                                        #20
                                        Where my squares at??

                                        I bet Dallas backers woulda really liked Perkins to go to the line there instead.
                                        Comment
                                        • tragicend
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 08-31-11
                                          • 250

                                          #21
                                          Cashed that OKC ML. Go Thunder!
                                          Comment
                                          • LowRollin
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 02-29-12
                                            • 467

                                            #22
                                            gj fouling durant to make sure +6 pushes. oh well on to the next game.
                                            Comment
                                            • Sawyer
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 06-01-09
                                              • 7761

                                              #23
                                              Congrats OKC backers. You made a good bet if you picked Thunder at -5.5 or -5. But if you picked Thunder on ML, you're doomed to lose over long haul, lol.

                                              Sawyer and Bookie will back for revenge very soon. Public won this time but next time, we will take all your money back.

                                              See ya!
                                              Comment
                                              • TensionX1
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 02-23-13
                                                • 79

                                                #24
                                                I grabbed OKC @ -4.5 and I'm glad I did. I made the bet early Saturday morning. I wasn't surprised just how even they were when it came to the points, though I thought OKC would at least take a 7 point lead by the 3rd or 4th quarter and maintain that point spread.
                                                Comment
                                                SBR Contests
                                                Collapse
                                                Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                Collapse
                                                Working...