The Charlotte Hornets were by far the worst team in the NBA a year ago. Hope springs eternal, as the Bobcats pened the season a surprising 7-5,, but have since fallen prey to the horrible team they are at 6-45 since.
How the public sees it:
Charlotte can't score and are off a game scoring less than 80 points
Boston is a defensive first team, with lack of a bigtime scorer themselves
That thinking has the public, who is "over happy" emptying the tank on the under in this one, with over 67% of all total bets taken on the under.
Situation disagrees:
Over the last 16 years NBA games that feature both teams off a road loss, and one of them scored less than 80, have gone 272-208 to the OVER topping the total 56.7% of close to 500 games.
When the public has had a 60% or higher opinion on the under in this situation, the numbers increase to 61.2% in the other direction. Public has driven the opener down from 191.5 to 188 now, so a fair line has become unfair, so the value, and situations now reside in the opposite direction.
Play this one on the OVER
How the public sees it:
Charlotte can't score and are off a game scoring less than 80 points
Boston is a defensive first team, with lack of a bigtime scorer themselves
That thinking has the public, who is "over happy" emptying the tank on the under in this one, with over 67% of all total bets taken on the under.
Situation disagrees:
Over the last 16 years NBA games that feature both teams off a road loss, and one of them scored less than 80, have gone 272-208 to the OVER topping the total 56.7% of close to 500 games.
When the public has had a 60% or higher opinion on the under in this situation, the numbers increase to 61.2% in the other direction. Public has driven the opener down from 191.5 to 188 now, so a fair line has become unfair, so the value, and situations now reside in the opposite direction.
Play this one on the OVER