i$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ 66.9% WINNER $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

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  • Aaron McCrevice
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-26-13
    • 669

    #1
    i$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ 66.9% WINNER $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
    Boston/Indiana UNDER 184.5

    ( 66.9% / 52.4% ) - 1 = 27.6% edge



    Danny G. is having puss drained and will be out for Indy


    KELLY BETTORS KEEP YOUR CHIN UP
  • Shipcity
    SBR Sharp
    • 10-20-09
    • 269

    #2
    danny granger being out isn't a good thing for the under....
    Comment
    • Aaron McCrevice
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 02-26-13
      • 669

      #3
      Originally posted by Shipcity
      danny granger being out isn't a good thing for the under....

      his absence tonite validates seaon numbers to date (minus a few games) that indicate this number is way too high..

      Danny G is still a warmbody scorer, puss & all....no???
      Comment
      • jds07v
        SBR MVP
        • 10-19-09
        • 1335

        #4
        He is a warm body scorer but is also a pretty good on the ball/perimeter defender
        Comment
        • Shipcity
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-20-09
          • 269

          #5
          At this point in time, no, not in my opinion. I think Orlando Johnson has been a much better option off the bench for them, especially from beyond the arc. I still like the under tho, not saying i don't, i was just jokingly saying i would rather granger play, given how bad he has shot the ball since his return.
          Comment
          • Shipcity
            SBR Sharp
            • 10-20-09
            • 269

            #6
            Originally posted by jds07v
            He is a warm body scorer but is also a pretty good on the ball/perimeter defender
            I think he was a good defender before he was asked to be the primary scorer. His defense isnt what it was his first few years in the league.
            Comment
            • stevenash
              Moderator
              • 01-17-11
              • 65596

              #7
              Can you shove any more dollar signs in your thread title?
              Comment
              • Aaron McCrevice
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 02-26-13
                • 669

                #8
                what you say makes good sense from a qualitative standpoint, but it doesn't resolve to a number

                my reply would be either:

                a) Indy's a top defensive team with or without Danny G

                b) they're playing Boston, and there ain't much to defend unless headband Pierce gets lucky

                c) the seasoned numbers already reflect Danny G's absence all year, so it's easy to come up with a number on this game


                I choose (c) because it's the only one that resolves to a cold hard number.
                Comment
                • Aaron McCrevice
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 02-26-13
                  • 669

                  #9
                  Originally posted by stevenash
                  Can you shove any more dollar signs in your thread title?

                  yes, why yes I can
                  Comment
                  • Aaron McCrevice
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 02-26-13
                    • 669

                    #10
                    wish I had a bonus play in case this one collapses
                    Comment
                    • Shipcity
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 10-20-09
                      • 269

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Aaron McCrevice
                      wish I had a bonus play in case this one collapses
                      Lakers, basically a must win for them
                      Comment
                      • nammertl
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-06-11
                        • 1204

                        #12
                        San Antonio, Indiana, Atlanta

                        I don't see these 3 teams losing. I think SA covers 1st half and Indy/Atlanta wins their games.

                        3 units on SA 1H and parlay Indy/Atl spreads together for a unit.
                        Comment
                        • stevenash
                          Moderator
                          • 01-17-11
                          • 65596

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Aaron McCrevice

                          ( 66.9% / 52.4% ) - 1 = 27.6% edge



                          Explain this to me?
                          Comment
                          • nammertl
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-06-11
                            • 1204

                            #14
                            oops...meant to create my own thread. oh well.
                            Comment
                            • Aaron McCrevice
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 02-26-13
                              • 669

                              #15
                              Originally posted by stevenash
                              Explain this to me?

                              I predict the total points goes under 184.5 approx. 66.9% of the time. At -110 odds that's a 27.6% edge.
                              Comment
                              • Aaron McCrevice
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 02-26-13
                                • 669

                                #16
                                Click image for larger version

Name:	049.jpg
Views:	1
Size:	33.1 KB
ID:	29118789




                                my ticket lacks the impressive girth/length that NittanyLionsFan displayed in the NHL forum


                                GL GENTS
                                Comment
                                • Aaron McCrevice
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 02-26-13
                                  • 669

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Shipcity
                                  Lakers, basically a must win for them

                                  got Lakers capped at -1 in New Orleans

                                  and that's before adjusting to how much worse they actually are ATS
                                  Comment
                                  • bjb7223
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-03-12
                                    • 10349

                                    #18
                                    Granger is done in indy they'll get rid of him in the summer
                                    Comment
                                    • heathbledger
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 11-30-12
                                      • 35

                                      #19
                                      I like this play as well. GL.
                                      Comment
                                      • bjb7223
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-03-12
                                        • 10349

                                        #20
                                        started fast Aaron, watch out
                                        Comment
                                        • Aaron McCrevice
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 02-26-13
                                          • 669

                                          #21


                                          Comment
                                          • Aaron McCrevice
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 02-26-13
                                            • 669

                                            #22
                                            Comment
                                            • Aaron McCrevice
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 02-26-13
                                              • 669

                                              #23
                                              Comment
                                              • Aaron McCrevice
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 02-26-13
                                                • 669

                                                #24
                                                Comment
                                                • Aaron McCrevice
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 02-26-13
                                                  • 669

                                                  #25
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Aaron McCrevice
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 02-26-13
                                                    • 669

                                                    #26
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Aaron McCrevice
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 02-26-13
                                                      • 669

                                                      #27
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Aaron McCrevice
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 02-26-13
                                                        • 669

                                                        #28
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Aaron McCrevice
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 02-26-13
                                                          • 669

                                                          #29
                                                          Comment
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