ATS 41-32
Totals 24-18
At then end did not have to travel, all good now, family issues already solved, now let´s take care of business here and break this mini slump:
After all star break, games have been played and decided mostly by common sense (the way supposed to be) now we need to take even more facts into consideration, let´s see today´s card:
Toronto at Cleveland +3.5: For me Toronto is the better team here, they play a nice 59.4% ATS after a loss, 60% in conference games, 1 thing to take into consideration is the fact that it´s the 1st time Toronto is fav on the road, Cleveland have been playing good basketball lately with a nice 58.8% ATS in conference games, and 50% on b2b, despite that I see Cleveland in a very difficult spot here, b2b, 4th in 5 1st at home after a 3 gm road trip and they come from a big win yesterday at Chicago, I feel they come flat here and Toronto wins by 8, my lean Toronto -3.5, like the totals here also fatigue factor usually leads to bad choosing to take pots for a shot, leaning UNder 199.
Kings at Orlando -1: Orlando coming from a much needed win, Kings suffered a heartbreaking loss, this should be a nice spot to lay the pts, though one fact concerns me here Orlando is 18.2% ATS as home fav, Leaning Orlando -1 and Under 207.5, under seems a pretty good bet taking into consideration Kings come from an OT, fatigue factor again.
GState at Knicks -8: Knicks have been playing poor lately, GState is not a force on the road to be afraid off, they play 43.5% ATS as road dog and 45.2% ATS on the road in gen, Knicks is coming well rested to this game they have 2 days off , where they play a nice 60% ATS, and 53.6% ATS at home, I see this game featuring many shots from beyond the arc, question is will they score enough of them, my lean Knicks -8.
NOrleans at OKC -14: DD game no play.
Dallas at Memphis -7.5: Dallas plays great ATS lately, on the other hand everyone is expecting Memphis to collapse but they keep playing solid basketball, I don´t feel like laying that many pts vs a good ATS covering team nor betting vs a solid basketball team, pass.
Bucks at Houston -8: Bucks is on b2b where they play an ugly 28.6% ATS, and 42.3% ATS after a win, only thing that makes me hesitate here is the fact that Houston plays an ugly 38.5% ATS after a loss, will think about it my lean Houston -8.
Detroit at Washington -6.5: Second time in the season Washington is fav for more than 5.5 pts they are 1-1 in that situation, they are a covering machine but must of their covers and wins have been while being a dog, on the other hand there´s absolutely nothing that wpuld make me think detroit could cover here even though they are 8-6 when being dog by 5.5 to 7.5 pts I don´t feel this game,pass.
Suns at Spurs -15.5: DD game no play, I could see good value here with the totals, Spurs for sure will score at will on Suns, what I have to think about is the fact Suns come from an OT game and are on b2b, my lean Over 197.
Atlanta at Utah -4.5: Even though Atlanta have been playing better after all star break I see them still as a fade or no play, this case they travel to one of the most difficult places to play as a visitor IMO, against a Utah team playing 60.7% at home, Atlanta is 3-7 being dog in lines between 4.5 to 6.5, On the other hand Utah is 6-4 in same lines being fav. My lean Utah -4.5, also see good value here with the totals, both teams allow less than 97, and the run a mid pace, my lean UNder 199.
Denver at Portland +2: I am not sure of this one Denver is a money making machine at home, POrtland is so inconsitent that don´t feel like betting on nor against them.
Pass.
Will be back later to post final plays.
GLTA
Totals 24-18
At then end did not have to travel, all good now, family issues already solved, now let´s take care of business here and break this mini slump:
After all star break, games have been played and decided mostly by common sense (the way supposed to be) now we need to take even more facts into consideration, let´s see today´s card:
Toronto at Cleveland +3.5: For me Toronto is the better team here, they play a nice 59.4% ATS after a loss, 60% in conference games, 1 thing to take into consideration is the fact that it´s the 1st time Toronto is fav on the road, Cleveland have been playing good basketball lately with a nice 58.8% ATS in conference games, and 50% on b2b, despite that I see Cleveland in a very difficult spot here, b2b, 4th in 5 1st at home after a 3 gm road trip and they come from a big win yesterday at Chicago, I feel they come flat here and Toronto wins by 8, my lean Toronto -3.5, like the totals here also fatigue factor usually leads to bad choosing to take pots for a shot, leaning UNder 199.
Kings at Orlando -1: Orlando coming from a much needed win, Kings suffered a heartbreaking loss, this should be a nice spot to lay the pts, though one fact concerns me here Orlando is 18.2% ATS as home fav, Leaning Orlando -1 and Under 207.5, under seems a pretty good bet taking into consideration Kings come from an OT, fatigue factor again.
GState at Knicks -8: Knicks have been playing poor lately, GState is not a force on the road to be afraid off, they play 43.5% ATS as road dog and 45.2% ATS on the road in gen, Knicks is coming well rested to this game they have 2 days off , where they play a nice 60% ATS, and 53.6% ATS at home, I see this game featuring many shots from beyond the arc, question is will they score enough of them, my lean Knicks -8.
NOrleans at OKC -14: DD game no play.
Dallas at Memphis -7.5: Dallas plays great ATS lately, on the other hand everyone is expecting Memphis to collapse but they keep playing solid basketball, I don´t feel like laying that many pts vs a good ATS covering team nor betting vs a solid basketball team, pass.
Bucks at Houston -8: Bucks is on b2b where they play an ugly 28.6% ATS, and 42.3% ATS after a win, only thing that makes me hesitate here is the fact that Houston plays an ugly 38.5% ATS after a loss, will think about it my lean Houston -8.
Detroit at Washington -6.5: Second time in the season Washington is fav for more than 5.5 pts they are 1-1 in that situation, they are a covering machine but must of their covers and wins have been while being a dog, on the other hand there´s absolutely nothing that wpuld make me think detroit could cover here even though they are 8-6 when being dog by 5.5 to 7.5 pts I don´t feel this game,pass.
Suns at Spurs -15.5: DD game no play, I could see good value here with the totals, Spurs for sure will score at will on Suns, what I have to think about is the fact Suns come from an OT game and are on b2b, my lean Over 197.
Atlanta at Utah -4.5: Even though Atlanta have been playing better after all star break I see them still as a fade or no play, this case they travel to one of the most difficult places to play as a visitor IMO, against a Utah team playing 60.7% at home, Atlanta is 3-7 being dog in lines between 4.5 to 6.5, On the other hand Utah is 6-4 in same lines being fav. My lean Utah -4.5, also see good value here with the totals, both teams allow less than 97, and the run a mid pace, my lean UNder 199.
Denver at Portland +2: I am not sure of this one Denver is a money making machine at home, POrtland is so inconsitent that don´t feel like betting on nor against them.
Pass.
Will be back later to post final plays.
GLTA
