Jazz -300

[No coincidences]

You know, if we were investing in the market or at a bank and getting a $1 return on every $3, we'd take it in a heartbeat.

I don't ever really lay chalk like this, but I'm tempted by this number. A 30 unit bet ($600 for me) yields 10 units. Obviously there is a risk -- especially given it's the NBA -- but this is mighty temping....

[hawley]

I like Utah but you know better than to lay chalk like this in the NBA pal.

You see what happened to the Jazz to open the third quarter the other night in LA?

[No coincidences]

I like Utah but you know better than to lay chalk like this in the NBA pal.

You see what happened to the Jazz to open the third quarter the other night in LA?

Yeah, I know. Celtics are dogshit though, and they're in the middle of a brutal road trip.

[BigDofBA]

Don't do it.

The Jazz could easily lose this game.

[No coincidences]

Don't do it.

The Jazz could easily lose this game.

Other than just saying "it's the NBA" (which is enough of an answer), why? How?

[dalogester]

I did the same. 6 units though

[Pellpell4]

No

Don't do it.

The Jazz could easily lose this game.

I agree with this, Jazz will probably win, but there are much better games to bet on. Take Blackhawks for instance...they're 15-0 right now and they're only -180 at home, if you're really that eager to risk your money on something I'd say do it on something like that. Celtics are an unpredictable team and due for a win.

[BigDofBA]

Other than just saying "it's the NBA" (which is enough of an answer), why? How?

The Jazz aren't a great team. They're tough at home but on the other side Boston is a desperate team right now.

I realize that it's a bad spot for the Celtics but I watched Utah stink it up at home against Bulls team that can't score and then I saw them lose to the Kings.

Most likely they win, but I wouldn't pay -300 here with the Celtics coming off consecutive losses.

[underal]

You know, if we were investing in the market or at a bank and getting a $1 return on every $3, we'd take it in a heartbeat.

I don't ever really lay chalk like this, but I'm tempted by this number. A 30 unit bet ($600 for me) yields 10 units. Obviously there is a risk -- especially given it's the NBA -- but this is mighty temping....

The market analogy is not the way to look at it. -300 means 75% chance of the jazz winning. Do you really think it is higher than that? Personally I give them at most 70% chance= no bet here for me

[ShogunRua]

No guts, no glory. That is a hefty price for an NBA game though..

[retire/early]

I am a firm believer that the jazz win this game easily tonight...celts are on a bad trip and are not going to beat a jazz team at HOME....Lay the wood and laugh all the way to the bank....BOL

[JOHON8]

The fact that Utah is not a solid team, puts value on the Celtics ML IMO. Boston needs to make shots and keep up with Utah, then have one of it's bigs finish the game.

[Sport_Fish]

Eventhough its a good bet, I'd still find something to parlay it with - Denver ML would be best.

Bad spot for both old teams, can't see either winning.

[No coincidences]

-340 now.

[Vinnie Paz]

I am a firm believer that the jazz win this game easily tonight...celts are on a bad trip and are not going to beat a jazz team at HOME....Lay the wood and laugh all the way to the bank....BOL

gotta agree with this. Nc, could even parlay it with Denver ml and put way less on it.

Regardless I think jazz ml cashes with ease.

[Vinnie Paz]

Jazz opened 6.5 @ the Greek, now theyre 7.5 but Celtics are -115. Coin, whats this mean?

[pdaddy257]

Denver M-line is a better bet, Lakers coming off a B2B and they will be playing at high altitude against a denver team which rarely loses at home. However imo i see the jazz blowing out the celtics. Celtics have no front court besides garnett & wilcox. The teams jazz lose to are teams that have better rebounding/front court ie (bulls = noah & boozer, Kings = Thompson & Cousins).

Millsap/Jefferson/Favours/Kanter > Garnett/Wilcox

[t-wizzle]

You would never make that bet.

[No coincidences]

You would never make that bet.

Maybe not 30 units, but I'd make a 10-unit bet on it.

Anyway, I procrastinated and missed the -300.

[dww123]

The Jazz aren't a great team. They're tough at home but on the other side Boston is a desperate team right now.

I realize that it's a bad spot for the Celtics but I watched Utah stink it up at home against Bulls team that can't score and then I saw them lose to the Kings.

Most likely they win, but I wouldn't pay -300 here with the Celtics coming off consecutive losses.

The Celtics are not coming off consecutive losses.

[t-wizzle]

Maybe not 30 units, but I'd make a 10-unit bet on it.

Anyway, I procrastinated and missed the -300.

Yea but if you were really willing to lay the -300 would the extra 40 cents matter?

[jaymac82980]

You're gonna feel like a real ass when the celtics win straight up. But I'm sure you realize that.

[Vinnie Paz]

Wizzle I think it's more the principal of the matter, some games only hold value up to a certain number/price, after that there's kinda no point. Although, if me I would've jumped on the -300 long before I bothered to make this thread no way im missing out on a huge play because I was going back and forth on sbr.

[JohnnyBrooklyn]

The fact that Utah is not a solid team, puts value on the Celtics ML IMO. Boston needs to make shots and keep up with Utah, then have one of it's bigs finish the game.

STFU UTAH -8 IS A FRIKIN

[t-wizzle]

Wizzle I think it's more the principal of the matter, some games only hold value up to a certain number/price, after that there's kinda no point. Although, if me I would've jumped on the -300 long before I bothered to make this thread no way im missing out on a huge play because I was going back and forth on sbr.

I cant ever see how laying major juice with the jazz would be smart. They suck.

[lunchbawks]

Add Denver ML in a parlay. no need to get ass rammed by -300 landers style

[aireent777]

Yeah, I know. Celtics are dogshit though, and they're in the middle of a brutal road trip.

I think they're at the end of it.

[JOHON8]

Millsapp rolled his ankle, but he's back in the game. ML is hovering around -200 despite Jazz being down. I think the books are taking into consideration the fatigue very well.

[BigDofBA]

I cant ever see how laying major juice with the jazz would be smart. They suck.

This.

You're wagering 600 to win 200 and you would be sweating it right now because your team was losing straight up in the third quarter. I would never lay that kind of juice and if I did, it would be a the Heat or Spurs, not a Utah team that recently lost at home to Chicago and to the Kings.

Boston +7 was a better bet than Utah ML.

[t-wizzle]

This.

You're wagering 600 to win 200 and you would be sweating it right now because your team was losing straight up in the third quarter. I would never lay that kind of juice and if I did, it would be a the Heat or Spurs, not a Utah team that recently lost at home to Chicago and to the Kings.

Boston +7 was a better bet than Utah ML.

I could see laying major juice on a bet like Heat last year in Game 7 of the ECF because there was no way they weren't winning that game but besides that I can't imagine ever taking a big juicy fave on the ml in the nba let alone the utah fukking jazz.

[JOHON8]

BigD and wizzle are right, some people on this forum are so obsessed with the numbers they forget what teams they are talking about.

[easyliving]

Looks like their gonna lose. You never know which team is gonna show up in the NBA

[hawley]

Jazz +240 now.

They will come home strong and the Celtics will fade. Wouldn't surprise me to see the Jazz win but after that third quarter I can't touch it.

[jaymac82980]

You're gonna feel like a real ass when the celtics win straight up. But I'm sure you realize that.

Maybe this is one of those jinx threads? Seeing as "no coincidences" is just another one of those goofs that posts a sheet ton of threads. I sure hope so. Otherwise, he's just another dink like lakerboy whose time has passed. I guess we'll see? But a real sharp would've seen the value on the celtics......hmmmm

[Sport_Fish]

oh so that's why we're not supposed to lay -300 juice in this league.

Almost forgot but Utah has reminded me.