First glance Detroit looks good opening at 4.5. Look at the Wizards last few games though.
12/06/08 @CHI L 110-117 W 8.5
12/05/08 LAL L 104-106 W 12
12/03/08 POR L 92-98 W 6.5
12/02/08 @NJ W 108-88 W 6.5
Played the Lakers and the Blazers close at home. Covered the last 4 ATS.
Looking at the Pistons last 4, they've dropped 3 out of the last 4 SU and ATS. Double digit losses to the Knicks and the Blazers.
12/07/08 @NY L 92-104 L -6.5
12/05/08 PHI L 91-96 L -8
12/02/08 @SA W 89-77 W 5.5
11/30/08 POR L 85-96 L -4
Looking at the Blazers games between these two. Detroit was out rebounded 29-35, while Washington was out rebounded only 34-38. The Wizards kept the game close while Detroit lost by DD.
The Wizards 2 days later out rebounded the Lakers by a margin of 47-38, losing by 2pts.
Looking at the last 5 games averaged
Offensive
Points 3pt% Reb
Det 92.8 31.3 36.2
Wash 102.4 41.7 40.2
On defense you probably have to give the edge to Detroit. Looking at the Match-ups Detriot has the edge. Caron Butler is playing good this year for the Wizards. They might be 3-15 and only 2-8 at home but I can really see the Wizards covering here.
I will wait as long as I can to bet this game. Hoping to get +7 by tip-off. If anybody has any thoughts or think I'm completely wrong, please let me know before I blow money on this game. If I can't get at least +6.5 with the Wizards at home I might pass.
GL to all
12/06/08 @CHI L 110-117 W 8.5
12/05/08 LAL L 104-106 W 12
12/03/08 POR L 92-98 W 6.5
12/02/08 @NJ W 108-88 W 6.5
Played the Lakers and the Blazers close at home. Covered the last 4 ATS.
Looking at the Pistons last 4, they've dropped 3 out of the last 4 SU and ATS. Double digit losses to the Knicks and the Blazers.
12/07/08 @NY L 92-104 L -6.5
12/05/08 PHI L 91-96 L -8
12/02/08 @SA W 89-77 W 5.5
11/30/08 POR L 85-96 L -4
Looking at the Blazers games between these two. Detroit was out rebounded 29-35, while Washington was out rebounded only 34-38. The Wizards kept the game close while Detroit lost by DD.
The Wizards 2 days later out rebounded the Lakers by a margin of 47-38, losing by 2pts.
Looking at the last 5 games averaged
Offensive
Points 3pt% Reb
Det 92.8 31.3 36.2
Wash 102.4 41.7 40.2
On defense you probably have to give the edge to Detroit. Looking at the Match-ups Detriot has the edge. Caron Butler is playing good this year for the Wizards. They might be 3-15 and only 2-8 at home but I can really see the Wizards covering here.
I will wait as long as I can to bet this game. Hoping to get +7 by tip-off. If anybody has any thoughts or think I'm completely wrong, please let me know before I blow money on this game. If I can't get at least +6.5 with the Wizards at home I might pass.
GL to all