over/under system, here goes...

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  • gojetsgomoxies
    SBR MVP
    • 09-04-12
    • 4222

    #1
    over/under system, here goes...
    i'm going to start tracking an O/U system. pretty obvious stuff but basically when over types play same and unders play unders. and one more moderate proprietary step beyond that.

    i'm going to put a power number beside the O and U but that's just so i can see how the model differentiates between good picks and great picks. the more negative or positive the number the better.

    for tonight (monday)

    noh/det O +6.7

    brk/ind U -4

    bos/cha O +6.7

    wash/mil U -13.5 (big one)

    minn/clev O +6.2 (need to check my chicken scratch)

    this went 2-2 non-documented on sunday. small losses and huge wins (sac/hou, okc/pho..... sac was big over team. pho was big under)
  • gojetsgomoxies
    SBR MVP
    • 09-04-12
    • 4222

    #2
    edit:minn/clev still over but +4.6

    2 units on all of them except 3 units on wash/mil
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    • gojetsgomoxies
      SBR MVP
      • 09-04-12
      • 4222

      #3
      2-3. should start an "under" system
      Comment
      • gojetsgomoxies
        SBR MVP
        • 09-04-12
        • 4222

        #4
        bump. will update in a second
        Comment
        • gojetsgomoxies
          SBR MVP
          • 09-04-12
          • 4222

          #5
          missed deadline for picks and don't really have a rigid way of doing this system yet.

          will say that portland/miami looked like a good OVER (WIN) and sac/memphis as good UNDER (LOSS)

          plays don't count but would have been 1-1.... no other games looked like strong OVER or UNDER
          Comment
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