one more system. (significant favourites/underdogs)

[gojetsgomoxies]

i started a 3 system thread (good/bad home/road & fave/underdogs, hot/cold and they are doing well so far - 3 or 4 days LOL)

anyway, didn't want to append this system to that thread.

gonna pick/fade teams that are good/bad as heavy favourites/underdogs. more than 5 point fave/underdogs. technically greater/equal.


good heavy udogs: knicks, wizards, noh.... washington and new orleans are 71% and 64% on heavy volume. surprisingly only two other teams above 50% (and on light volume)


poor significant udogs: clips (one game), nets, jazz, nuggets, celts, suns, bucks, kings, lakers, twolves, hawks. note how many poor significant udogs there are.

good significant faves: cleveland, philly phoenix, noh, hou, okc, nyk, lac, utah, sas, denver... 4 of those teams are doing it on significant volume. 3 on moderate volume....... note all 3 western divisions are 57-58% as a whole.

poor significant faves: orlando, chicago, portland, atlanta, toronto, minnesota.... only chicago/atlanta have moderate volume.

so for tonight: play denver, philly... don't see any fades. easy to miss a team though.

gonna look also at 10+ fave/udogs but that will cut games significantly.

[gojetsgomoxies]

i looked at 10+ fave/udog. was interesting but not sure it throws up enough games for analysis.

on 10+ underdogs, there wasn't one team that was near 50%. all well/above below (now i see warriors are 1-1)... and who was SAS 10+ underdogs to? had to be OKC i'd guess. i just remembered them sitting their key guys in miami.

0n 10+ favourites, not that noteworthy except central division is 0-6...

looks like between 5 and 10 point favourites could be very interesting.

[gojetsgomoxies]

denver and philly = both WINS 2-0

and for today

houston -5.5. @ sac. houston good significant favourite, sacramento bad sig UD. so 3 units on houston

LAL @ miami -9 no plays.

okc -9.5 @ pho.... okc good sig fave. pho bad sig ud... so 3 units on okc...

interesting as mentioned that there are only 3 good significant dogs. nyk who are seldom big dogs. and wash and noh who are great significant dogs and with volume. cutoff is 5 points and toronto is only 4.5 point faves.

[gojetsgomoxies]

okc a winner. 3-0

houston looking like a loser but you never know

[gojetsgomoxies]

ok, houston was a loser. so 3-1

for tonight monday,

cleveland good big favourite.... 2 units

brooklyn and minnesota poor big underdogs. so 2 units each on cleveland and indiana but let's combine the two cleveland plays into 3 units total.

[gojetsgomoxies]

0-2 minus 5 units tonight..... 3-3 so far

[gojetsgomoxies]

bump. will update in a second

[gojetsgomoxies]

good over 60% as 5+ faves: okc 2 units (already LOST)

poor favourites: none

good Udogs (very few): none

bad udogs: pho, utah... 2 units each on LAL, OKC LOSS

so 0-2 and waiting on pho/LAL.... OKC must have killed alot of systems tonight.

[gojetsgomoxies]

missed deadline for today's picks but they are from killersports.com sql engine anyway,

good large faves: LAC pending, NYK LOSS, SAS LOSS

poor large faves: milwaukee (WIN fading)

good large UD: none

poor large UD: none

so 1-2 with LAC pending