Picks from Mexico feb-5-2013 :)

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  • Artieaa
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-18-12
    • 953

    #1
    Picks from Mexico feb-5-2013 :)
    ATS record 31-22
    Totals 15-9


    Let´s take a look at today´s card:

    Atlanta at Indiana -6: Hawks is a fade team or no play for me, they suck ATS, they are 0-9 ATS after 2day off, 39.3% in conference games, on the other hand Indiana is on b2b, actually they will play tomorrow again that is a weird b2b2b, fact they are playing tonight and then traveling fro tomorrow´s game makes me hesitate here, My lean Indiana -6. On the other hand Indiana is averaging 103.6 pts per game in last 3 Atlanta is allowing 97.3 in last 3 on the road, lean Over 183.

    Lakers at Nets -4: I thought I would never say this at this point in the season, I like Lakers here , let me explain why: Nets is coming from a 3 day off, most of the teams seems to struggle with that many days off, even though Lakers suck ATS on the road being 2nd last away with 31.8% and poor 2-8 ATS as road dog, I like the fact Howard and Metta are not playing, that should translate in more %efficiency on offense they have displayed when Howard is not playing. My lean Lakers+4.

    GState at Houston -3: Both teams are coming fro 2 days off, Gstate is riding a 4 game winning streak and playing 1st game of 4 away from home comodities, Houston is 2nd in the league ATS 65% as home fav, and plays a great 70% ATS after 2 days off. My lean Houston -3.

    Phoenix at Memphis -8.5: Here is another team with 3days off Memphis could be affected by this long inactivity, on the other hand Suns are playing best in the league ATS after 2 day off 83.3% (5-1), what concerns me here i sthe fact that besides that nice record from Suns ATS after 2 days off Memphis own the edge in everything else here, they are playing a great defense last 3 games at home allowing 81.3 ots per game, while Suns is allowing 110.3 last 3 away from home. Due to those 3 days off from Memphis I prefer to walk away.

    Bucks at Denver -7: Denver is riding a 6 games winning streak, this might be the spot where to fade them succesfully, they had 3days off, they face 3rd best team ATS away from home 60.9%, Bucks play a nice 62.5% ATS s road dog, what concerns me here is don´t fell really good betting again the hottest team in the league and 2nd best at home ATS. Pass.

    Will be back later to post final plays

    GLTA
  • altieriflyers
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-23-12
    • 777

    #2
    What are the plays today Artieaa?
    Comment
    • Artieaa
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 12-18-12
      • 953

      #3
      Ok here is the deal after daly drill of running numbers and watching lines and blah, blah, here are final thoughts:

      I don´t feel comfortable picking Indiana in this spot, though I can not back Atlanta.
      Liked Houston initially then again not felling good fading a nice team ATS in GState.
      Lakers ???? nah this team could be up to the SU win tonight but honestly who feels right betting them? not me.
      So My only play tonight will be Atlanta/Indiana Over 183 I see this game being close to 190.

      GLTA !!!!
      Comment
      • CakeMan
        SBR High Roller
        • 08-14-10
        • 173

        #4
        Atl
        La
        Hous

        Lean bucks
        Comment
        • Artieaa
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 12-18-12
          • 953

          #5
          Originally posted by CakeMan
          Atl
          La
          Hous

          Lean bucks
          GL mate, I decided to stay away, too close to call almost everygame,for today´s games teams I liked are in quite difficult spots.
          Comment
          • Artieaa
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 12-18-12
            • 953

            #6
            By the way regarding yesterday´s thread DD stands for "double digit" not bra seize hahahaha good one!!!!!
            Comment
            • nappa
              SBR Hustler
              • 01-02-13
              • 56

              #7
              I'm taking Indiana -5 and tailing. GL bro
              Comment
              • Artieaa
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 12-18-12
                • 953

                #8
                LMFAO

                Yesterday 139 total pts Orlando/76ers
                Today 139 pts halftime GState/Houston

                Comment
                • Artieaa
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 12-18-12
                  • 953

                  #9
                  1-0 for the night

                  ATS 31-22
                  Totals 16-9


                  My leans look great, should have pulled the trigger on Idiana ATS, it´s very simple Atlanta sucks!!!!

                  Will start to work on tomorrow´s card

                  GLTA

                  Have a good one!!!!!
                  Comment
                  • killersweet
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-02-08
                    • 1483

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Artieaa
                    1-0 for the night

                    ATS 31-22
                    Totals 16-9


                    My leans look great, should have pulled the trigger on Idiana ATS, it´s very simple Atlanta sucks!!!!

                    Will start to work on tomorrow´s card

                    GLTA

                    Have a good one!!!!!
                    Good call on the over. Congrats
                    Comment
                    • figue
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-23-10
                      • 2524

                      #11
                      nice call paisano
                      Comment
                      • Artieaa
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-18-12
                        • 953

                        #12
                        Originally posted by killersweet
                        Good call on the over. Congrats
                        Thanks mate!!!!
                        Comment
                        • Artieaa
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 12-18-12
                          • 953

                          #13
                          Originally posted by figue
                          nice call paisano
                          Gracias amigo!!!!
                          Comment
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