Lines Are Getting Sharp...Lets Be Careful

[nbafanatic2012]

Hey guys it seems like as the season goes on and teams contending for the playoff race the Lines seem to be getting very sharp. The point of this thread will be to locate and post lines that stick out on the board. It may not happen everyday but there will be a few games a week that will stand out where vegas wants us to bet on that team. For example I felt tonight was the Okc and Memphis game where they were begging us to take Memphis, I understand the big trade went down but still doesnt justify why that line was where it was. So people if something sticks out where you feel something is up dont hesitate to post your opinion. I will do my best job to post those lines. Thanks people and lets get that $$$

[No coincidences]

Are you kidding me? The public's like 13-2 the last two days.

[nbafanatic2012]

Are you kidding me? The public's like 13-2 the last two days.

Yes and the reason for that is the better teams are completely dominating as it is crunch time for the next half of the season

[BigDofBA]

LMAO at this thread. You have got to be kidding me.

Miami was only -2 and won by 20 something last night. Warriors were -1.5 and covered easily Monday. I could go on and on. I think almost every favorite has covered easily the last few days.

If anything, these lines have been a square's paradise.

[No coincidences]

LMAO at this thread. You have got to be kidding me.

Miami was only -2 and won by 20 something last night. Warriors were -1.5 and covered easily Monday. I could go on and on. I think almost every favorite has covered easily the last few days.

If anything, these lines have been a square's paradise.

Exactly. Nothing "sharp" about them. It's not like they've even been close, other than the Lakers' meltdown last night.

The totals have been even worse.

[t-wizzle]

Seems to me that public plays are cashing in the lead-in to the super bowl.

[nbafanatic2012]

lol....what did you expect that line to be .....Miami was only ahead by a hand full of games on brooklyn and brooklyn was home, common lets get our heads together here......That is as sharp a line will get

[nbafanatic2012]

LMAO at this thread. You have got to be kidding me.

Miami was only -2 and won by 20 something last night. Warriors were -1.5 and covered easily Monday. I could go on and on. I think almost every favorite has covered easily the last few days.

If anything, these lines have been a square's paradise.

lol....what did you expect that line to be .....Miami was only ahead by a hand full of games on brooklyn and brooklyn was home, common lets get our heads together here......That is as sharp a line will get

[No coincidences]

lol....what did you expect that line to be .....Miami was only ahead by a hand full of games on brooklyn and brooklyn was home, common lets get our heads together here......That is as sharp a line will get

Yep -- it's not like Miami had blown out Brooklyn twice already this season.

Oh wait, they had.

+2 made a ton of sense.

[TwoWays]

That's why I played GS -2.5, and then Mavs +3.5

[nbafanatic2012]

Yep -- it's not like Miami had blown out Brooklyn twice already this season.

Oh wait, they had.

+2 made a ton of sense.

Since when did it matter how much you got beat by last time....

[nbafanatic2012]

That's why I played GS -2.5, and then Mavs +3.5

good one

[nbafanatic2012]

The rockets beat the jazz by fifty so the next game the line will be rockets -40 lollll

[No coincidences]

Since when did it matter how much you got beat by last time....

You're right: no way oddsmakers would take H2H from earlier in the season into account when setting a line.

How can you possibly justify a +2 line in that game? They were +10 at Miami and lost by 30, then +8 the second time around and lost by 13.

[No coincidences]

The rockets beat the jazz by fifty so the next game the line will be rockets -40 lollll

I never said it should've been Heat -13.

5.5 or so made sense to me.

[nbafanatic2012]

I never said it should've been Heat -13.

5.5 or so made sense to me.

BINGO...that is the correct number but you deduct 3 for being on the road

[No coincidences]

BINGO...that is the correct number but you deduct 3 for being on the road

LOL -- what?

[nbafanatic2012]

LOL -- what?

what dont you understand.....Line was suppose to be heat -5.5 but since they were on the road you deduct 3 from that total and add 3 if theyre home

[No coincidences]

what dont you understand.....Line was suppose to be heat -5.5 but since they were on the road you deduct 3 from that total and add 3 if theyre home

Because home/road isn't worth 3 points, chief. It's more like 6, which is why they went from +8 at Miami to +2 at home.

What I'm saying is why weren't the previous outcomes taken into consideration when that line was released? Had Brooklyn been +8 in Miami and lost by 6-10, the +2 would make sense. Given they were blown out once and lost by 13 the second time, the line should've been around +5.

[nbafanatic2012]

Because home/road isn't worth 3 points, chief. It's more like 6, which is why they went from +8 at Miami to +2 at home.

What I'm saying is why weren't the previous outcomes taken into consideration when that line was released? Had Brooklyn been +8 in Miami and lost by 6-10, the +2 would make sense. Given they were blown out once and lost by 13 the second time, the line should've been around +5.

Whooooaa 6...How do you sound right now.... let me give you an example of how they create a line

Ex
Miami vs Indiana Line is Miami -2.5

Miami record percentage (0.690)
Indiana record percentage (0.587) subrtact the two

Difference 0.103 divided by 20 = rounded num 5


This line should be Miami -5 now take into factor they are on the road so you will deduct 3 points and leaves us with miami -2
So making that line very sharp


Give it a try with a couple other games and see what you get

[BigDofBA]

Whooooaa 6...How do you sound right now.... let me give you an example of how they create a line

Ex
Miami vs Indiana Line is Miami -2.5

Miami record percentage (0.690)
Indiana record percentage (0.587) subrtact the two

Difference 0.103 divided by 20 = rounded num 5


This line should be Miami -5 now take into factor they are on the road so you will deduct 3 points and leaves us with miami -2
So making that line very sharp


Give it a try with a couple other games and see what you get

Lol. This thread is funny.

[face]

just don't bet any scrub teams against denver at home, that's all i know. and don;t bet against pacers at home.