POD Denver -13 vs Sac

[RabidGolfer]

Ladies and Gents,

I know it's considered poor money management, but I'm putting 77% of my bankroll (which is only triple digits) on this game. Not claiming its a , but Denver should almost certainly blow this out by 20+ points. Here's my reasoning from my picks thread,

24-18-2

1. Denver has been averaging 109 pts in their last 10 games, and Sac has been allowing 108 points. Denver is one of the strongest home teams right now, and Sac can't seem to win a game if their lives (or home city) depended on it.

2. Sacramento played hard last night against OKC in Cali and lost by 10. This is a back to back game for them, and they had to travel today. The bus ride from the airport to the Denver arena is long and, and they're going to arrive tired.

3. The last time Denver played Sac, it was in Sacramento and Denver won by 25 points. Denver has improved since then, and Sac hasn't.

I welcome your thoughts, reproofs, and encouragements and brilliance. Good luck!

[DallasMaverick41]

Denver will defineatly win and dominate but I just think 13 points is too much.

[RabidGolfer]

Denver will defineatly win and dominate but I just think 13 points is too much.

Maybe. I remember Denver beating Golden State at home by 11 points, and hearing how they have one of the biggest home advantages. It has to do with the elevation, distance from the airport to the arena, etc. With Sac travelling today after losing to OKC late last night, I can't see how they'll be at all rested.

[GoeGurt]

im follwing u man the spread is huge for a reason

[RabidGolfer]

im follwing u man the spread is huge for a reason

Let's do it man!

[baldur]

Denver will defineatly win and dominate but I just think 13 points is too much.

13 points are less enough for domination.

[RabidGolfer]

Yeah, I'm not sure I would call it "dominating" if they didn't win by at least 20. I think it will be a 20 point + game. Denver fans get free tacos if they score more than 110 pts, so you know they'll at least hit that. hahaha! handicapping at it's best.

[mikmik]

Denver should cover with ease. No way Kings will be able to keep up. Tough game last night and Altitude going to definetely play a factor.

[CakeMan]

My local book had okc at -11 last night. And I had a feeling but I took okc anyhow. Woke up to see them not cover by 1. 13 will probably be fourteen at my local. Book and I could never take Sacramento ... But you never know ... Stay waway to be sure. There are easier pick out there. 70%of your bankroll is retarded .. Unless you are talking your last Ben franklin

[RabidGolfer]

My local book had okc at -11 last night. And I had a feeling but I took okc anyhow. Woke up to see them not cover by 1. 13 will probably be fourteen at my local. Book and I could never take Sacramento ... But you never know ... Stay waway to be sure. There are easier pick out there. 70%of your bankroll is retarded .. Unless you are talking your last Ben franklin

I had OKC -9 last night at bovada, so I got a cover. -11 is a pretty bad line. I admit that -13 is a lot, and I also admit that 70% + of my bankroll isn't wise, but I'm 95% sure Denver covers. This is as close to all in as I get.

[riskyProps]

Wow that is bad money management. But yeah, Denver seems to own the Kings.

Only Miami has been able to beat Denver at home on their 2nd game of a back to back this season.

[RabidGolfer]

Wow that is bad money management. But yeah, Denver seems to own the Kings.

Only Miami has been able to beat Denver at home on their 2nd game of a back to back this season.

It's all in good fun. Basically 100% of the profit I've made this month. If I win, I'll be stoked. If I lose, I'm back at square one with my starting deposit. Lets hope not.

[DallasMaverick41]

Sorry, but not why under 212?
If you think the Nuggets will beat Sac by thirteen, isn't going under 212 a smarter bet? It seems to high as it is and Sac is tired after their game with OKC. Besides, the stadium in Denver has it's advantages being at a higher altitude making players fatigued faster.

[GoeGurt]

I'm like denver i just personally think the bobcats r good pick tonight
no coach
evryones is injured shved, love, roy, lee, budinger, and pekovic.

putting all me easter eggs n that bobcats basket

[RabidGolfer]

Sorry, but not why under 212?
If you think the Nuggets will beat Sac by thirteen, isn't going under 212 a smarter bet? It seems to high as it is and Sac is tired after their game with OKC. Besides, the stadium in Denver has it's advantages being at a higher altitude making players fatigued faster.

Personally, I don't really like betting on totals. Their last game against each other was 122 to 97. Even if Sac scores in the low 90's tonight (they put up 95 last night) it goes over. I think Denver can put up another high score against them if they want to. They're rested, and they want free tacos too.

[nocturnal012]

I think you should think again about putting 77% of you bankroll on denver. I agree that denver should blow them out, but it's still the nba so anything could happen. -13 is a lot to give and if denver is off to a large lead after 3q they could easily let go off the pedal and let sac backdoor cover.

[RabidGolfer]

I think you should think again about putting 77% of you bankroll on denver. I agree that denver should blow them out, but it's still the nba so anything could happen. -13 is a lot to give and if denver is off to a large lead after 3q they could easily let go off the pedal and let sac backdoor cover.

Thanks, but it's a done deal. Lets hope they don't back door cover.

[RabidGolfer]

Already covered in the first. Lets hope they don't blow the lead.

[DallasMaverick41]

NBA is so fast paced that only the fourth quarter really matters. So far though, Denver is planning a blowout.

[RabidGolfer]

How many times have you been 95% sure, turned out to be 100% right, and kicked yourself afterward for not putting more money on it? This is one time I will have no regrets.

[RabidGolfer]

I'm like denver i just personally think the bobcats r good pick tonight
no coach
evryones is injured shved, love, roy, lee, budinger, and pekovic.

putting all me easter eggs n that bobcats basket

Congrats on the bobcats game bro!

[Vinnie Paz]

Taking the 2nd half under 107 to go along with the -13, nuggets already up by like 25, starters hopefully won't even play the 4th

[Spoon19xx]

Wow this play is looking awesome right now 49-71 so far

[RabidGolfer]

Wow this play is looking awesome right now 49-71 so far

Yeah dude, I couldn't pass up going big on this one. I'm all too familiar with how much Sacramento sucks.

[samrock67]

Can you post your pick(s) every time you are 95% sure of something? I made the mistake of not tailing...and yes, I'm kicking myself for it.

[DallasMaverick41]

Definitely the play and smartest bet of the day.
Good job on this one, Rabid.
I'm one of those who made the mistake of going against my gut and not trailing you.
Please hit me up next time you bet big

[RabidGolfer]

Definitely the play and smartest bet of the day.
Good job on this one, Rabid.
I'm one of those who made the mistake of going against my gut and not trailing you.
Please hit me up next time you bet big

Thanks man. I admit it's still poor money management so I'm trying not to make a habit of it. I don't want to get cleaned out and take other people with me. This one looks like it's going our way though.

[DallasMaverick41]

This one looks like it's going our way though.

I wish I could share this one with you, Rabid, but I already bet on some games and didn't bet on Denver as I should have.
I hope to celebrate alongside you next time.

[RabidGolfer]

Sorry, but not why under 212?
If you think the Nuggets will beat Sac by thirteen, isn't going under 212 a smarter bet? It seems to high as it is and Sac is tired after their game with OKC. Besides, the stadium in Denver has it's advantages being at a higher altitude making players fatigued faster.

Did you end up taking the under at 212? It's getting a bit too close for comfort. I hope they slow things down for you.

[RabidGolfer]

I wish I could share this one with you, Rabid, but I already bet on some games and didn't bet on Denver as I should have.
I hope to celebrate alongside you next time.

Thanks. You're right to go with your own picks though. I would never bet big just on someone else's analysis.

[DallasMaverick41]

Thanks. You're right to go with your own picks though. I would never bet big just on someone else's analysis.

No, I didn't bet on the Denver/Sac game at all I lost two bets today: I bet on GSW and Knicks and both lost and so to make up for the lost money and to make a small profit I bet big on Portland -1 tonight and it's looking like it's going in my favor, all fingers crossed.

Hopefully we can talk more tomorrow and exchange picks and some laughs.

[Spoon19xx]

I been betting nhl to increase my bankroll for the crazy nba but congratulations on this bet

[RabidGolfer]

No, I didn't bet on the Denver/Sac game at all I lost two bets today: I bet on GSW and Knicks and both lost and so to make up for the lost money and to make a small profit I bet big on Portland -1 tonight and it's looking like it's going in my favor, all fingers crossed.

Hopefully we can talk more tomorrow and exchange picks and some laughs.

Looks like Portland was a good call. Nice

[RabidGolfer]

I been betting nhl to increase my bankroll for the crazy nba but congratulations on this bet

Yeah, I put a little money on the San Jose Sharks -1.5 both Thursday and today for +180, and they covered both games. First time I've bet hockey, but I think I like it.

[RabidGolfer]

No, I didn't bet on the Denver/Sac game at all I lost two bets today: I bet on GSW and Knicks and both lost and so to make up for the lost money and to make a small profit I bet big on Portland -1 tonight and it's looking like it's going in my favor, all fingers crossed.

Hopefully we can talk more tomorrow and exchange picks and some laughs.

Solid push. Live to fight another day!