ATS record 24-15
Totals 10-3
Let´s take a look at today´s big card:
Wolves at Wizards -6: The best team ATS in genaral, 1st at home (55.6%) 1st in non conference games 78.6% Wizards receiving the Wolves on paper should be a no brainer laying the points, though what concerns me is the fact tha Wizards are coming home for the 1st time after a great road trip, they are riding a winning streak ATS of 8 games, despite all their recent succes I see this game really too close to call, I see more value in other games of the card, I´ll pass.
Boston at Atlanta -5: Being honest this game could go either way with 2 of the mnost erratic teams to cap IMO, Boston is dead last ATS on the road, and Atlanta well they are just 36.8% ATS at home, Will walk away from this.
Detroit at Miami: Don´t play DD games.
Bucks at Cleveland +3.5: Here I see a lot of value in both line and total let´s see:
Bucks is number 1 ATS (69.2%) in Conference games, Cleveland is 2nd last in Division games ATS(20%) if the CAvs will not use ther new acquisitions that makes this game more interesting, on the other both teams don´t score more than 96 pts, even Bucks like to run a faster pace I see this game around 191 pts. My leans here Bucks -3.5 and Under 198.
Brooklyn at Memphis -4.5: I still doný buy it from the Grizzlies, I will pass.
Houston at N.Orleans -2.5: Houston is riding a 9 games losing streak ATS and they have looked pathetic, they are last in coonference games ATS (30.4%) while N.Orleans is 1st in Division games ATS with a whooping 88.9% also Hornets are 3rd ATS (64%) in conference games. I see a good value here in the total, NOrleans run a slow pace and for sure they will slow down the game, with Houston struggling to score constantly my leans here are Hornets -2.5 and Under 200.5.
S.Antonio at Dallas +1.5: Everyone is claiming here that Dallas is the play cause last performances and revenge factor, injuries and players to miss the game, etc, I would suggest them to think it twice before putting some money on Dallas, they are coming from 4 days off, that would be a factor if they don´t come sync at the begining of the game we may see the Spurs taking off and never look back, let´s not forget that Spurs almost win in Miami without their starters, for sure the one playing insted of injured players they are willing to make an statement. My lean here Spurs -1.5
G.State at Chicago -2: GState is superior in % numbers ATS, on the other hand G.State may come flat here after their win vs OKC, I see numbers too close to make a call here, even though I like chicago´s spot here I prefer to walk away.
OKC at Sacramento: very simple I see OKC winning this game at least by 12 pts, still have to think about the fact they are playing a 3rd game in 4 nights on the road. My lean OKC -8.5.
Utah at Lakers -5: I know Utah is not the best on the road but they have played better basketball on the road recently, anyway numbers are too close for me found better value in other games, I´ll pass.
Will be back later to post final plays
GLTA
Totals 10-3
Let´s take a look at today´s big card:
Wolves at Wizards -6: The best team ATS in genaral, 1st at home (55.6%) 1st in non conference games 78.6% Wizards receiving the Wolves on paper should be a no brainer laying the points, though what concerns me is the fact tha Wizards are coming home for the 1st time after a great road trip, they are riding a winning streak ATS of 8 games, despite all their recent succes I see this game really too close to call, I see more value in other games of the card, I´ll pass.
Boston at Atlanta -5: Being honest this game could go either way with 2 of the mnost erratic teams to cap IMO, Boston is dead last ATS on the road, and Atlanta well they are just 36.8% ATS at home, Will walk away from this.
Detroit at Miami: Don´t play DD games.
Bucks at Cleveland +3.5: Here I see a lot of value in both line and total let´s see:
Bucks is number 1 ATS (69.2%) in Conference games, Cleveland is 2nd last in Division games ATS(20%) if the CAvs will not use ther new acquisitions that makes this game more interesting, on the other both teams don´t score more than 96 pts, even Bucks like to run a faster pace I see this game around 191 pts. My leans here Bucks -3.5 and Under 198.
Brooklyn at Memphis -4.5: I still doný buy it from the Grizzlies, I will pass.
Houston at N.Orleans -2.5: Houston is riding a 9 games losing streak ATS and they have looked pathetic, they are last in coonference games ATS (30.4%) while N.Orleans is 1st in Division games ATS with a whooping 88.9% also Hornets are 3rd ATS (64%) in conference games. I see a good value here in the total, NOrleans run a slow pace and for sure they will slow down the game, with Houston struggling to score constantly my leans here are Hornets -2.5 and Under 200.5.
S.Antonio at Dallas +1.5: Everyone is claiming here that Dallas is the play cause last performances and revenge factor, injuries and players to miss the game, etc, I would suggest them to think it twice before putting some money on Dallas, they are coming from 4 days off, that would be a factor if they don´t come sync at the begining of the game we may see the Spurs taking off and never look back, let´s not forget that Spurs almost win in Miami without their starters, for sure the one playing insted of injured players they are willing to make an statement. My lean here Spurs -1.5
G.State at Chicago -2: GState is superior in % numbers ATS, on the other hand G.State may come flat here after their win vs OKC, I see numbers too close to make a call here, even though I like chicago´s spot here I prefer to walk away.
OKC at Sacramento: very simple I see OKC winning this game at least by 12 pts, still have to think about the fact they are playing a 3rd game in 4 nights on the road. My lean OKC -8.5.
Utah at Lakers -5: I know Utah is not the best on the road but they have played better basketball on the road recently, anyway numbers are too close for me found better value in other games, I´ll pass.
Will be back later to post final plays
GLTA
