Lines dont mean shit in this league!

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  • R.P. McMurphy
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-15-12
    • 9654

    #1
    Lines dont mean shit in this league!
    Done with line watching in nba if you wanna bet an ugly just look for spots. Done trying to be sharp and watch lines in this league. Just take the best team most of the time and if the house wants to give away free $ fukk 'em I will take it!
  • R.P. McMurphy
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-15-12
    • 9654

    #2
    EVERY big pub fave cashes today and it seems to hit way too often. Sorry just venting got fukked hard by houston last night and tonight another 0-2. I back the shitty LA team and fade the good one. More college less pro ball for me I guess.
    Comment
    • BigDofBA
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-30-09
      • 19313

      #3
      If it was as easy as taking sides based on the line we would all be rich.

      It's not.
      Comment
      • R.P. McMurphy
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 06-15-12
        • 9654

        #4
        No kidding! Just one factor I use when placing a bet. Obviously you cap, look at spots, injuries, etc. However the # is always important and movement on that # I take into consideration a times. This line had Fakers written all ov it I thought ... shit happens!
        Comment
        • bubblebuttluv
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-13-12
          • 5179

          #5
          I usually just bet 2nd half in NBA now. I got burned too much by just betting on the whole game. At least if you just bet the 2nd half, you get to watch the first half and get an idea of form for that night. Too many times you'll see things like the Heat not caring about individual games because game 35 on the schedule really doesn't matter to them because they are a so-called "championship team" who just care about doing just enough to get into the playoffs... Even if not caring about an individual game causes a family who spent hard earned money to go see players ball, go home disappointed. With that rant out of the way, tonight I took Heat ML 2nd half. Why? the heat were only down 1 at the end of first half, they were playing like they were "up" for this game, the Lakers are old as Hell (yes, I know Wade is old too), and Kobe has always been a ball hog which is acceptable when you still "have it" but Kobe "lost it" a while ago. All signs pointed towards Heat win.
          Comment
          • El Sol
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 05-17-08
            • 876

            #6
            The secret is to start off by ignoring the line as to not influence your decision. Then handicap the game and set your own line. Compare it to your book and look for variance (or better yet, line shop). If the lines are the same, it means the line is sharp and you avoid the game. If there's a difference, you pick the side thats the most advantageous based on your set line regardless of who you "feel" should win.

            Thats handicapping 101.
            Comment
            • SEKTAUR
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-04-11
              • 802

              #7
              Miami played good last nite against GS and Wade and LeBron got some good rest plus this was the last game of their road trip with 5 or so days off after this so I thought they would be playing hard. 2 wins by the scrub Lakers and the line set at -2.5 all these SBR wannabe sharps taking the crap team just because of the line L O fuckin L how do u take the crap team against the Champs that line was perfectly set for "sharps" to go down
              Comment
              • ThaTopMoron
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 04-30-10
                • 27020

                #8
                watch out

                Friday NBA will get you

                shit will happen cause everybody is going to make bank off the NFL on Sunday
                Comment
                • HardCore
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-05-12
                  • 3615

                  #9
                  was thinking the same exact thing and be careful on monday cause ever since the play offs started thats when "AMAZING" seems to happen the most
                  Comment
                  • ThaTopMoron
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 04-30-10
                    • 27020

                    #10
                    Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
                    watch out

                    Friday NBA will get you

                    shit will happen cause everybody is going to make bank off the NFL on Sunday
                    Bobcats win a game, any game

                    Bulls miracle end to 4th quarter and OT to steal a win

                    Washington wins IN DENVER

                    Comment
                    • R.P. McMurphy
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 06-15-12
                      • 9654

                      #11
                      Usually Sundays are very kind to faves in nba as well ecs home squads!
                      Comment
                      • ThaTopMoron
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 04-30-10
                        • 27020

                        #12
                        Originally posted by R.P. McMurphy
                        Usually Sundays are very kind to faves in nba as well ecs home squads!
                        Sunday I will be ignoring anything besides two big bets on the NFL games
                        Comment
                        • vikesbills24
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 01-18-13
                          • 121

                          #13
                          Ball is unpredictable. I take ml first and then hit spreads if theres value.
                          Comment
                          • vikesbills24
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 01-18-13
                            • 121

                            #14
                            Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
                            Sunday I will be ignoring anything besides two big bets on the NFL games
                            Atl has so much value....,
                            Comment
                            • brainfreeze0
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-19-12
                              • 2146

                              #15
                              Originally posted by R.P. McMurphy
                              I back the shitty LA team and fade the good one.
                              This one made me laugh. Hard to believe how much a team can change in just a couple of years. These 2 completely flip flopped.
                              Comment
                              • brainfreeze0
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-19-12
                                • 2146

                                #16
                                Originally posted by vikesbills24
                                Atl has so much value....,
                                I never know which Atlanta will show up. I do like Baltimore though. Would love to say ol Ray go for another Superbowl but unlikely vs NE
                                Comment
                                • vikesbills24
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 01-18-13
                                  • 121

                                  #17
                                  Balt is smoke and mirrors. Lucky against denver. Pats win easy.
                                  Comment
                                  • brainfreeze0
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-19-12
                                    • 2146

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by vikesbills24
                                    Balt is smoke and mirrors. Lucky against denver. Pats win easy.
                                    Take away the 2 kick off return TD's and Ravens won by a mile though.
                                    Comment
                                    • brainfreeze0
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-19-12
                                      • 2146

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
                                      Bobcats win a game, any game

                                      Bulls miracle end to 4th quarter and OT to steal a win

                                      Washington wins IN DENVER

                                      I had quite a bit on Boston. That end of regulation pissed me off. Sent me straight to NBA.com to complain about their officiating so I can get their usual canned message lol
                                      Comment
                                      • HardCore
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 06-05-12
                                        • 3615

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by HardCore
                                        was thinking the same exact thing and be careful on monday cause ever since the play offs started thats when "AMAZING" seems to happen the most
                                        i hate when im right it may not be monday but damn i siad in my own thread books was out for blood and they got it
                                        Comment
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