Fresh Start Phase #1 1/16/13

[Khmerkid]

YTD = 245 - 182 - 11 POD = 161 - 115 - 7

01/14/13 Bankroll=($20,000) 01/16/13 ($55,150)

01/13/13= 4 - 8 = ($63,000)
01/14/13= 4 - 2 = ($16,400)
01/15/13= 5 - 3 = ($18,750)

Once again over all it was a good night but I took a hit again on the Over Pacers game. I told myself from today on forward stay away from the Pacers total I learned my lesson the hard way I could have swept my early PODS, but it is what it is can't win them all. I went 5 - 3 for the night and hitting my last 2 PODS of the night to close out the night with some profit. Hoping today we can stay on the right track and keep this train rolling. Once again I would like to thanks everyone who has been supporting me and have been giving their inputs and thoughts. Without you guys I wouldn't be here. So lets <nobr></nobr><nobr></nobr><nobr></nobr><nobr>start</nobr> with some leans for tonight. Nothing yet just leans any thoughts and suggestions would be appreciated.

Raptors +4
Nets +4
Celtics -8
Thunder -8
Over raptors =184
Under Nets =187
Under Celtics =183
Over Thunder =209

[sportfinny15]

With you all the way

[sbrhgary]

Like the raptors play, but hate the team. lol.
Celtics/Hornets game, I feel both can put up 90 some points so I lean over on that game.

[vaas187]

YTD = 245 - 182 - 11 POD = 161 - 115 - 7

01/14/13 Bankroll=($20,000) 01/16/13 ($55,150)

01/13/13= 4 - 8 = ($63,000)
01/14/13= 4 - 2 = ($16,400)
01/15/13= 5 - 3 = ($18,750)

Once again over all it was a good night but I took a hit again on the Over Pacers game. I told myself from today on forward stay away from the Pacers total I learned my lesson the hard way I could have swept my early PODS, but it is what it is can't win them all. I went 5 - 3 for the night and hitting my last 2 PODS of the night to close out the night with some profit. Hoping today we can stay on the right track and keep this train rolling. Once again I would like to thanks everyone who has been supporting me and have been giving their inputs and thoughts. Without you guys I wouldn't be here. So lets <nobr></nobr><nobr></nobr><nobr></nobr><nobr>start</nobr> with some leans for tonight. Nothing yet just leans any thoughts and suggestions would be appreciated.

Raptors +4
Nets +4
Celtics -8
Thunder -8
Over raptors =184
Under Nets =187
Under Celtics =183
Over Thunder =209

beauty. im already leaning Thunder -8, Raptors OVER and was on the fence with Raptors +4....I could see bulls winning by 3. Raptors usually play the bulls really tight if my recent memory serves me correctly.

i would consider switching up the over thunder play for the over SAS/WSH....thunder may put up 110 but i dont see Denver coming with 100 points tonight.

[Khmerkid]

beauty. im already leaning Thunder -8, Raptors OVER and was on the fence with Raptors +4....I could see bulls winning by 3. Raptors usually play the bulls really tight if my recent memory serves me correctly.

i would consider switching up the over thunder play for the over SAS/WSH....thunder may put up 110 but i dont see Denver coming with 100 points tonight.

Thanks for the input bro. Yeah Ia m looking at the Wizards and Kings game but that will be for my late play.

[Khmerkid]

sportfinny15 =Thanks bro lets hope for another profitable night.

sbrhgary =Thanks for the input and good luck with your plays.

[vaas187]

Thanks for the input bro. Yeah Ia m looking at the Wizards and Kings game but that will be for my late play.

i'm parlaying SAS/WSH OVER, OKC -8, POSSIBLY OVER chicago over and a couple heavy tennis favs. GL brother.

I was leaning boston under, they always seem to go opposite when i play the other side, ive seen them put up 98 and play horrid defence and other games just shit it down second half after have a 100+ first half.

[RavensFan2k3]

Hey Im not understanding the Raptors pick...it seems alot of you seem to agree with it and I dont see why

[bmohl123]

Yeah I have concerns over that pick just because there is a strong possibility that Jose Calderon and Kyle Lowry will both be out.

I am speaking about the OVER play just fyi

[vaas187]

Hey Im not understanding the Raptors pick...it seems alot of you seem to agree with it and I dont see why

Chicago seems very square. My only play on the game would be OVER 183.

[JayDeezy]

I like the Nets play with Josh Smith out for tonight's game (1 game suspension, detrimental conduct)

Raps OVER i'm not too sure abt, especially with the PG status for tonight undefined. Calderon is more likely to come back, but even with him I feel like the game is more likely to be an UNDER... Calderon tends to take his time with the clock and look for the right setup, making the possibility of a low scoring game more likely.

Leaning more towards New Orleans +8 for the Boston game, however I do like your UNDER selection for that game.

Like both your OKC -8 and OVER 209.

Looking forward to your final decision on the early games, as well as your leans for the late games.

Best of luck bruh!

[JayDeezy]

btw - i think the over on the SAC/WSH game is more of a sure thing than the over on the OKC game, but that's just my opinion.

[HardCore]

why is everyone on okc-8 den has won its last 6gms that counts for something and in there last 6 meetings okc has only 1 by more than 8 once...just something to consider oh and last time den was in okc they won

[JayDeezy]

why is everyone on okc-8 den has won its last 6gms that counts for something and in there last 6 meetings okc has only 1 by more than 8 once...just something to consider oh and last time den was in okc they won

OKC's won 5 in a row, like 13 out of 14 at home, they avg nearly 110 pts a game at home, Denver avgs at best 102-103, have played their last 4 games at home, and has a losing road record. You do the math.

[Maximo]

Sacramento game is over is my biggest pick tonight. Good luck.

[HardCore]

never said they were gonna win cause they're not unless "amazing" happens. What im saying is 9points is too much to giva a great team like DEN whos gonna get up for this gm and if sefo and ibaka are out or not 100% thats not good

[JayDeezy]

never said they were gonna win cause they're not unless "amazing" happens. What im saying is 9points is too much to giva a great team like DEN whos gonna get up for this gm and if sefo and ibaka are out or not 100% thats not good

My guess is those 2 guys will play, or else we'd be seeing a very different line... if they are both confirmed out, I totally agree with you.

Denver is a strong home team, but don't let that fool you - they are somewhat mediocre on the road. The majority of their losses on the road also tend to be more of the blowout variety than close games.

[HardCore]

now that part about the blow outs i agree but its just the match up favors den i mean outside of durant and westbrook who iggy could give fits to tonight den is better plus like i said look at thier recent gms vs okc they play the hell outta them

[JayDeezy]

don't forget about K-mart bro, he's good for 18-20pts on any given night.

[HardCore]

we'll see man like i said okc's gonna win i just think its gonna be around 5-7 points not 9+

[bmohl123]

What do you guys think on the UNDER pacers/magic 186.5. I have a hard time taking the over on anything the pacers do. They are coming into a back to back against Orlando. Thoughts?

[sydiest]

I like...

Celtics Over= 183.5
Nets Over= 186.5
Kings under= 205
Pacers under= 186.5
Blazers over= 197
Memphis over= 187.5
Raptors over= 183.5
Raptors +4
San -4

[sbrhgary]

What do you guys think on the UNDER pacers/magic 186.5. I have a hard time taking the over on anything the pacers do. They are coming into a back to back against Orlando. Thoughts?

My calculations put the game at Magic 101 and pacers 94, but I don't have confidence in this calc.

[bmohl123]

Help me people on why the Raptors over. I just do not know about it

[sydiest]

Start with why you feel it's under...

[Khmerkid]

These are my original leans

Raptors +4
Nets +4
Celtics -8
Thunder -8
Over raptors =184
Under Nets =187
Under Celtics =183
Over Thunder =209

These are the leans after I ran some numbers not too much changed. But these are not the final plays yet I will post my final plays once the numbers are done.


Raptors +4
Nets +4
Celtics -8
Thunder -8
Over raptors =184
Under Nets =187
Under Celtics =183
Under Thunder =209

[TxAaron]

Good luck tonight KK.

[killersweet]

Help me people on why the Raptors over. I just do not know about it

All depends on who's playing for the raptors tonight. Both PGs may be out for the raptors or they are hurting. The pace might be slow in this game. If both PGs can't go, bulls may blow raps out.

[Khmerkid]

Dang guys the numbers are crazy today so we are going to play whatever the numbers says. Posting in 10 minutes just finalizing the PDS plays. Will be smaller than normal plays though.

[daonlyplaya]

Dang guys the numbers are crazy today so we are going to play whatever the numbers says. Posting in 10 minutes just finalizing the PDS plays. Will be smaller than normal plays though.

By crazy you mean close and difficult to handicap?

[HardCore]

has to be cause im having a hard time capping them

[Khmerkid]

All right boys this is what I have for tonight. Locked And Loaded Play It If You Like It Fade It If You Don't. POD = Magic +2 $2,200 to win $2,000

POD = Bulls -5 $32,200 to win $2,000
POD = Celtics -7 $2,200 to win $2,000

Under Magic =187 $550 to win $500
Under Bulls =183 $550 to win $500
Under Nets =187 $550 to win $500
2 Team Parlay Action Revers $1,000 to win $4,000
Magic +2

Bulls -5

2 Team Parlay Action Revers $1,000 to win $4,000
Bulls -5

Celtics -7

3Team Parlay $1,000 to win $6,000
Magic +2
Bulls -5
Celtics -7

As always good luck on whatever you all decide to do.Please play responsibly. I might play the late game depending on how these do.

[Khmerkid]

By crazy you mean close and difficult to handicap?

To day the numbers are a lot harder then the rest of the day. But we will see I am just going by the numbers tonight. So usually the numbers don't lie best of luck to all tonight.

[hubbard689]

lol pretty funny typo, $32,200 to win $2000.. hope your bookie doesn't use THAT much juice!! BOL bro

[knowlove85]

Khmer, Im not sure if youve touched on this, but what is a unit for you? Do they alter depending on your recent performance? You have bets as low as 550 and as high as 11,000. In terms of gauging your confidence level in each game could you provide a unit metric?

Thanks man