Miami to bury the public tomorrow...?

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  • sando
    SBR MVP
    • 04-30-12
    • 3723

    #1
    Miami to bury the public tomorrow...?
    Sportsbook Spy - 98% of the early money coming in on Heat ATS.

    Vegas Insider - 97% of the early money coming in on the Heat ATS.

    Sports Insights - 82% of the early money coming in on the Heat ATS.


    I smell a huge public burial tomorrow, hmmm...?
  • bjb7223
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-03-12
    • 10349

    #2
    yes
    Comment
    • lunchbawks
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-31-10
      • 12873

      #3
      Comment
      • RavensFan2k3
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-18-12
        • 17378

        #4
        Do you guys think the under is a safer play?
        Comment
        • sando
          SBR MVP
          • 04-30-12
          • 3723

          #5
          Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
          Do you guys think the under is a safer play?
          Haven't done any analysis myself, however traditionally Miami and Indiana playing out physical defence oriented games so the under would have to be seriously considered.

          Personally I'm loving all this money on the Heat. If the Pacers get to +4 I am seriously considering pounding it, and will also be taking the m/l.
          Comment
          • easyliving
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 06-25-12
            • 8876

            #6
            Not sure why public is on Miami here. Big game at home for Indy considering Heat eliminated them last year and the home crowd will be buzzing for this 1. Hibbert will dominate inside and have a big game. Also worth mentioning line is moving down and is at 2.5 at some places. Just the revenge factor alone would make me think public would be on Indiana. Nonetheless Pacers ML is my play here.
            Comment
            • vasilli07
              SBR MVP
              • 05-08-11
              • 3955

              #7
              Hibbert is still very inconsistent.
              Comment
              • jazzyj7
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 03-02-09
                • 859

                #8
                This is the type of shit that makes me think they know the outcome of games before they're played. I'm not even talking about the games being rigged, but Ouija board type knowledge. The line should be Miami -5, not -2.5
                Comment
                • sando
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-30-12
                  • 3723

                  #9
                  Originally posted by jazzyj7
                  This is the type of shit that makes me think they know the outcome of games before they're played. The line should be Miami -5, not -2.5
                  Why on earth would the line be Miami -5? If anything I think it opened a tad too high, I set this one at Miami -1.5 to -2. Have you watched the Heat play lately mate? They are not playing well by any means and are living on reputation ATM. Indiana on the other hand is playing their best ball of the season and are 12-3 at home, whilst Miami is 7-6 on the road. No chance should the Heat be -5 here.
                  Comment
                  • shimeon40
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-15-12
                    • 2319

                    #10
                    this is a given...ATTENTION! ACHTUNG! ..whatever..vegas will let public have this one with miami..nba integrity shot to bits after today..Shovel it on Miami..ML ..points..whatever you can get.
                    Comment
                    • jazzyj7
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 03-02-09
                      • 859

                      #11
                      Originally posted by sando
                      Why on earth would the line be Miami -5? If anything I think it opened a tad too high, I set this one at Miami -1.5 to -2. Have you watched the Heat play lately mate? They are not playing well by any means and are living on reputation ATM. Indiana on the other hand is playing their best ball of the season and are 12-3 at home, whilst Miami is 7-6 on the road. No chance should the Heat be -5 here.
                      This is just like the clippers, Utah line. Clippers-2.5 and clippers won by 2. Think about it from a linesmaker point of view. Any line with HEAT-2.5 the public is gonna be on the heat hard, they know that. At -5, -4, The public would still prob. be on the Heat. It's just a fishy line.
                      Comment
                      • shimeon40
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-15-12
                        • 2319

                        #12
                        Get on it JazzyJ..vegas ant you to think sus..miami goig to burn rubber..not $$$
                        Comment
                        • shimeon40
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-15-12
                          • 2319

                          #13
                          NBA need to showcase a team..miami it is is after integrity issues with okc /san antonio yesterday..read the fukkin script you guys
                          Comment
                          • davopnz
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-12-12
                            • 1736

                            #14
                            is that public money or big time punters though? how many of your average joe bettors bet the day before the game?
                            Comment
                            • Sport_Fish
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-06-10
                              • 4079

                              #15
                              Originally posted by davopnz
                              is that public money or big time punters though? how many of your average joe bettors bet the day before the game?
                              I'd say about 5% of the average joe bets the night before.

                              Too early to read wht % of bets will be on Miami - gotta wait till tomorrow.

                              Heat ml will hit, not sure about spread. They won't start this road trip with a loss.
                              Comment
                              • face
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-31-11
                                • 14740

                                #16
                                pacers money too sharp for me, they are still just the pacers. GL staying away
                                Comment
                                • shimeon40
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-15-12
                                  • 2319

                                  #17
                                  sports fish is a good judge usually
                                  Comment
                                  • sando
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-30-12
                                    • 3723

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Sport_Fish
                                    I'd say about 5% of the average joe bets the night before.

                                    Too early to read wht % of bets will be on Miami - gotta wait till tomorrow.

                                    Heat ml will hit, not sure about spread. They won't start this road trip with a loss.
                                    Wow you sound confident, good luck with that mate, for me the Pacers m/l is (probably) THE play tomorrow...
                                    Comment
                                    • bjb7223
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-03-12
                                      • 10349

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by shimeon40
                                      NBA need to showcase a team..miami it is is after integrity issues with okc /san antonio yesterday..read the fukkin script you guys
                                      I was thinking the same thing. they would be a play without all these upsets on monday. fade them and you'll probably be buried tomorrow
                                      Comment
                                      • jazzyj7
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 03-02-09
                                        • 859

                                        #20
                                        Sometimes its a freebie(Heat) to get people off trends and patterns. More times than not, when it's a fishy line, its a fishy line to bury the public. I'm on Pacers.
                                        Comment
                                        • suicidekings
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 03-23-09
                                          • 9962

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by sando
                                          Sportsbook Spy - 98% of the early money coming in on Heat ATS.

                                          Vegas Insider - 97% of the early money coming in on the Heat ATS.

                                          Sports Insights - 82% of the early money coming in on the Heat ATS.


                                          I smell a huge public burial tomorrow, hmmm...?
                                          If you look at it a couple of hours after the line comes out, who do you think is betting then? Look at it tomorrow 2 hours before tip and then you have a more meaningful result.
                                          Comment
                                          • blanco
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 03-06-12
                                            • 876

                                            #22
                                            pacers Q1 and H1 worth considering as well
                                            Comment
                                            • shimeon40
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-15-12
                                              • 2319

                                              #23
                                              I'm on MIAMI HEAT!
                                              Comment
                                              • humble
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 05-14-12
                                                • 158

                                                #24
                                                its getting there Sando. give a couple more hours, spread will move to 4 soon.
                                                Comment
                                                • ninos
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 02-10-12
                                                  • 56

                                                  #25
                                                  it's the same handicap they also gave during that playoff game where public keeps pounding miami but still miami covered even without bosh and with granger in that lineup.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Italy
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 12-28-12
                                                    • 425

                                                    #26
                                                    probably I'll bet on indiana more the points (+3,5 here)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • reppin_the_847
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-10-10
                                                      • 1576

                                                      #27
                                                      Shitty teams at home should be given more points against the Heat IMO. But Miami's track record on the road against these types of teams is not too good. Look at their games @ Detroit & Milwaukee a couple weeks ago, lol.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • sando
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-30-12
                                                        • 3723

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by reppin_the_847
                                                        Shitty teams at home should be given more points against the Heat IMO. But Miami's track record on the road against these types of teams is not too good. Look at their games @ Detroit & Milwaukee a couple weeks ago, lol.
                                                        Indiana is a shitty team? Do you even watch the NBA?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JM92
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-27-12
                                                          • 1140

                                                          #29
                                                          Indiana will turn the ball over about 1 million times tommorow. I cant agree with you here Sando. The Heat just have not give one for most of the season. I was on them against OKC when lots of people said they weren't playing well and bam, they turned on the defensive intensity and won the game throughout. Everyone though Memphis was going to hammer the Heat inside, but Randolph and Gasol weren't big factors in that game, not even close. I don't trust Hibbert to take advantage of Bosh or whoever else the Heat put on a him and James can hang with West and will deny him the post if needed (that is if they do match-up). I think Miami will come to play and if that happens and they put their pressure on, only chance for Indy is praying they are on fire from 3.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • shimeon40
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-15-12
                                                            • 2319

                                                            #30
                                                            i think miami are coming to burn the house DOWN!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Finch Dinero
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 07-28-11
                                                              • 421

                                                              #31
                                                              This has Trap game written all over it
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Finch Dinero
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 07-28-11
                                                                • 421

                                                                #32
                                                                I've been burned by Miami in so many similar spots like tonights.....I'm taking a pass.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BabyMatrix27
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 09-27-12
                                                                  • 203

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Indiana 12-3 at home! All over the +4 but I would buy hook... Miami is not as good as they should be lately!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • HardCore
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 06-05-12
                                                                    • 3615

                                                                    #34
                                                                    ok ppl go ahead n play that ind+3 lol gl and go ahead ppl play the mia-3 lol gl both these teams are suspect but at the end of the day if mia comes to play n make a statment ind loses by 10+
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Doeboy22
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 11-14-11
                                                                      • 656

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Im square tonight like last night!!
                                                                      Comment
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